Review: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil prediction for aug 31,2009

Charts for today for each of the commodities is posted. In view of the fact that oil,gold and silver etc are traded longer on MCX/NCDEX( we consider only 10am -5pm limit) prediction method will need to be changed forthese commodities.

 

Regarding updates pls note that

 

1. Profit on gold was Rs approx 2500-3000 per lot at 5 pm( rs 5k limit not reached)

2. Profit on silver was Rs 2400 on one lot and no loss on other.

3. pepper shot up Rs 300 after buy call but price limit not met.

4. Profit on currency derivative was rs 150 per lot( Rs appreciated after our shortingcall in afternoon)

 

summary: approx 7/10 call ( rise and fall count as two)  followed the trend. crude oil however did not rise as predicted

 

Prediction as posted today (see updates also)
 

 

all predictions are for futures traded on NCDEX  or MCX. Spot prices  when quoted in $( such as gold,silver,oil) may have different variability.For some of these specific buy or sell calls may be given during the day.

 

Gold: Futures likely to gain after initial correction and may move up in late afternoon. Buy futures on any correction in morning.gold futures can be shorted in morning.

 

silver: short silver futures in morning if it opens with gain. Buy futures in evening-late afternoon.

 

Turmeric: Short turmeric futures on any initial gain. Buy futures after first is profitable by afternoon

 

 

Pepper: volatile trade. If pepper opens with correction, buy future. it can be shorted in afternoon

 

 

 

Crudeoil: Buy oil futures if opens with correction. Oil can be shorted in morning if flat or positive.

 

$ vs Re: dollar futures may gain after initial correction.buy futures in morning after any rupee depreciation

 

disclaimer: usual risk disclaimers apply

Update 2: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil prediction for aug 31,2009

1. short curency futures ( US $-Re) at ( Rs 48.9975 and Rs 48.925) near month last traded at Rs 48.9875 to $1 as rupee has depreciated in line with our money prediction and may appreciate from these price limits today(NSE exchange)

 

Prediction posted in pre market hours:

 

 

all predictions are for futures traded on NCDEX  or MCX. Spot prices  when quoted in $( such as gold,silver,oil) may have different variability.For some of these specific buy or sell calls may be given during the day.

 

Gold: Futures likely to gain after initial correction and may move up in late afternoon. Buy futures on any correction in morning.gold futures can be shorted in morning.

 

silver: short silver futures in morning if it opens with gain. Buy futures in evening-late afternoon.

 

Turmeric: Short turmeric futures on any initial gain. Buy futures after first is profitable by afternoon

 

 

Pepper: volatile trade. If pepper opens with correction, buy future. it can be shorted in afternoon

 

 

 

Crudeoil: Buy oil futures if opens with correction. Oil can be shorted in morning if flat or positive.

 

$ vs Re: dollar futures may gain after initial correction.buy futures in morning after any rupee depreciation

 

disclaimer: usual risk disclaimers apply

correction: Update: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil prediction for aug 31,2009

please note the correction in gold futures price. recommended buying price cannot be higher than prevailing price as erroneously given in update few mts back

1. Buy pepper futures ( not sell) at Rs 14400 and 14300(one lot each) now at Rs 14450.

 

2. Buy gold futures ar Rs 15110 and 15115 now Rs 15126.

 

 

3. Buy silver futures at Rs 23550 and rs 23500 now at Rs23650

 

Usual disclaimers apply. protect profits once gain of rs 5000 ismade with trailing stop loss of Rs 500. on both gains and loss

 

Prediction posted in pre market hours:

 

 

all predictions are for futures traded on NCDEX  or MCX. Spot prices  when quoted in $( such as gold,silver,oil) may have different variability.For some of these specific buy or sell calls may be given during the day.

 

Gold: Futures likely to gain after initial correction and may move up in late afternoon. Buy futures on any correction in morning.gold futures can be shorted in morning.

 

silver: short silver futures in morning if it opens with gain. Buy futures in evening-late afternoon.

 

Turmeric: Short turmeric futures on any initial gain. Buy futures after first is profitable by afternoon

 

 

Pepper: volatile trade. If pepper opens with correction, buy future. it can be shorted in afternoon

 

 

 

Crudeoil: Buy oil futures if opens with correction. Oil can be shorted in morning if flat or positive.

 

$ vs Re: dollar futures may gain after initial correction.buy futures in morning after any rupee depreciation

 

disclaimer: usual risk disclaimers apply

Update: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil prediction for aug 31,2009

1. Buy pepper futures ( not sell) at Rs 14400 and 14300(one lot each) now at Rs 14450.

 

2. Buy gold futures ar Rs 15110 and 15150 now Rs 15126.

 

 

3. Buy silver futures at Rs 23550 and rs 23500 now at Rs23650

 

Usual disclaimers apply. protect profits once gain of rs 5000 ismade with trailing stop loss of Rs 500. on both gains and loss

 

Prediction posted in pre market hours:

 

 

all predictions are for futures traded on NCDEX  or MCX. Spot prices  when quoted in $( such as gold,silver,oil) may have different variability.For some of these specific buy or sell calls may be given during the day.

 

Gold: Futures likely to gain after initial correction and may move up in late afternoon. Buy futures on any correction in morning.gold futures can be shorted in morning.

 

silver: short silver futures in morning if it opens with gain. Buy futures in evening-late afternoon.

 

Turmeric: Short turmeric futures on any initial gain. Buy futures after first is profitable by afternoon

 

 

Pepper: volatile trade. If pepper opens with correction, buy future. it can be shorted in afternoon

 

 

 

Crudeoil: Buy oil futures if opens with correction. Oil can be shorted in morning if flat or positive.

 

$ vs Re: dollar futures may gain after initial correction.buy futures in morning after any rupee depreciation

 

disclaimer: usual risk disclaimers apply

Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil prediction for aug 31,2009

all predictions are for futures traded on NCDEX  or MCX. Spot prices  when quoted in $( such as gold,silver,oil) may have different variability.For some of these specific buy or sell calls may be given during the day.

 

Gold: Futures likely to gain after initial correction and may move up in late afternoon. Buy futures on any correction in morning.gold futures can be shorted in morning.

 

silver: short silver futures in morning if it opens with gain. Buy futures in evening-late afternoon.

 

Turmeric: Short turmeric futures on any initial gain. Buy futures after first is profitable by afternoon

 

 

Pepper: volatile trade. If pepper opens with correction, buy future. it can be shorted in afternoon

 

 

 

Crudeoil: Buy oil futures if opens with correction. Oil can be shorted in morning if flat or positive.

 

$ vs Re: dollar futures may gain after initial correction.buy futures in morning after any rupee depreciation

 

disclaimer: usual risk disclaimers apply

Review: Gold, Silver and oil prediction for week August 24-28,2009.

Please note that in reviewing these predictions we are using sepember futures chart for each of the three commodities traded on NCDEX. No MCX chart is available  for the week. Read last portion from aug 24-28.( Green line indicates gain over previous day closing , red line-loss over previous closing, length of green or red line-intra day variation, two points on each line shows opening and closing value of futures-zoom in to see). Spot prices may have different variation when quoted in $ terms

 

 

Prediction as posted on aug 24

Gold, Silver and oil prediction for week August 24-28,2009.

1Gold Likely to gain after initial correction. Buy upon monday-tuesday correction till mid week. a mixed volatile week.
Eval: Gold after monday correction and volatility during the week generally moved up but best prices were available by end of week.Chart 1

2. silver: Short futures on any intra day gain at begining of the week for gains. Gains may appear by mid week to end week when intra day correction is possible for both gold and silver
 

eval: shorting silver futures was profitable till tuesday. Better to have bought futures till end of week .chart 2
3. Crude oil: Buy futures on early week correction as crude oil may gain over the week.

eval: Crude oil corrected most severly on tuesday but moved up amidst volatility.More profits could be made by shorting early on in the week

Re: Intra day Prediction for US market- aug 28

See the intra day chart and prediction posted on aug 28 below.

short positions order on Kaching account did not get executed due to price limits hence no profit  or loss.

 

Review of weekly Commodity prediction will be posted later

 

Prediction as posted on Aug 28

 

 

US market in correction mode -up only 12 points after a reasonable positive opening.

 

Intra day predictions for US market reveals a correction in morning as also in afternoon. But index will be generally move up after any corrections and may surge up towards closing hour.

 

Buy index when down -40- or -75 points today.

 

Index can also be shorted if it peaks in afternoon.

 

Long position built in line with monthly trend predictions. short positions may be created today

Update: Intra day Prediction for US market- aug 28

Market has corrected over 80-90 points( though no peak reached yet) while short postions not triggered due to price limits, certain stocks sold at higher  price in anticipation of price fall

 

Long trades now being created in line with prediction of upsurge during closing hours

Intra day Prediction for US market- aug 28

US market in correction mode -up only 12 points after a reasonable positive opening.

 

Intra day predictions for US market reveals a correction in morning as also in afternoon. But index will be generally move up after any corrections and may surge up towards closing hour.

 

Buy index when down -40- or -75 points today.

 

Index can also be shorted if it peaks in afternoon.

 

Long position built in line with monthly trend predictions. short positions may be created today

Review: Intra day Prediction for Indian market- aug 27

 

see the intra day chart and prediction below posted before market opened.

 

Predicted as posted on august 27(prior to market opening)

 

 

Indian stock markets ( main indices) may rise amidst choppiness to day's high point or peak in afternoon ( approx 1-2.30 pm) before giving up some gains.

 

1. Buy if markets corrects in morning ( 50-60-75 points on nifty)

2. short index in afternoon ( no levels being indicated)

 

 

 

Proft and loss on yesterday's commodity trade calls

1. Three trade calls were given in addition to predictions.

2. maximum Loss on chill was Rs 5000, profit on one lot of gold futures was rs 1500, oil futures did not meet price target
 

 

Intra day Prediction for Indian market- aug 27

 

Indian stock markets ( main indices) may rise amidst choppiness to day's high point or peak in afternoon ( approx 1-2.30 pm) before giving up some gains.

 

1. Buy if markets corrects in morning ( 50-60-75 points on nifty)

2. short index in afternoon ( no levels being indicated)

 

 

 

No commodity prediction being given as predictive exercises on oil, gold, copper, pepper indicated choppy trends. However shorter exercise on Silver indicated a peak formation for futures-( falling, rising and possibly falling again in late afternoon)

Review: Intra day Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug 26

 

Summary of predictions: 4 of the 5 predictons were directionally correct. One was loss making.On these 5predictions  6 out of 7 strategies(buy/sell call on bth gold and silver)  were correct.( ( after excluding sell call on chilli futures in afternoon)

 

evaluation: See charts The predictions given below were folowed by specific buy/sell calls. of which chilli buy call was incorrect.( we overlooked a sell call given on chill in afternoon-see original prediction ).

 

Gold gave minor profits on one lot. Both siilver and gold after apeak in afternoon fell off but silver more so. spot prices fell more sharply than futures.

 

shorting pepper was most profitable.

 

Crude oil rose after our by call but did not meet buy price limits.

 

Prediction posted on aug 26

 

 

Intra day predictions for gold,silver,crude oil and spices

 

Gold and silver : Futures trade may be quite volatile for both gold and silver. Buy Futures if market corrects in morning for profits by afternoon. In late afternoon futures can be shorted as gold and even silver can fall towards end of day on MCX

 

Crude Oil: Uncertain: Call may be given after observing initial trade.

 

Red chilli:  Buy futures upon correction in morning. Trade may be volatile with possibility for profits by shorting in early afternoon .

 

Black Pepper: Volatile trade. Buy futures in morning only upon correction. Better strategy may be to short if first gives profits in early morning itself

 

Disclaimer: Predictions carry risk. Your are responsible for any losses/profits as a result of these predictions

Review: Intra day Predictions for US market- aug 26

Index remained choppy and rangebound. shorting 2 stocks gave aloss of $7000( 10000 exxon oil) loss and 3000 gains on FSLR

Predictions as posted on Aug 26

 

 

This is again a high risk prediction.

 

US market may be too choppy /volatile today or simply rangebound.

 

After an earlier dip or correction extending to afternoon, markets may bounceback towards late afternoon/closing session

 

1. short index on positive opening

2. go long if market corrects 70 points( unles sbiz news indicates sharper correction by afternoon)

 

 

On Kaching a/c we maintain a bullish outlook as predicted for US for the month( last ten days) . shorts to be created to make some gains today and shuffling of portfolio to include other stocks

Intra day Predictions for US market- aug 26

This is again a high risk prediction.

 

US market may be too choppy /volatile today or simply rangebound.

 

After an earlier dip or correction extending to afternoon, markets may bounceback towards late afternoon/closing session

 

1. short index on positive opening

2. go long if market corrects 70 points( unles sbiz news indicates sharper correction by afternoon)

 

 

On Kaching a/c we maintain a bullish outlook as predicted for US for the month( last ten days) . shorts to be created to make some gains today and shuffling of portfolio to include other stocks

Update: Intra day Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug 26

1. Crude oil futures on MCX now at Rs 3520. Buy 1 lot at Rs 3510 and another lot at Rs 3501.

 

2. Gold futures at MCX now at Rs  15008. Sell gold futures at Rs 15040 and 15050 since there may be futher upside before a correction in late afternoon.
 

3. Buy Chill futures ar Rs 5520 ( oct series) , now trading at Rs 5550 

Intra day predictions for gold,silver,crude oil and spices

 

Gold and silver : Futures trade may be quite volatile for both gold and silver. Buy Futures if market corrects in morning for profits by afternoon. In late afternoon futures can be shorted as gold and even silver can fall towards end of day on MCX

 

Crude Oil: Uncertain: Call may be given after observing initial trade.

 

Red chilli:  Buy futures upon correction in morning. Trade may be volatile with possibility for profits by shorting in early afternoon .

 

Black Pepper: Volatile trade. Buy futures in morning only upon correction. Better strategy may be to short if first gives profits in early morning itself

 

Disclaimer: Predictions carry risk. Your are responsible for any losses/profits as a result of these predictions

Intra day Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug 26

Intra day predictions for gold,silver,crude oil and spices

 

Gold and silver : Futures trade may be quite volatile for both gold and silver. Buy Futures if market corrects in morning for profits by afternoon. In late afternoon futures can be shorted as gold and even silver can fall towards end of day on MCX

 

Crude Oil: Uncertain: Call may be given after observing initial trade.

 

Red chilli:  Buy futures upon correction in morning. Trade may be volatile with possibility for profits by shorting in early afternoon .

 

Black Pepper: Volatile trade. Buy futures in morning only upon correction. Better strategy may be to short if first gives profits in early morning itself

 

Disclaimer: Predictions carry risk. Your are responsible for any losses/profits as a result of these predictions

Review: Intra day Predictions for US market- aug 25

1.Profits were made by shorting as recommended. approx $,5000. No opportunity for profis by taking long positions as price limit was not met.see intra day chart

 

 

 

Predictionas posted on Aug 25
This is a high risk prediction.

 

US markets may correct anytime before early afternoon and also towards end of the day.

 

Now dow index up 32 points. short index if dow rises over 80 points.

 

 

One may buy if dow corrects sharply -approx 40 points in negative.

 

we will continue to maintain and create portfolio in line with monthly bullish outlook as in our US prediction. Short positions also created for some gains today

Intra day Predictions for US market- aug 25

This is a high risk prediction.

 

US markets may correct anytime before early afternoon and also towards end of the day.

 

Now dow index up 32 points. short index if dow rises over 80 points.

 

 

One may buy if dow corrects sharply -approx 40 points in negative.

 

we will continue to maintain and create portfolio in line with monthly bullish outlook as in our US prediction. Short positions also created for some gains today

Predictions for US market

Predictions for US market may be posted today.

Update of Kaching Trading portfolio: In line with the monthly predictions for US market, a bullish portfolio has been recreated at Kaching trading account consisting of Exxon Mobil , ABK finance Diamond Trust index( tobe added) , First Solar.( First Solar has been giving great losses recently due to cos policy changes in solar industry but it is an excellent stock for long term hold).some short positions created to benefit from intra day corrections

Facebook: All trading and updates on above account will shortly be available on Facebook account in which Kaching Portfolio/account has been integrated which then be accessed by general public at any time.

Commodity predictions are now posted regulalry-see weekly predictions below

Predictions

No Prediction will be posted today.

 

Please see weekly commodity predictions by scrolling down below or click on one of the links on the right

Intra day Gold,silver,commodity & Crude oil prediction -august 24,2009

Review of August 24, 2009's intra day gold silver,commodity predictions posted on www.ckal.in .

Scroll down to read weekly oil , gold and silver predictions. also on www.ckal.in ( www.allpredictions.blogspot.com)

Intra day Gold,silver and Crude oil prediction -august 24,2009

Intra day Gold,silver and Crude oil prediction -august 24,2009

1.Crude oil: Short futures if oil opens with gains -for early morning gains.However it may be better to buy futures upon morning correction for gains by mid day-afternoon.

2. Gold: Buy futures if gold corrects in morning on MCX for gains by afternoon or earlier.

3. Silver: Buy futures if silver futures corrects in morning. However both silver and gold may be volatile today.

4. Mustard seeds ( NCDEX): a volatile futures trade.If mustard futures is in green at time o f morning trade/opening, short futures. Buy futures if there is sharp correction in morning hours

5. Sugar -M Grade: Buy futures after waiting for a morning correction. short futures in afternoon if first part is profitable

A specific buy-sell call may be given.

disclaimer: all predictions carry risk. Pls adjust your trading portfolio to match your risk bearing capacityPls note no intra day prediction or weekly prediction will be posted for Indian stock markets today

Gold, Silver and oil prediction for week August 24-28,2009.

Gold, Silver and oil prediction for week August 24-28,2009.

1Gold Likely to gain after initial correction. Buy upon monday-tuesday correction till mid week. a mixed volatile week.

2. silver: Short futures on any intra day gain at begining of the week for gains. Gains may appear by mid week to end week when intra day correction is possible for both gold and silver

3. Crude oil: Buy futures on early week correction as crude oil may gain over the week

disclaimer: all risk disclaimers apply. Weekly predictions may have higher risk than intra day predictions

Predictions update

1. Now we will aim to provide regular intra day commodity predictions traded on MCX and NCDEX, later expanding to include commodities traded on CBOE(Chicago Board of Exchange.

 

2. Only Internationally and high volume  traded commodities/bullion like gold and silver predictions and high volume traded commodities on NCDEX/MCX wil be included for predictions. Some of these predictions are for sale for MCX/NCDEX members only( more information to be provided by SMS/email)

 

3.Online secure payment option is now operational  for US predictions. However do not pay until formal announcement of start of prediction services on mobile internet.(Ckal.mobi)

 

PS: In the commodity and bullion review of last week(see previous post) we have noted that crude oil prediction was partially correct- futures fell on monday, Tuesday and Friday). however we are unable to confirm whether there was a net fall for the week i.e compared to closing value of 14 august on MCX)

 

Review: Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug 17-21

Summary of predictions: All predictions gave profits ( 7/7) even though we ignore silver  -eighth prediction classified as high risk which also would have given profits from shorting

Commodity and Bullion Prediction as Posted on Aug 17( for Aug 17-21)-weekly charts not available

 

 

 

Gold

 

Likely to rise after a possibe correction.Net gain uncertain

 

Gold declned to $ 930 approx on monday from $947 and then rose close or higher above $947 level by friday evening 5pm.

 

Silver

 

After initial  gain, it may correct with net weekly  gain likely.

 

However since gold and silver are very unlikely to display different trends, this prediction may be treated as high risk with higher risk on silver prediction.

 

Crude Oil

 

In a volatile market, crude oil may decline afte rinitial gain.Short futures till end of week

 

Crude oil futures continued to decline but rose towards end of friday evening( subject to confirmation)

 

Sugar

 

Likely to rise after initial and mid week correction .short futures initially

 

 

Rose after initial correction (?) with friday giving maxium gains

Red Chilli

 

short Red chilli futures as decline is possible after initial gain

 

 

Good profits from shorting .

Black Pepper

 

After initial correction may rise by mid week. Buy on every correction initially till mid week( wed-thurs)

 

 

Good profits from the strategy

Turmeric

 

same as Black pepper,net gain possible by end week

 

 

Good profits with good gains for turmeric overall

Cumin seeds/Jeera

 

short futures as decline in prices likely as least initially and mid week

 

prices most of the week( subject to confirmation) . good gains from shorting cumin futures overall

 

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions). Those receing SMS must control investment to manage risks to tolerable levels. Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

Review: US market prediction - weekly prediction for Aug 17-21

See the weekly Prediction for US market given against the backdrop of Chinese market correction and elsewhere.

 

As opposed to 79 point correction,US market gained on all remaining 4 days( +82,+62,+70,+155) with huge weekly gains.

 

On kaching account we made loss of -$25-30,k or gain of few thousand dollars. This is inspite of loss of over $250,000 on single stock FSLR which corrected sharply thsi week. Rest of portfolio rose by over $220,00. However we have not corrected for the pull down effect of Last friday's( aug 14) stocks) upon adjusting for which there wil be a net gain.

 

Pls note in the last prediction review profits may be less or neagtive since all shorted stocks  do not correspond to friday aug 21.
 

 Weeky prediction as posted on Monday Aug 17

 

 

Weekly Prediction( aug 17-21): US markets may do much better than monday on most days. hence accumulate long trades on every deep correction as US may see gains by en d of week at least compared to lows of Monday Aug 17

 

above strategies wll be followed on kaching account where possible. Long trades of past week will be treated as weekly strategy and more shares accumulated

 

 

 

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for August 21

See intra day chart of US makret on aug 21. No volatility or correction took place. However shorting gave a profit of $ 25-29,000 due to anamolus behaviour of FSLR stock even with wrong prediction.

 

The same anamoly  of FSLR over the week gave net portfolio  loss in weekly prediction even though weekly prediction turned out to be very accurate( to be posted soon)

 

US market index up 140 points. There is possibility of strong correction, possibly after futher upward movement of indices. second of trade today may be volatile.

 

 

Long positions from this week being exited. short positions created for a possible correction

 

Review of all predictions for commodity and stock markets from last week will be posted in next 48 hours

Review: Indian market prediction for the week Aug 17-21

 

Chart above is for sensex for the week Aug 17-21.

Actual prediction is given below.

 

1. as predicted shorting on monday was extremely profitable on monday with lowest sensex value  on wednesday.

 

2. second half of prediction was uncertain but predicted bounceback in second part of the week. Volatile pattern through week is evident in the chart

 

Prediction for the week (aug 17-21) posted on Aug 17(below)

 

 

Indian market may display a choppy uncertain trend most of the week.

 

1. short index options as market may decine initially and such positions may become profitable before wednesday.

 

2. Market may recover in second half of the week however this part of prediction is more uncertain
 

 

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

Review:Commodity and Bullion Gold price Prediction for August 21

Summary: Three of the four predictions were profitable. Oil,Gold , Soyabean but not jeera. In Soyabean however it would have been better to buy futures after morning correction rather than short in morning-which also gave good profits by 11 am.

 

Review of weekly commodity prediction( aug 16-21)  will be provided later

 

1. Crude oil: Oil may be volatile today. Buy futures if oil corrects in morning which may peak in afternoon. Buy futures again if oil corrects in late afternoon. ( trading time on NCDEX/MCX from 10-5 pm is considered- same for gold)
 

after morning correction oil continued to rise amidst choppiness giving good profits

2. Gold: Short gold futures if it opens with gain. There may a steep correction or fall in morning Gold can correct again in late afternoon after a rise in afternoon. a volatile day
 

shorting futures would have given good profits. Correction however was not steep and no correction in afternoon.Gold rose suddenly after 5pm .chart 2 . This chart shows till 2-3 pm to highlight volatility

3. Soyabean :Short Soyabean futures as price is expected to fall most of the day

 

shorting soyabean in morning gave profits but prices did not fall throughout the day and better strategy could have been to buy. Soyabean futures remained below yesterdays' closing till about 3 pm which is not evident from chart . chart 3

4. Jeera: Buy on every correction. Futures trade may be volatile
 

Wrong prediction. Even in a volatile trade it woudl have been better to short.chart 4

 

Soyabean futures remained in correction mode ( i.e. below yesterday's closing till afternoon before rising in late afternoon
 

Review: Intra day Indian stock market Prediction-part 1& 2 , Aug 21

Loss from part 2 of the prediction for 20 lots was Rs 9000 before brokerage as marke corrected after losses were triggered and not to expected extent.

 

Part 1 of the prediction ( scroll down to read entire prediction) would have been significantly in profit-except that no specific trade was given- market rose from morning correction to reach a peak in afternoon.

 

Sensex-Nifty-Indian stock market prediction for day trading

Nifty slightly in negative zone at 12.35 pm. Nifty 4500 Puts at Rs 106 with day's lowest at rs 93.

 

Buy 10 Aug 4500 Puts at Rs 100 and another 10 at Rs 90. Market may correct in late afternoon temporarily at least as indicated in pre market prediction today. ( first part of prediction has been profitable)

 

Profit protection and exit levels as in yesterday's prediction
 

 PART 1 of prediction given in morning

 

 

Indian stock market main indices are expected to reach a peak  possibly highest point by afternoon. second half is more uncertain with possibility of a correction (temporary?)

 

1. Buy in morning if market opens with negative bias. It is possible market may dip in second half or so ( before noon). One may buy if market corrects in fist 80-90 mts

 

2. Hence short for small profits on strong opening of nifty over 50 points.

 

3. short index if prediction overall for the day(first half)  is correct and profits are made in (1)

disclaimer: Usual disclaimer applies.

 

 

 

US market prediction - Intra day for August 21

US market index up 140 points. There is possibility of strong correction, possibly after futher upward movement of indices. second of trade today may be volatile.

 

 

Long positions from this week being exited. short positions created for a possible correction

 

Review of all predictions for commodity and stock markets from last week will be posted in next 48 hours

Intra day Indian stock market Prediction-part 2 , Aug 21

Sensex-Nifty-Indian stock market prediction for day trading

Nifty slightly in negative zone at 12.35 pm. Nifty 4500 Puts at Rs 106 with day's lowest at rs 93.

 

Buy 10 Aug 4500 Puts at Rs 100 and another 10 at Rs 90. Market may correct in late afternoon temporarily at least as indicated in pre market prediction today. ( first part of prediction has been profitable)

 

Profit protection and exit levels as in yesterday's prediction
 

 

disclaimer: Usual disclaimer applies.

 

 

 

Commodity and Bullion Gold price Prediction for August 21

Commodity and Bullion Gold price Prediction for August 21

1. Crude oil: Oil may be volatile today. Buy futures if oil corrects in morning which may peak in afternoon. Buy futures again if oil corrects in late afternoon. ( trading time on NCDEX/MCX from 10-5 pm is considered- same for gold)

2. Gold: Short gold futures if it opens with gain. There may a steep correction or fall in morning Gold can correct again in late afternoon after a rise in afternoon. a volatile day

3. Soyabean :Short Soyabean futures as price is expected to fall most of the day

4. Jeera: Buy on every correction. Futures trade may be volatileDisclaimer: Risk of trading using these prediction lies solely with the trader/user of these predictions

Intra day Indian stock market Prediction Aug 21

Indian stock market main indices are expected to reach a peak  possibly highest point by afternoon. second half is more uncertain with possibility of a correction (temporary?)

 

1. Buy in morning if market opens with negative bias. It is possible market may dip in second half or so ( before noon). One may buy if market corrects in fist 80-90 mts

 

2. Hence short for small profits on strong opening of nifty over 50 points.

 

3. short index if prediction overall for the day(first half)  is correct and profits are made in (1)

 

Actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trading pattern

 

usual disclaimer applies

Review : Intra day Indian stock market Prediction Aug 20

see intra day chart for aug 20. Market fell after rising to highest point as predicted.( highlighted below in red)

 

The trades were not carried out since price limit for purchase of puts were met around 2.30 pm -not before 1.30 pm. Otherwise sharp fall after 2.30 when market rose to higher levels would have e given good profits( closing premioum of Rs 106 against recommended average premium of Rs 84)

 

Prediction as posted before noon- below

 

 

Nifty is now trading at 4475 approx up over 76 points. There is likely to be a temporary correction but possibly from a higher level which may be reached before 1.30 pm approx

 

Buy 5 Nifty Puts 4500 at Rs 87 ( day's lowest so far is 92). and another 15 puts at Rs 81 before 1.30pm.Protect gains of Rs 12 per lot and exit if loss exceeds Rs 9 per lot ( before brokerage)

 

disclaimer: Usual disclaimer applies. This is slightly higher risk predictions

Review:Commodity and Bullion Gold price Prediction for August 20

Summary: All 7 but one strategies were profitable while none was lossmaking ( one was neither loss making nor profitable)

 

Commodity and Bullion Gold price Prediction for August 20

 

1. Crude Oil ( MCX): After initial rise possibly peaking in after noon oil futures likely to give up gains ( 10 am -5 pm). Buy futures in morning and short in afternoon or on initial good rise. ( oil reflects both price and dollar fluctuations)

 see chart 1. Though there was no peak hence no profit or loss ( although spot prices rose), shorting would have been immensely profitable  as seen in chart ( in line with NCDEX/MCX timing gold and oil chart is read between these times only)

 

2. Gold: Buy gold futures in morning ( MCX) which may peak in afternoon. Gold spot prices are indicated to fall in afternoon ( 10 am -5 pm) (gold futures on MCX and NCDEX reflect both gold post price and currency fluctuations hence futures may differ from spot prices quoted on kitco.com in $ terms )

see chart 2 and 3(spot price) gold price after peaking fel sharply in afternoon hence both stratgies profitable

3. Potato: short potato futures ( NCDEX) as it is expected to fall except for a short rise in afternoon when it canbe shorted again.

chart 4. shorting on both occasion - in morning and again in afternon during spike were profitable

4. Turmeric: short turmeric futures if it opens with good gains in morning (NCDEX). exit shorts by afternoon( there is more risk in this predction today)
 

Shorting on good gains in moring was profitable though profits would have been maimized by holding shorts till afternoon.chart 5

 

Intra day Indian stock market Prediction Aug 20

Nifty is now trading at 4475 approx up over 76 points. There is likely to be a temporary correction but possibly from a higher level which may be reached before 1.30 pm approx

 

Buy 5 Nifty Puts 4500 at Rs 87 ( day's lowest so far is 92). and another 15 puts at Rs 81 before 1.30pm.Protect gains of Rs 12 per lot and exit if loss exceeds Rs 9 per lot ( before brokerage)

 

disclaimer: Usual disclaimer applies. This is slightly higher risk predictions

Commodity and Gold price prediction for Aug 20

1. Crude Oil ( MCX): After initial rise possibly peaking in after noon oil futures likely to gie up gains ( 10 am -5 pm). Buy futures in morning and short in afternoon or on initial good rise

2. Gold: Buy gold futures in morning ( MCX) which may peak in afternoon. Gold spot prices are indicated to fall in afternoon ( 10 am -5 pm) Please note gold futures on MCX and NCDEX reflect both gold post price and currency fluctuations hence futures may differ from spot prices quoted on kitco.com in $ terms

3. Potato: short potato futures ( NCDEX) as it is expected to fall except for a short rise in afternoon when it canbe shorted again.

4. Turmeric: short turmeric futures if it opens with good gains in morning (NCDEX). exit shorts by afternoon( there is more risk in this predction today)

Disclaimer: Risk and responsibility of using these prediction lies solely with the user

Intra day Indian stock market Predictions Aug 20

Intra day prediction for today may be given after observing early trading pattern-power supply permitting

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for August 19

See intra day chart above

1.Market recovered to reach high point in afternoon.

2. Fell more than 50 points ( more than  half the gains in late afternoon before recovering slightly)

 

However US market which was expected to open with deeper correction ( more than 150) did not correct so strongly

 

On kaching account counting only the the trades of yesterday

1. Profits made from long trades over $25,000

2. Losses  were about $ 25,000 from trades of yesterday only

 

A note on Kaching account: Kaching website has made some changes since yesterday making it difficult to easily carry out transaction or read day by day transaction. Further profts on long trades are underestimated as in line with prediction profit should be booked in afternoon.. Losses from shorts overestmated slightly because we could not exit in afternoon correction. also reflects wrong choic eof shorting in morning

 

Prediction posted before US market opened on Aug 19

 

 

Although US market is expected to go down in morning following global cues and domestic biz news, it will eventually move temporarily at least to day's high point o rpeak formation before falling again in afternoon. ( there is possibility that nasdaq comp index may do better)

 

1. Buy in morning after a deep correction of 150-200 points

 

2. short in afternoon on mild negative opening in morning of -50/60 points in negative.

 

such trades may be created on Kaching Trading account

US market prediction - Intra day for August 19

Although US market is expected to go down in morning following global cues and domestic biz news, it will eventually move temporarily at least to day's high point o rpeak formation before falling again in afternoon. ( there is possibility that nasdaq comp index may do better)

 

1. Buy in morning after a deep correction of 150-200 points

 

2. short in afternoon on mild negative opening in morning of -50/60 points in negative.

 

such trades may be created on Kaching Trading account

Profits on day trade: Intra day Indian stock market Predictions Aug19

 

20 nifty call soptions were recommended -purchased at Rs 128 average price. Approx profit Rs 25000-Rs 35,000 depending on stop loss ( closing  premium is Rs 156).

 

No trade was recommended for downside in lateafternoon although market slid again as indicated in prediction below
 

Prediction as Posted around 12 noon

 

 

Nifty down at 4379. Buy 10 call options 4300 august at Rs 131 and another 10 at rs 125. exit if loss extends to rs 117.

 

If market rises now as is expected. there may be another fall in late afternoon

 

 

 

disclaimer:  Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

Intra day Indian stock market Predictions Aug19

Nifty down at 4379. Buy 10 call options 4300 august at Rs 131 and another 10 at rs 125. exit if loss extends to rs 117.

 

If market rises now as is expected. there may be another fall in late afternoon

 

 

 

disclaimer:  Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for August 18

1. Market rose to highest point or close to it by afternoon. However there was no sharp pullback.

 

Profits on long Trade created yesterday is approx $ 40,000

Profits from shorting approx $ 3,000

 

1. Pls note that in yesterday commodity predictions, 7/8 strategies for the four predictions would have been profitable, sole exception probbaly being shorting sugar futures in afternoon

 

2. No commodity prediction will be posted today (see weekly predictions below)

 

3. Intra day for indian stock market may be posted if market is not unusually choppy

 

US Prediction as posted on aug 18

US market may reach the day's high point by afternoon. However there is a possibility of sharp pullback/correction in late afternoon in a volatile day.

 

Long positions may be created on weak opening  and short in afternoon .

Review: Intra day Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug18

 

See charts for each- Turmeric. Sugar, Gold, Crude oil.
 

Turmeric: Buy futures on correction or dips in morning-afternoon as prices may rise towards end of day. Shorting with stop loss can be done in morning on positve gains

 

Sept Turmeric contracts futures after falling rose as predicted

 

Sugar: Buy futures now if flat or mildly positive till afternoon. Shorting canbe done in late afternoon as sugar futures may tumble from day's high point towards end of day or late afternoon

 

 

Sugar futures continued to riseinspite  of late afternoon fall in spot prices

Gold : Gold futures may reach a high point in afternoon but may decline in late afternoon amidst volatility in prices

 

 

Gold spot prices reached a peak in afternoon before falling .also reflected in Gold 100 gms futures contract chart. ( ignore graph after evening as gold is continously traded like crude oil)

Crude oil: Buy futures if currently in negative  as it may rise by afternoon .Short futures in late afternoon as peak may not retained

 

 

Like Gold crude oil was highest in after noon before falling in late afternoon> ( ignore chart after  5pm as oil is continously traded)

 Charts from NCDEX website

 

 

See weekly predictions below

 

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions). Those receing SMS must control investment to manage risks to tolerable levels. Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

US market prediction - Intra day for August 18

US market may reach the day's high point by afternoon. However there is a possibility of sharp pullback/correction in late afternoon in a volatile day.

 

Long positions may be created on weak opening  and short in afternoon .

Intra day Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug18

Turmeric: Buy futures on correction or dips in mroning-afternoon as prices may rise towards end of day. Shorting with stop loss can be done in morning on positve gains

 

Sugar: Buy futures now if flat or mildly positive till afternoon. Shorting canbe done in late afternoon as sugar futures may tumble from day's high point towards end of day or late afternoon

 

Gold : Gold futures may reach a high point in afternoon but may decline in late afternoon amidst volatility in prices

 

Crude oil: Buy futures if currently in negative  as it may rise by afternoon .Short futures in late afternoon as peak may not retained

 

 

 

 

See weekly predictions below

 

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions). Those receing SMS must control investment to manage risks to tolerable levels. Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for August 17

As seen in chart dow jones reached highest point in afternoon but then declined- not eactly a plunge.

 

Profits from shorting $10,920.

 

Long trades created in line with weekly prediction

 

US Prediction as posted on Aug 17 below(weekly prediction also posted along with intra day)

 

 

Inspite of negative news and falling global markets, US markets may recover from deep lows o f the day and may reach highest point by afternoon. second half is uncertain but bulk of evidence from our Tarot card model points to another late afternoon plunge even if temporary

 

1. buy on such corrections in morning as market may move up or recover

 

2. short smaller quantities if market recovers by afternoon to exit before close of trade today

 

Intra day commodity and Bullion predictions

we will start posting intra day predictions on certain commodities and bullion whose futures traded on NCDEX and MCX.

See weekly commodity predictions for augsut 17-21 and other predictions by scrolling down below

Re: US market prediction - Intra day for August 17 and weekly prediction for Aug 17-21

Inspite of negative news and falling global markets, US markets may recover from deep lows o f the day and may reach highest point by afternoon. second half is uncertain but bulk of evidence from our Tarot card model points to another late afternoon plunge even if temporary

1. buy on such corrections in morning as market may move up or recover

2. short smaller quantities if market recovers by afternoon to exit before close of trade today

Weekly Prediction( aug 17-21): US markets may do much better than monday on most days. hence accumulate long trades on every deep correction as US may see gains by en d of week at least compared to lows of Monday Aug 17

above strategies wll be followed on kaching account where possible. Long trades of past week will be treated as weekly strategy and more shares accumulated

Indian market prediction for the week Aug 17-21

Indian market may display a choppy uncertain trend most of the week.

 

1. short index options as market may decine initially and such positions may become profitable before wednesday.

 

2. Market may recover in second half of the week however this part of prediction is more uncertain
 

 

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug 17-21

Gold

Likely to rise after a possible correction.Net gain uncertain

Silver

After initial gain, it may correct with net weekly gain likely.

However since gold and silver are very unlikely to display different trends, this prediction may be treated as high risk with higher risk on silver prediction.

Crude Oil

In a volatile market, crude oil may decline afte rinitial gain.Short futures till end of week

Sugar

Likely to rise after initial and mid week correction .short futures initially

Red Chilli

short Red chilli futures as decline is possible after initial gain

Black Pepper

After initial correction may rise by mid week. Buy on every correction initially till mid week( wed-thurs)

Turmeric

same as Black pepper,net gain possible by end week

Cumin seeds/Jeera

short futures as decline in prices likely as least initially and mid week

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions). Those receing SMS must control investment to manage risks to tolerable levels. Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

Review: Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug 10-14

1. Gold: likely to rise after a mid week correction ( International market)

Gold hit a low of $940 approx on wednesday before rising to about $ 957 on intra day basis ( edited -but declined ot $947 towards end of day on aug 14)

2. Silver: Gain likely after a correction and overall for the week

Silver followed gold trend for week and went above Rs 15000.(on intra day basis but declined to lower levels-possibly lower than last week's closing by end of the day-edited)

3. Black Pepper ( on NCDEX) short futures as Black Pepper is likely to correct till mid week at least

Black pepper after gain of Rs 600 on monday crashed till thursday losing more than rs 1000

4. Turmeric( on NCDEX): Gain likely in beginning of week and overall for the week

Turmeric gained on most days stratinmg Monday and went over Rs 8000 before closing about Rs 7600- net gain for the week

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions)

Review: US stock market prediction for the week Aug 10-14

See the weekly chart for dow jones for august 10-14.

 

see also monthly prediction for US and Indian markets along with weekly predictions

 

1. Both strategies of going short on Monday and going long on mid week correction were profitable as seen in chart

2.Dow gained a nominal 1 point lead over last wek closing
 

Review: Indian market prediction for the week Aug 10-13

On the positive side(see weekkly sensex chart august 10-14)

 

1. shorting on monday at close to recommended level would have been profitable on monday itself or wednesday

 

2. Going long on 150 point correction on wednesday would have been profitable on same day or thursday.

 

On negative side indices gained on weekly basis contrary to prediction. There was an error in reporting a 4 day trading week on assumption of holiday on august 14.

Predictions for next week

From now on

 

1.Commodity Predictions for selected futures traded at NCDE/MCX will be posted

 

2.Weekly prediction for US and/or  Indian market will be posted for net week.

 

3. Commodity and stock market prediction review  for week of aug 10-14 will be posted soon

 

some of these redictions will also be available on mobiel site ckal.mobi

Review : US market prediction - Intra day for August 14

As seen in the chart  except for market volatility both aspects of prediction proved right. However market did not open positive for shorting.

 

Low point of the day was shortly before mid day and long positions in 5 shares in Kaching a/c gave a profit of $24,900(unbooked)

 

Pls note that in previous trade of last week shorting Profits on diamond index funds were not reported as short price order at $94.5 was for some reson unexcuted inspite of price limit being met

 

Prediction as Posted before market opened on August 14

 

 

In a volatile or choppy trading expected today, dow jones 30 index may correct or hit a low point shortly before mid day.

 

1. buy on such corrections as market may move up or recover and may even surge up in closing  hours( particularly nasdaq index)

 

2. short on strong opening

 

long trades may be created on kaching trading account
 

US market prediction - Intra day for August 14

In a volatile or choppy trading expected today, dow jones 30 index may correct or hit a low point shortly before mid day.

 

1. buy on such corrections as market may move up or recover and may even surge up in closing  hours( particularly nasdaq index)

 

2. short on strong opening

 

long trades may be created on kaching trading account