Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Profit from Prediction based Trade 96: Indian market Aug 27

Nifty Aug Put 4300 premium rose to high of 38.30 in steep fall before closing at above 32.50. Hence profit booked at Rs 36.80. With brokerage of Rs 2 per lot profit is Rs 7400 on 10 lots
 
It is not clear if premium rose to RS 15 in specified time limit for purchase of next 15 lots.hence profit level limited to 10 lots only
 
 


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Profit from Prediction based Trade 96: Indian market Aug 27

Nifty Aug Put 4300 premium rose to high of 38.30 in steep fall before closing at above 32.50. Hence profit booked at Rs 36.80. With brokerage of Rs 2 per lot profit is Rs 7400 on 10 lots
 
It is not clear if premium rose to RS 15 in specified time limit for purchase of next 15 lots.hence profit level limited to 10 lots only
 
 


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Profit from Prediction based Trade 95: US market Aug 26

Dow index rose nearly 67points after puchase of 1st lot ( and the only lot) but since no trailing stop loss margin (apart from stop loss level)  was specified. Profit is deemed booked at lower level when dow gain was just 40 points. hence profit is $100


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Final Update: Prediction based Trade 96: Indian market Aug 27


It was not mentioned the trailing stop loss level. This shoud be Rs 1.50 with nifty premium now at 29.5 with high of 31.5


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Final Update: Prediction based Trade 96: Indian market Aug 27

at nearly 3 pm nfity is below 4300 level with nifty put 4300 premium at 26 with high of rs 29.50 ( jsut below target of Rs 30). Protect premium at Rs 25 on all  lots



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Update: Prediction based Trade 96: Indian market Aug 27

Nifty Put 4300 aug premium over Rs 24 now. Profit to be protected at Rs 26 after premium has crossed Rs 30 and trailing by Rs 4 after every  Rs 4 increase in premium
 
Also stop loss levels to be held in abeyance for now


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Prediction based Trade 96: Indian market Aug 27


Market may go down again in afternoon before bouncing back

Nifty Put 4300 aug at premium of Rs 20. Buy 10 lots of nifty puts and another fifteen lots at limit price of Rs 15 if available in next 1 hour


Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Prediction based trade 95 : US market Aug 26

Dow down 17 points after 25 mts of trade at 11369

Dow and nasdaq expected to hit a near peak in next 3 hours. Though after that higher values amidst volatility not ruled out.

Buy 3 lots of dow call options -1 at present level second at dow -70 and thrid lot at dow -100 ( before 12 noon)

Protect profits after dow gains 50 points on lots with trailing stop loss at 40 points. exit all lots at -120

Prediction based Trade 95: US market Aug 26

Dow down 17 points after 25 mts of trade at 11369
 
Dow and nasdaq expected to hit a near peak in next 3 hours. Though after that higher values amidst volatility not ruled out.
 
Buy 3 lots of dow call options -1 at present level second at dow -70 and thrid lot at dow -100 ( before 12 noon)
 
Protect profits after dow gains 50 points on lots with trailing stop loss at 40 points. exit all lots at -120
 

Monday, August 25, 2008

Addtional rules on Profit booking and Stop Loss

In a virtual trading it is not possible to track markets throughout the day. Hence we have introduced the following rules which will apply if no alternative directions are given along with market predictions or before the predicted event or in follow up article

1. Profit will be protected once net profits on trade exceeds 15% with stop loss at 13% and trailing profits by same margin for every 1% increase in profits ( even if profits appear before predicted time or day) for a single lot of options or futures

2. In case of more than 1 lot , for 50% of lots ( to nearest integer) profits will be protected as per above rules and for remaining lots .For remaining lots of options, profits will be protected at 25% profts with trailing stop loss at 23% and increasing by 1%

3.Losses wil be squared in cse of wrong predictions for all lots but one when losses are 25% of initial investment

4. If follow -up Predictions fail to appear on blog on time, above rules will apply as well

Addtional Rules on Profit booking and Stop loss


In a virtual trading it is not possible to track markets throughout the day. Hence we have introduced the following rules which will apply if no alternative directions are given along with market predictions or before the predicted event
 
1. Profit will be protected once net profits on trade exceeds 15% with stop loss at 13% and trailing profits by same margin for every 1% increase in profits ( even if profits appear before predicted time or day) for a single lot of options or futures
 
2. In case of more than 1 lot , for 50% of lots ( to nearest integer) profits will be protected as per above rules and for remaining lots .For remaining lots of options, profits will be protected at 25% profts with trailing stop loss at 23% and increasing by 1%
 
3.Losses wil be sqaured in cse of wrong predictions for all lots but one when losses are 25% of  initial investment
 
4. If  follow -up Predictions fail to appear on blog on time, above rules will apply as well



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Friday, August 22, 2008

Oil price to touch new high? by Tarot cards

Based on reading of Tarot cards , it is possible that crude oil prices may rise to a new all time high before october. Yearly lows has already been attained in april as per Tarot reading hence oil may not go down below 90-100 a barrel

Also read Further thoughts on " Do People Under Invest in their spiritual growth" now posted at www.IndiaConsulting.in

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Correction: trade 94 final update:Profit

Please note as per profit booking rules set yesterday in Trade 94 profits would be $165 and not $ 200 as reported earlier

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Prediction based trade 94 final update:Profit booked

2 lots of dow call options purchased at dow -100 and dow -150 ( days low so far is -160 approx) at average level whne dow was
 -125.
 
Dow has risen to peak formation like structure with a near term high of - 80 appox that is gain of 45 points per lot. Stop loss triggered at dow -85 with total gain of 80 points on two lots. approx gain of $ 200 ( based on rough calculatation of $5 mini dow).
 
 
 

 

Prediction based trade 94: Update


Profits must be protected after a gain of 40 points with stop loss trailing at 10 point difference

Predictions based trade 94: US market Aug 19


Dow and nasdaq down 67 and 14 points after about 10 mts of trade.
 
Market outlook: Both indices likely to bounceback by afternoon creating a peak formation approx between 1-2 pm( US time). Thereafter marketoutlook is less certain due to volatility( a sharp fall is possible in late afternoon)
 
Strategy: Buy two lots of dow index call options one at dow -100 and second at dow -150 with stop loss at 190 for both. Buy both lots before 12 noon

Predictions update



Predictions are being resumed -earlier than the announced date. Hence no free tips over phone will be available.

Monday, August 18, 2008

Predictions update

Please note our predictions are likely to resume on Monday August 25. In meantime you may call for daily tips on Wednesday and Friday between 10 and 11 am for market outlook at 9911698256

Saturday, August 09, 2008

Performance Report on Prediction based Trading Fund

The usual format for performance review of our prediction based trading fund may not available fro some time .Please note the following regarding predictions this week

.1 This has been a bad week with losses over 5% of our trading fund for the entire week. However we continue to outperform all major indices with our trading fund still giving 13-15% since April 1

2. Based on our experience this week, some changes in rules regarding booking of profits and stop loss will be introduced( In real trading ,for example significant profits will be booked even if they occur before our predicted time)

Friday, August 08, 2008

Update on Trade 91: Us market weekly predictions

3 dow puts purchased at average dow 30 level of 11356.33. Profits should be protected once dow 30 hits 11320 today

updates on this week's predictions

Indian market Weekly predictions: 4 lots of nifty 4400 puts purchased at Rs 139 average price. After brokerage will become profitable at any premium over 143 per lot.( remaining lots not purchased as price target not met) Sharp correction predicted between 6-8 august happened only from very high levels.

 

Day prediction: Monday 4 intra day loss will be included in weekly performance chart

 

 

US market- weekly prediction: Carrying forward so far 3 dow 30 Puts purchased at 11370( 2 lots)  and 11322(1 lot). This postion was already profitable on Monday ( and in real trade profits would have been booked) .however we recommended carrying these positions till end of week in line with our predictions sharp correction towards end of week. These positions will become profitable at dow 30 level of 11357 approx or below ( Thursday closing of dow 30 at 11431)

Tuesday, August 05, 2008

update on trade 90

Purchase of 5 Put options recommended for week at Rs 155.90  and another 10 at limit price of Rs 145. Profits on weekly predictions to be booked between Wednesday and friday

Prediction based trade 93 and 90: Indian market

 

Trade 91: Buy 5 nifty 4400 put tion option at sr 155.90 and another 5 options at limit price of Rs 142 till late lateafternoon protect profits after a premium advantage of Rs 21 is reached over average premium paid

 

Trade 90: Buy Nifty put options at current price of Rs155.90 till rest of the week

 

 

PS: please note error in numbering of last night’s US predictions. Weekly predictions now in profit at about $ 500( unbooked) while day predictions was exited at no loss

further update on trade 90 & 91

Trade 90: nasdaq call option has gone in to mild profit zone( should not go onto loss zone)

 

Trade 91: three lots of dow puts purchased with 1 lot at  11323 and next 2 lots at dow +50 ( i.e when dow was 11370 few minutes back)

Monday, August 04, 2008

update on prediction based trade 90&91: US market

Trade 90: Intra day- dow down only 3 poinst nasdaq down 18-19 points

 

Buy 1 lot of nasdaq call options now and another lot if nasdaq is down 30 points before about 1 hour before market closing

 

 

Trade 91 ( for the week) : short 1 dow ( buy put options) and another 2 lots if dow rises+50 points

Prediction based trade 92: US market for the week aug 4-8

A downward trend especially for dow index. Short positions for the week can be built towards end of day when market may bounceback.

Prediction based intra day trade 91: US market aug 4

Dow down 68 points at after 40 minutes of trade today. Nasdaq down 15 points. Both indices particularly nasdaq likely to bounceback towards end of day.

 

However buying level may  be informed later during the day today

 

Update on Trade 90: Indian market aug 4-8

Buy first 4 lots at Rs 139 of nifty put 4400 ( day low is Rs 140  few minutes back) and rest of lots as recommended

 

 

Prediction based Trade 90: India market( based on weekly prediction-aug 4-8)

Nifty Put options 4400 at Rs 151 now at 11.25 am approx.

 

 

Accumulate nifty 4400 put option till Tuesday at limit price of Rs 135( 4 lots)  and for every Rs 20 increase( buy 5 lots) with maximum of 25 lots.

 

Start booking profits by Wednesday

 

Markets to remain volatile throughout this week

Sunday, August 03, 2008

Predictions

Predictions are likely to resume this week after a long gap, ceteris paribus (or nearly so)

 
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