Dow index at 86 points. although in previous posting no trade was recommended, based on market performance so far, we short 2 dow ( buy dow puts) and another 2 dow puts at limit of dow +120stop loss of +40 points .protect profits if gain per lot is +40 points with trailing stop loss of 15 points.On Kachin a/c short positions may be created
Prediction as posted today
US markets almost flat in a choppy trade. No trade recommended today( however see the prediction)US market may hit a high/peak before noon but slump in late afternoon. a bounceback is likely towards end of day. Overall choppiness may mark the markets today
Prediction as posted today
US markets almost flat in a choppy trade. No trade recommended today( however see the prediction)US market may hit a high/peak before noon but slump in late afternoon. a bounceback is likely towards end of day. Overall choppiness may mark the markets today
US main index dow down about 47 points after 40 mts of trade.Markets may recover by mid day but could fall in late afternoon temporarily.On kachin site accountlong position created in caterpillar shares ( 30k shares) and another 30k at limit priceAlso long position in Alcoa shares created at limit priceShort position may be created in afternoon . ( past short positions not included)
Cards indicate tha Monsoon could come to NCR and northern India but may be not consistent downpour (unlike last year).NCR could do better than rest of India in overall incidence of monsoon.
Relief from oppressive heat is indicated within next few days
Disclaimer: Predictions of weather are untested and hence cannot be relied upon without greater evidence
US main index dow down about 47 points after 40 mts of trade.
Markets may recover by mid day but could fall in late afternoon temporarily.
On kachin site account
long position created in caterpillar shares ( 30k shares) and another 30k at limit price
Also long position in Alcoa shares created at limit price
Short position may be created in afternoon . ( past short positions not included)
due to fuzzy readings, todays' prediction is high risk.But trades may be carried out if limit price orders place don Kachin Trading site is metUS market may first slump as biz news indicates but reach a peak formation ( not necessarily day's high point) by mid day to ealry afternoon then slump again temporarily.Long positions on IBM created.Boeing shares shortedLong positon on Aloca created at low price limitsNote: As we are now integrating Kaching account with Facebook account, past trading and protfolio will not visible on Facebook accessed Kaching site
No prediction is likely to be posted for next 2-3 days. (except possibly for US markets)
see the intra day chart and two trades recommended. day's lowest point in particular occurred much after the mid day predicted value
Premium on nifty 4300 reached highest Rs 96 and then fell. profit booked at rs 91. Profit after commission rs 7000.Trade no 53Nifty 4300 call premium now at Rs 70 since market has fallen again. and may rise again. Buy 10 call otpions at Rs 65 and ten next lots at Rs 58. Protect profit as before
Lowest price of Rs 74 reached.hence 10 lots pruchased at rs 75. Premium now at rs 90. (ignore pruchase of other lots now)One can take a risk and hold until premium rises to 95 and then use Rs 5 trailing stop loss as market may reach highest point in late afternoon
Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the riseBuy 25 lots of 4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79In the final hour volatility is possible
Lowest price of Rs 74 reached.hence 10 lots pruchased at rs 75. Premium now at rs 90. (ignore pruchase of other lots now)One can take a risk and hold until premium rises to 95 and then use Rs 5 trailing stop loss as market may reach highest point in late afternoon
Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the riseBuy 25 lots of 4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79In the final hour volatility is possible
Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the riseBuy 25 lots of 4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79In the final hour volatility is possible
Prediction as posted onJune 19,2009
US index dow 30 up 54 points at 7.25 pm India time( US ET time - nearly 10 am)US market may see signicant correction -possibly twice once in next hour or so but more likely in afternoon. After that, in the last hour upward movement is likely.On kaching trading site, a numbe of stocks have been shorted at limit prices and existing stock of aloca shares sold at limit prices.Long positions at limit prices may be created upon correction.
Trade no 49- specific trade recommendation was not given.Nifty now close to day's high , sensex at 185 near day 's high point.Buy 10 nifty 4300 puts at current price of Rs 86 and another 20 at limit price of Rs 73 before 1 pm.Market may correct temporarily again in afternoon. Protect profit by margin of Rs 15 withtraling stop loss of rs 5
Trade no 49- specific trade recommendation was not given.Nifty now close to day's high , sensex at 185 near day 's high point.Buy 10 nifty 4300 puts at current price of Rs 86 and another 20 at limit price of Rs 73 before 1 pm.Market may correct temporarily again in afternoon. Protect profit by margin of Rs 15 withtraling stop loss of rs 5
Intra day prediction may not be given today due to cards indicating an uncertain trading pattern . However final update wlil be given after observing trading pattern
Pls note Today's intra day market prediction for US-june 16 carries higher risk.US market index almost flat. Sharp temporary downward movement in afternoon may be preceded and proceeded by upward movement. hence both long and short positions will be created
No Prediction for indian market wil be posted today. Prediction for US market may be given-fyi
US market expected to open down based on futures market indcators.Cards indicate however that market will bounceback and may be close to day's high by afternoon ( 1-2 pm approx). Late afternoon may see loss of gains againLong positions in Diamond index fund created to benefit from intra day bounceback.short positions in IBM and Alcoa created to offset losses from carryover of long positions and benefit from corrections.
Hint: One can make another trade inthe lst hour if above is (trade 46 ) is profitable) by buying call options. ( we will not be publishing this trade-prediction)
Prediction for Indian and US stock markets for the week - June 15-19
1. India
Main indices may gain on weekly basis but after a strong correction that is possible during mid week.Volatility may be particularly marked towards end of the week.( it may be a good idea to day- trade only)
a. strategy 1 ( high risk)- short index on Monday and Tuesday in two equal lots on gain of 300 and 600 points from last week's closing and hold maximum till Thursday
b Strategy 2: take long position of correction of 300 and 600 points during midweek in equal lots
Stocks: Go long on RIL and short HDFC( stock specific predictions carry higher risk)
2. US
US market will also correct strongly but on most days bounceback from such corrections. ON our Kaching trading account ,short positions will mostly be carried over to next trading day and squared off during corrections while long positions created upon any strong intra day correction will be squared off on same day
Disclaimer: Usual risk and responsibility disclaimers apply
Prediction of T20 cricket match between India and England posted on http://www.ckal.in/ . Also read prediction of NBA finals 2009 5th game
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| Profit/Loss from day trade |
| June 12 | $130,000 |
| June 11 | $390,000 |
| June 10 | $250,500 |
| June 9 | $150,000 |
| June 8 | $8300 |
| June 5 | $16500 |
| June 3 | $368,000 |
| June 2 | -$74000 |
| May 29 | 1$3750 |
| May 28 | $6000 |
| Total Profit/increase in portfolio value | 1249050
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Scroll down to read the orginal predictionscroll down to read ( on http://www.ckal.in/ ) NBA finals predictions, Details of profits on Trading Kaching website using our predictions
1. we started our prediction based trading on Kaching trading website from May 28,2009 using the initial allottment of virtual capital of $10 million.
2. This is a authentic trading/investment website which also offers investors/traders to trade with real money on the same platform
3. details of profit/loss are given in table below. Our porftfolio has increased 8.2% as seen in our Kaching Trading site.( details of trades can be verified there).
4. There is discrepancy in the present value of portfolio (8.2% increase) and as reflected in the table below( 11.2%). This may be due to number of reasons including price reporting error on website, possible neglect of some losses on shorting of stocks. we assume the lower of the two figures as being correct
Profit/Loss from day trade | |
June 11 | $390,000 |
June 10 | $250,500 |
June 9 | $150,000 |
June 8 | $8,300 |
June 5 | $16,500 |
June 3 | $368,000 |
June 2 | -$74000 |
May 29 | $3750 |
May 28 | $6000 |
Total Profit/increase in portfolio value | 1,11,9050 |
Prediction as Posted several hours before market opened on June 11
Today's prediction is high risk because of use of a truncated model and also cards indicating choppiness and volatility.US markets may heit apeak around mid day before a correction sets in. Bounceback and correction may follow again.Mix short and long positions to make profit with emphasis on shorting stocks like IBM and United Technology
Prediction of the 4th game of NBA finals 2009 to be played in a few hours has been posted at www.ckal.in
US index dow 30 up 56 points. we expect the markets to go up. Profit/loss from our current portfolio (trade 41) may be maximum well before close of trade today .
This is because at least one correction may take place in late afternoon and proft/loss from shorting will be treated as trade 42
The prediction for the 3rd game of NBA fianls is now posted on www.ckal.in .
US market index dow 30 upo 26 points.we expect market to go up further. However there is at least one correction due in afternoon which may be temporary.Long positions maintained in Alcoa ,caterpillar and Walmart shares on kaching trading siteAlso buy 5 call options now and another 6 if dow corrects to -40 points in next one hour.PREDICTION OF THE 3RD GAME OF NBA TO BE PLAYED TONIGHT MAY BE POSTED LATER ON WWW.CKAL.IN
Intra day prediction as Posted on June 8
US market may dip or correct on opening but likely to move up. A correction is again possible in late afternoon.As we are carrying long and short positions from last week, we will be placing limit price orders for various shares/index funds to enhance benefit from today's expected/predicted movement in indices
Pls note today's prediction carries higher risk
THere will be more than one opportunity to make profits today in a choppy/volatile market. Actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade.Index can be shorted on a positive opening( 80-100 points) or moreIn the second email following this it was mentioned market may fall sharply in afternoon) scroll down below to read)
Pls note today's prediction carries higher risk
Nifty down over 70 points sensex down 136 points. Nifty call option 4500 now at rs 172 with day's low so far at rs 166.Buy 10 call options at current price and another 20 at price of Rs 160 in next 30 mts.proetct profits on gains of Rs 14 with traliing stop loss of rs 4. do not buy second lot if profit on first 10 lot is triggered before purchase of next 20 lots .Market may again fall sharply in afternoon
There will be more than one opportunity to make profits today in a choppy/volatile market. Actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade.Index can be shorted on a positive opening( 80-100 points) or moreNO WEEKLY PREDICTION WILL BE POSTED THIS WEEK
There will be more than one opportunity to make profits today in a choppy/volatile market. Actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade.Index can be shorted on a positive opening( 80-100 points) or moreNO WEEKLY PREDICTION WILL BE POSTED THIS WEEK
US market last week(june 1-5) as posted on June 1
US markets likely to show volatile pattern ( of an intra day nature) where on most occasions indices will show a tendency to bounceback from
dips/corrections
It is possible Nasdaq index may outpeform dow this week.
For our Kaching bases trading, positions will be nasdaq or stok specific
mostly and with a view to holder most of the week
Weekly Prediction as Posted on June 1(below)
The prediction for this week is similar to last week's- a correction till mid week followed by bounceback.1. Short index at levels of +300 and +6 00 until it becomes profitable by mid week.2. Also and alternatively ( for risk averse) Long positions can be built once correction materializes ( of 250 and 300 points ) which may give profits by end of week (thursday/Friday)No other weekly prediction ( except possibly for US market) and no intra day prediction for June 1 for the Indian market will be posted.
Note: Due to odd US trade timings (from Indian perspective), difficulty in squaring buy/sell orders in line with our prediction needs to be resolved. Till such time, unbooked loss/profit will be treated as actual loss./profit for that day in most cases
Prediction as Posted on June 5
US market up over 70 points. The market may see a sharp dip before noon but likely to be moving up afterr that In closing hour, sharp movement is possible but indicies may lose muchof the gains( this part of prediction is least certain)A mix of short and long poistion has been created in Diamond index fund (DIA), walmart, caterpillar shares to take advantage of volatility that i s possible today.Pls note today's prediction carries higher risk
No prediction will be posted today ( for Indian markets)
Predictions for certain matches of the World Cup Cricket ( T20 series)
starting June 5 will now appear on select days only on www.ckal.in
Prediction As posted in pre market hours
Nifty down about 38 points. Nifty 4500 puts at Rs 165. Buy 20 Puts at current price and another 20 may be purchased at Rs 153 ( days; lowest price so far is 157) before 1pm.Market may suddenly bounceback after a sharp fall .hence protect profit after gain of rs 15 with trailing stop loss of rs 4
Nifty down about 38 points. Nifty 4500 puts at Rs 165. Buy 20 Puts at current price and another 20 may be purchased at Rs 153 ( days; lowest price so far is 157) before 1pm.Market may suddenly bounceback after a sharp fall .hence protect profit after gain of rs 15 with trailing stop loss of rs 4
actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade
Prediction as posted on June 3
1. There may be more than one opportunity (possibly three) for making profit today in US market. From a. possible correction when market may move up. b A correction in afternoon and again c. a bounceback towards close of trading time( last 60-80 mts)Long position created for share of Caterpillar Corp( limit price orders).Update may be given if trade is carried out.Note: From now on in absence of options trading for indices on Kaching trading site, shares of companies may be traded
Intra day Prediction as Posted thi smorning (before market opened)
The Indian market is expected to move up today after a flattish start or initial correction with at least one episode of correction in late afternoon( from which it should bounceback) . May hit day's high point before that.actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade
US market this week
US markets likely to show volatile pattern ( of an intra day nature) where
on most occasions indices will show a tendency to bounceback from
dips/corrections
It is possible Nasdaq index may outpeform dow this week.
For our Kaching bases trading, positions will be nasdaq or stok specific
mostly and with a view to holder most of the week
Intra day June 1: market may surge up after initial loss of momentum
The prediction for this week is similar to last week's- a correction till mid week followed by bounceback.1. Short index at levels of +300 and +6 00 until it becomes profitable by mid week.2. Also and alternatively ( for risk averse) Long positions can be built once correction materializes ( of 250 and 300 points ) which may give profits by end of week (thursday/Friday)No other weekly prediction ( except possibly for US market) and no intra day prediction for June 1 for the Indian market will be posted.
1. Sensex closed well above the April closing. Thsi would be true even if 2000 point gain post election which is anamoly and not predicted is discounted.See Month of May chart (No intra day prediction for Indian markets will be posted today June 2)
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Intra day June 1: market may surge up after initial loss of momentum
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