Predictions and articles

The follwing articles and predictions will appear/start appearing on mentioned sites/blogs

1. Predictions based trading fund trading only nifty/sensex equities ( buying/shorting) will start. It will be both prediction based and information based on www.kal.in and www.ckal.in

2. Can Terrrorist acts be predicted astrologically - an analysis with special reference to Indian situation( on www.ckal.in )

3.Economic Policy for preventing/countering terrorist acts ( on www.IndiaConsulting.in )

Because of data collection requirements articles (2 and 3) may be take time to appear and may be in short series format

Review: Predictions for the week- nov 24-28 US market

The prediction for the week was

 

"...This week market likely to correct  steeply mid week with possibility of bounceback towards end of week....."
 

 

Review: See the chart above ignoring the last friday section. The week was truncated due to Thursday and part Friday holiday .Market corrected on intra day basis on tuesday and wednesday ( from point of Put purchase) and then bounced back sharply from wednesday lows. Correction was however expected to be sharper .
 

Profit booked-trade 104 : Predictions for the week- nov 24-28 US market

dow hit at low of 8311 today( so far after 3 hours of trade) down 168 points.hence stop loss hit at 8341. With average purchase level of dow puts at 8435.Profit on three lots is $707.5 (for our fixed rate of $1 =40) at rs  28300 or Rs 34668( at 1 $ =49)

Nov 26 update-trade 104 : Predictions for the week- nov 24-28 US market

See predictions and update on trade 104 for US market initiated since Monday nov 24

 

 

On all 3Puts purchased, once dow drops 150 points put a trailing stop loss of 30 points and exit all puts today

update based trade 104: US market weekly prediction nov 24-28

carrying over 3 lots of dow 30 puts from nov 24 trade. the market saw a sharp fall from a high of 8607 but no further puts were added as limit price/level was not met.

 

to exit these positions on wednesday ( ort thursday) if no sharp intra day correction occurs on nov 26

Losses booked: Prediction based trade 105: Indian market nov 25

Nifty call premium on 1 lot purchased at 91.5 rose with day;s highest premium at rs 130. we assume profits were booked at rs 115. however as no bounceback followed the correction and no stop loss was specified, loss on other 4 lots is taken at rs 30- the closing value of call premium.

 

hence total loss ( after brokerage of rs 2) is about rs 6600.

Preediction based trade 105: Indian market nov 25

 

Trade 105

 

sensex up about 141 at 11.51 am

 

 

buy 1 nifty 2700 call  at rs 91.5 (current premium)

 

and buy another 4 lots at 76 rs if available before 2.30 pm today as market coudl see a sharp bounceback(temp?) after a correction form current levels

 

put trailing stop loss at rs 7 after level of rs 100 is reached

Preediction based trade 105: Indian market nov 25

Trade 105

 

sensex up about 141 at 11.51 am

 

 

buy 1 nifty 2700 call  at rs 91.5 (current premium)

 

and buy another 4 lots at 76 rs if available before 2.30 pm today as market coudl see a sharp bounceback(temp?) after a correction form current levels

 

put trailing stop loss at rs 7 after level of rs 100 is reached

update: Predictions for the week- nov 24-28 US market

Trade no 104 ( not 105 as mendtioned yesterday)

 

2 lots of dow 30 puts purchased when dow was up 350 points at 8396.as dow hit a high of 8599. another 1 put was purchased.( please note if dow rises or opens over the limit level indicated remaining 3 puts will be purchased).

Predictions for the week- nov 24-28 US market

Dow jones up over 350 points at 8390 after 2.5 hours of trade.

 

This week market likely to correct  steeply mid week with possibility of bounceback towards end of week.

 

 

trade 105: Strategy- buy 2 puts now and add 1 put for every 120 point rise in dow with maximum of 6 puts in all to be carried till wednesday. and maximum of 1 put to be carried for till thursday morning.

 

Call options may be recommended later as trade 106

Predictions

As the market is generally bearish, we will be making predictions ( intra day, weekly etc) mostly when bullishness is expected till further notice.However absence of predictions is not to be taken as prediction of bearishnes by default nor all long calls can/will be predicted.

 

 

Imp: we have noticed albeit belatedly a posting on Direct selling ( not deleted so far) on www.ckal.in made on nov 4. This post was not put up by us nor authorized by us. please bring to our notice any unusual post on these blogs

 

 

Predictions for coming week- nov 17-21

Posting of Predictions for the coming week ( on www.kal.in and www.ckal.in ) are uncertain due to long powercuts expected this week and in future.In addition predictions if any may be posted on mobile site ckal.mobi also

Meanwhile enjoy this sand scupture of Mr Obama. If you have more of such sculpures etc of eminent persons you may post them to me

Coming next on www.Indiaconsulting.in : Part 9: What India/world can do to avoid deep recession? summary

Can we isolate impact of religion and spiritual practices on economic and material outcomes? to participate in this survey please send your interest at wwwkalin@yahoo.co.in

Review of weekly Prediction Indian market: nov 10-14

 

 

we predicted for the week nov 10-14

"... tomorrow (tuesday- nov 11 ) short postion can be built for a possible intra day correction on Wednesday (or Thursday) with sharp bounceback possible on friday"

 

As can be seen in the chart for sensex for nov 10-14( ignore nov 7 chart), market corrected on tuesday and wednesday ( thursday being holiday). However bouceback though sharp on friday lasted only 30 minutes

Re: Prediction based trade Indian market: nov 10-14

With reference to yesterdays's prediction, since correction has occurred today without index enetring positive territory ( our intended point fo going short) this particular trade is abandoned

Prediction based trade Indian market: nov 10-14

No prediction is being posted for today .

 

However tomorrow short postion can be built for a possible intra day correction on Wednesday (or Thursday) with sharp bounceback possible on friday

 

This trade will be numbered ( 104) only if actual trade is recommended on 11 nov

correction: Profit booked: Prediction based trade 103:US market: Nov 7

Please note in last prediction due to a trailing stop loss of 30 points, profit on two lots was 2x150 points, not 2x180 points. giving a profit of $ 750

Profit booked: Prediction based trade 103:US market: Nov 7

Dow reached a high of 266.hence only two lots of dow purchased (and  in late afternoon dow fell nearly 180 points( before recovering  near to day's high). Hence profit on two lots $900 ( Rs 36000 at $ 1=40 (our fixed exchange rate) and Rs 43200 ( at $1 =-Rs 48).

update: Prediction based trade 103:US market: nov 7

Buy 2 dow puts if dow again reaches 225 and another 2 lots at 275 with stop loss at 325. Protect profits after a avg gain of 70 points on each lot with trailing stop loss at 30 points


Some thoughts on : what India/world can do to avoid deep recession? on http://www.indiaconsulting.in/

Technical advice required: Can emails being sent out be destroyed at internet gateway .pls send answers at wwwkalin@yahoo.co.in

Prediction based trade 103:US market: nov 7

In US market dow index up over 122 points after 35 minutes trade.

Prediction: Market though volatile, is likely to go up further in mid phase of the day but loose gains towards end of day especially on dow -( Nasdaq may see better performance)

Hence short on dow 30 in afternoon at levels( higher levels than at present) which may be informed later ( or this trade may be abandoned)

profit booked: update: Prediction based trade 102: based on weekly outlook: nov 3-7

Nifty 3000 put premium has been rising with falling markets with last premium around 208.50 giving a maximum profit on 9 puts after brokerage of rs 4 at about Rs 18000. Though nifty hs been declining continously especially after reaching profit target, it is not clear if trailing stop loss would hav e been breached. hence we assume only Rs 9000 as profits.

Note: Based on correction prediction for wednesday , profit could have been increased by adding to short positions of last two days


Part 4: Some further thoughts on "what India/world could do to avoid deep recession" will appear soon on www.Indiaconsulting.in

update: Prediction based trade 102: based on weekly outlook: nov 3

as per our weekly prediction market has corrected ( but profits were not booked on monday/ tuesday)

 

9 puts nifty 3000 purchased at average of rs 163.90. profits may be protected at rs  4 traling loss once a premium magin of rs 10 is achieved. highest premium so far is 164
 

 

note: due to ongoing long power cuts for last several days/most days, we may not be able to post updated messages in time. hence book losses/profits as per your risk assessment

Re: Prediction based trade 102: based on weekly outlook: nov 3

Buy 5 lots at current level of rs 131 instead of 121

Re: Prediction based trade 102: based on weekly outlook: nov 3

Though yesterday and today market saw correction from the nifty(put) buying levels ( Rs 205), premium did not reach the profit target.

Now Nifty up nearly 100 points with nifty put 3000 premium at Rs 125.buy aother 5 lots at rs 121 to average out and wait for apossible correction by wednesday

Prediction based trade 102: based on weekly outlook: nov 3

Nifty up about 126 points with nifty 300o put at Rs 208 with high of Rs 245 so far today

 

Market likely to see correction by /before mid week (

 

 

Buy 4 nifty puts at  205 and another set of lots  may be added by tommarrow on further upside.

 

Profit to be protected once clear advantage of Rs 35 appears with stop loss trailing at Rs 9 gap

 

Usual disclaimer applies

 

 

Review of Intra day prediction 100 & 101: oct 31

see intra day chart for oct 31 for sensex and nifty.

 

While both indices fell sharply hitting their lowest value in afternoon and rising sharply, none of the trade could be executed due to limit price condition not being met