Saturday, May 30, 2009

Review: World Markets this week-Prediction for May 25-29

As can be seen from the three weekly charts for the three world markst,(Japan Germany & India- US prediction was not given), charts conform quiet well to the predicted weekly trend/ strategies

 
Weekly prediction as Posted on May 25

Pls adjust the correction/bounceback dates if any of the markets have less than 5 trading days this week
 
 
Japanese Stock markets(Nikkie 225): Short Nikkie 225 index ( now up 85 points in morning) once it cross +200 points. This is likely  to become profitable by mid week.However any correction on Tuesday should be treated as opportunity to take long position for 1-2 days
 
 
Dax Index(germany): short index on positive values of index as market may see see a strong correction  by/before Wednesday before a bounceback towards end  of week
 
 
Sensex-Nifty : Mixed trend. sensex after a strong (300-400) point correction may see upward trend. Hence take long position after correction materializes by/before mid week
 
US market prediction may be given later.
 
Sensex-Intra day May 25: Buy call options after any sharp dip or correction before 11.30 am.

Review : Trade no 34: Intra day US Stock market prediction May 29

As seen in chart we booked profits before the highest point in late afternoon. ( due to market choppiness).
 
Proft of $3750
 
Prediction as posted on May 29 below
 
US market likley to rise to day's highest by afternoon with possibility of temporary correction by late afternoon( which we will ignore in our trades)
 
OnKaching trading platform orders placed for US$110000  or more ( price limit orders) for
 
1. DIA index fund
2. shares of 3M corpor
 
Hope to see profits by late afternoon

Friday, May 29, 2009

Update on Profit booked: Trade no 34: Intra day US Stock market prediction May 29

As clear from portfolio /cash position profits from today's trade after deducting yesterday's profit is
$ 3750. Due to our need to demonstrate effectiveness of day trading or weekly o r monthly predictions we will be liquidating all stocks after a certain time ( day or week or month) as the case may be.


Last PriceChangeCost/ShareSharesMkt ValueTotal Gain% Gain% of Port


.
Cash
Available Cash:10,009,750 100.0%
Short Collateral:0 0.0%
Subtotal Cash:10,009,750 100.0%
Total:10,009,750





At this time profits of approx $ 1320 are booked. The table below shows $6000 profit of yesterday.

Final picture on profits will be given later.

Pls note although profits seem high , it is partly because of large virtual money allocated for trading/investment on Kaching trading platform. The table may not be fully visible becaue of formatting problems.

MM
SHORT
5,000
$56.45
limit
5/29/09 10:25 PM
Current Holdings
CompanyResearchLast PriceChangeCost/ShareSharesMkt ValueTotal Gain% Gain% of Port.
Long Positions
84.040.0283.41
10,000 +
840,4006,3500.8%8.4%
56.430.1256.24
5,000 +
282,1709700.3%2.8%
Subtotal Longs:1,122,5707,3200.7%11.2%




Profit booked: Trade no 34: Intra day US Stock market prediction May 29

At this time profits of approx $ 1320 are booked. The table below shows $6000 profit of yesterday.

Final picture on profits  will be given later.

Pls note although profits seem high , it is partly because  of large virtual money allocated for trading/investment on Kaching trading platform. The  table may not be fully visible becaue of formatting problems.

SHORT
5,000
$56.45
limit
5/29/09 10:25 PM
Current Holdings
CompanyResearchLast PriceChangeCost/ShareSharesMkt ValueTotal Gain% Gain % of Port.
Long Positions
84.040.0283.41
10,000 + 
840,4006,3500.8%8.4%
56.430.1256.24
5,000 + 
282,1709700.3%2.8%
Subtotal Longs:1,122,5707,3200.7% 11.2%



Trade no 34: Intra day US Stock market prediction May 29


US market likley to rise to day's highest by afternoon with possibility of temporary correction by late afternoon( which we will ignore in our trades)
 
OnKaching trading platform orders placed for US$110000  or more ( price limit orders) for
 
1. DIA index fund
2. shares of 3M corpor
 
Hope to see profits by late afternoon

Book loss: Intra day Prediction May 29Indian markets trade 33

Nifty 4200 put price now at Rs 89.70. since the prediction in in essence incorrect today book a loss of Rs 6000 on 10+10(20) lots bought at Rs 99.20 and Rs 90.( correction and upswing may still happen however outside the predicted time zone)

Re: Intra day Prediction May 29Indian markets trade 33

Nifty at 4390. There may be two opportunities to make profit today.
 
Go short. Buy 10 Puts 4200 at Rs 99.20 curren price and another 10 at Rs 90  in next 30 mts.
protect profits by margin fo Rs 13 traling stop loss of Rs 4
 
Correction possible before 2 pm amidst volatility and rise thereafter possible
 
 

 

Re: Intra day Prediction May 29Indian markets

Profit from US trade May 28 - using Kaching real time Investment(trading improvised) platform
 
 
The table below may not appear correctly
 
5000 unit of DIA exchange Fund( to proxy dow index) purchased at $82.80 with profit at end of the  day of $6000.
 
The trading platform allocates $10 million of virtual money for investing. However we will be using this for demonstrating prediction based trading
 
Current Holdings
Company Research Last Price Change Cost/Share Shares Mkt Value Total Gain % Gain % of Port.
Long Positions
84.02 0.86 82.82
5,000 + 
420,100 6,000 1.4% 4.2%
Subtotal Longs: 420,100 6,000 1.4% 4.2%
Cash
Available Cash: 9,585,900     95.8%
Short Collateral: 0     0.0%
Subtotal Cash: 9,585,900     95.8%
Total: 10,006,000 6,000  
 

 
US market : Henceforth , performance of US markets related prediction will also be demonstrated using the Kaching virtual Investing /trading platform. As options are currently not included in the Kaching platform we will be making use of ETFs ( suchas  Daaimond Trust Index) most closely tracking Dow /Nasdaq Index

Re: Intra day Prediction May 29Indian markets


Information about any prediction for Indian markets for today will  be posted between 10-11 am.
 
 
US market : Henceforth , performance of US markets related prediction will also be demonstrated using the Kaching virtual Investing /trading platform. As options are currently not included in the Kaching platform we will be making use of ETFs ( suchas  Daaimond Trust Index) most closely tracking Dow /Nasdaq Index

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Review: Intra day Prediction May 28-Indian markets



Prediction (without general specific trading recommendation) as posted in pre market hours today:
 
 

NO Prediction may be posted today. Part of the reason is the possibility of unusual trading patterns emerging ,possibily sharp volatility or choppiness in the markets.
 
However those wishing to trade may take long position( Call options)  if markets corrects in first 15-30 mts ( over 150 points or more ). This may be give profits by afternoon or earlier

Intra day Prediction May 28-Indian markets


NO Prediction may be posted today. Part of the reason is the possibility of unusual trading patterns emerging ,possibily sharp volatility or choppiness in the markets.
 
However those wishing to trade may take long position( Call options)  if markets corrects in first 15-30 mts ( over 150 points or more ). This may be give profits by afternoon or earlier

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Review: Intra day Prediction May 27 Indian Markets Trade no 32

The best option price was around Rs 33 in the prescribed time limit and Puts Trade in morning would have been profitable as sensex fell 125 poinst/Nifty over 40 points before 1 pm.
 
Specific recommendation for Long position was not posted for afternoon trade . As seen Sensex bounced over 300 points from afternoon low's
 
Both indices equally well in tandem contrary to our prediction
 
 
 
Prediction based trading as posted in two parts(below)
 
1. Pre market
 

Indian markets may correct or dip sharply(from any strong  postive start) before mid day before a sharp bounceback.
 
Long Position may be initiated upon any 100-150 point correction in sensex.( It is possible that snesex and nifty may perform differently today)
 
actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade today
 
2. Post market opening
 

Nifty up at 4196. Nifty 4200 Put at rs 48 approx with day';s low at Rs 31
 
Buy 10+10 Puts at Rs 30 and Rs 25 if available  in next 60 mts. exit by  1 pm or earlier if profitt per lot is Rs 13 (Use  trailing stop loss of Rs 5)
 
 

Intra day Prediction May 27 Indian Markets Trade no 32


Nifty up at 4196. Nifty 4200 Put at rs 48 approx with day';s low at Rs 31
 
Buy 10+10 Puts at Rs 30 and Rs 25 if available  in next 60 mts. exit by  1 pm or earlier if profitt per lot is Rs 13 (Use  trailing stop loss of Rs 5)
 
 

Updated Review : World Markets this week-Prediction for May 25-29

 see chart for last 2 days except Nikkie ( for last three days -may 25-27)
 
Summary: All weekly prediction based Trades are in black( profitable)
 
1. Nikkie 225 : Short position recommended at start of week and long position on tuesday correction -both are  profitable now
 
2. DAX: strong correection till tuesday afternoon has given strong profits. However bounceback has already occurred.
 
3. Sensex/Nifty- Correction of 300-400 points has already happened but further correction is not ruled out today(see intra day prediction for today)

 

WEEKLY PREDICTION AS POSTE EARLIER
 

 
Pls adjust the correction/bounceback dates if any of the markets have less than 5 trading days this week
 
 
Japanese Stock markets(Nikkie 225): Short Nikkie 225 index ( now up 85 points in morning) once it cross +200 points. This is likely  to become profitable by mid week.However any correction on Tuesday should be treated as opportunity to take long position for 1-2 days
 
 
Dax Index(germany): short index on positive values of index as market may see see a strong correction  by/before Wednesday before a bounceback towards end  of week
 
 
Sensex-Nifty : Mixed trend. sensex after a strong (300-400) point correction may see upward trend. Hence take long position after correction materializes by/before mid week
 
US market prediction may be given later.
 
Sensex-Intra day May 25: Buy call options after any sharp dip or correction before 11.30 am.

Intra day Prediction May 27 Indian Markets


Indian markets may correct or dip sharply(from any strong  postive start) before mid day before a sharp bounceback.
 
Long Position may be initiated upon any 100-150 point correction in sensex.( It is possible that snesex and nifty may perform differently today)
 
actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trade today

Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Review : Intra day Prediction based Indian market and weekly prediction

Nifty call premium hit a low of Rs 142 approx in the time limit before reaching ahigh of Rs 186 before 12 noon. Hence no trade.( in afternoon call premium fell to lower levels however)
 
Review of weekly Prediction
 
1. Short position on DAX became  profitable yesterday with a maximum fall of over 90 points after a positive start.
 
2.short position on Nikkie 225 is now in black with nikkie down 95 points but target of +200 for shorting  yesterday was not met ( maximum was Nikkie +175 yesterday.)
 
 
 

 
Pls see the reference to Indian markets for today in previous posting.
 
Nifty has corrected somewhat but alarger correction may be due before a bounceback.
 
Buy  nifty 10 call options at limit price of Rs 135 and 30 call options at limit price of Rs 122  before 11.3 0 am ( day's best price so far is around Rs 150)
 
 
Pls note henceforth there will be fewer but much larger trades since we are working with an assumed traidng capital of Rs 10lacs.Hence losses as well profits will be larger

Monday, May 25, 2009

Intra day Prediction based trade no 31 Indian market May 25


Pls see the reference to Indian markets for today in previous posting.
 
Nifty has corrected somewhat but alarger correction may be due before a bounceback.
 
Buy  nifty 10 call options at limit price of Rs 135 and 30 call options at limit price of Rs 122  before 11.3 0 am ( day's best price so far is around Rs 150)
 
 
Pls note henceforth there will be fewer but much larger trades since we are working with an assumed traidng capital of Rs 10lacs.Hence losses as well profits will be larger

World Markets this week-Prediction for May 25-29



Pls adjust the correction/bounceback dates if any of the markets have less than 5 trading days this week
 
 
Japanese Stock markets(Nikkie 225): Short Nikkie 225 index ( now up 85 points in morning) once it cross +200 points. This is likely  to become profitable by mid week.However any correction on Tuesday should be treated as opportunity to take long position for 1-2 days
 
 
Dax Index(germany): short index on positive values of index as market may see see a strong correction  by/before Wednesday before a bounceback towards end  of week
 
 
Sensex-Nifty : Mixed trend. sensex after a strong (300-400) point correction may see upward trend. Hence take long position after correction materializes by/before mid week
 
US market prediction may be given later.
 
Sensex-Intra day May 25: Buy call options after any sharp dip or correction before 11.30 am.

Sunday, May 24, 2009

IPL Finals Prediction: Deccan vs Bangalore

IPL 2 cricket Final- Prediction: Deccan Chargers vs Royal Challengers Bangalore


Working with a somewhat expanded model of prediction we came to the following conclusion about the probable outcome of the Final Match of IPL 2 to be played between Deccan and Bangalore in a few hours

Deccan seems to have an upper hand looking at the cards drawn for various aspects of the game except bowling. Latter seem less certain probably indicating medium to high target –over 170.Deccan batting may see fluctuating fortune.

However Cards for Bangalore are not uniformly bad . Banglore if they are chasing a total may see one of their promising batsman (today) throw away wicket at critical juncture.

Considering the close matched cards; for reconfirmation we turned towards a quick astrological approach further indicating Deccan’s team have an advantage today

Saturday, May 23, 2009

IPl cricket predictions- Semifinal 2

Semi Final 2 : Chennai vs Bangalore

 

 

It may be another low scoring match. Bangalore may pull themselves out of crisis of sorts to win this match.Chennai may recover from early losses but possibly not enough to win.

 

 

Friday, May 22, 2009

Semi Final IPL cricket prediction

Ist Semifinal: Delhi Daredevils vs Deccan Chargers- May 22, 2009

A detailed Tarot card based examination was done to determine which team will win the semi final today.

It seems like a relatively low scoring match with team(s) playing below their potential.

Cards indicate that bowling of both teams will be good with early losses for both.

Overall while a tie or match that will be full of suspense till the last bowl is great possibility, on balance Delhi likely to emerge winner. deccan morelikely to loose batting second.

Also separate cards drawn for possible finalists seem to indicate Final will be between Delhi and Chennai

IPl cricket predictions- Semifinals & Final

Prediction for one or more of the above matches may be posted
 
 
All stock market  predictions will be posted on www.ckal.in also until further notice

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Review: Profits from US stock market prediction for the week May 18-22

 
 
6 put  options of dow and nasdaq ( in total 12) were purchased based on weekly prediction of correction before/by thursday spread over 3 buying  levels.
 
As seen in chart ( ignore Friday chart) on wednesday while these were marginally profitable , by thursday( with trading still on today but no intra day prediction) the position on 12 lots is heavily profitable in the approximate range of  $3000 to $ 5000 ( this range is given because on monday while open values were flat for a infitesmal second before indices shot up over 100 points/ 20 points)nasdaq).
 
 
 
 As posted on May 18
 
 
US stock market prediction -May 18-22

US market may see a mixed a pattern this week with significant correction by mid week ( before thursday closing)- end of week may see a bounceback.

Buy 2 dow and nasdaq puts each on flat or positive opening today and add up to 6 puts of each for every 70 point ( 15 point for nasdaq) rise in dow 30 index till tuesday.. ( This may become profitable even today-see intra day prediction above to be posted soon)



disclaimer: all risk to be borne by trader for using these predictions


Bollywood news, movie reviews, film trailers and more! Click here.

IPL cricket prediction may 21


IPL cricket predictions may not be posted for today's matches but pls visit www.ckal.in to confirm.
 
 
IF YOU ARE UNABLE TO SEE THIS BLOGs www.ckal.in  OR WWW.KAL.IN  USE THIS METHOD
 
1. TYPE www.google.com/gwt/n in the browser
2. type site address ( store the addresses to avoid retyping )
3. Now you can see all the latest posts on the desktop as well as on the mobile internet using this method-no time download problem

The New Govt Must act tough with the High and Mighty Corrupt

Why the new government must go whole hog at corrupt in high places-starting with politicians

 

  1. Today an article appears in  Times of India exhorting the New Government to keep out  tainted and corrupt politicians. It is difficult to understand why historically governments have not taken tough or tougher measures against misuse of power. Now winds is blowing in the right direction to take measures against such people in power or access to power. Here are the reasons why it is best to act now

 

  • People's  refrain everywhere when discussing politics is about Development and Corruption. In recent times we have seen how people reward politicians genuinely trying for development ( though there are some aberrations). Anti corruption  measures (including criminals) against the mighty "Untouchables" can be a mighy  image booster with real effects that will accumulate over time. It is less likely to considered an "eyewash' or gimmick when taken up a "clean govt", more effective when taken at start of election cycle, when taken up without coercion from outside such as judiciary or opposition. In recent times perhaps only Mayawati( against some criminal MPs minister)  and BJD govt in Orissa took tough measures. ( did it dent their image because of such measures ?).
  • Many of us are accustomed to accepting and thinking certain process must go through a time cycle. Whether it is population reduction, personal growth or development,. There are examples across the world- of nations, people and organizations - which convincingly strike and destroy these long accepted "time" theories.
  • Corruption with its incarnations can have the following impacts; some are recognized;, others may be not so much. That mere a small percentage of development money reaches its beneficiaries is often  repeated. It also means when read together with examples of local leaders in different part of India that development is not as capital expensive/resource intensive as is often thought. Corruption also has a serious potential implication that may cut across the normal zone of influence of a leader"- security. Corruption can be a serious drawback to entrepreneurial spirit ; to creation of trust and team work; to focusing  of energy in right direction.
  • Anti corruption seems to be a high return low cost investment both politically and economically. So why successive governments do not act tough to boost their image and their election prospects?
  • Of course corruption has seeped in the segments of society, some of which  may be difficult to trace and therefore dislodge.
  • Perhaps Media has not fully utilized its potential in this direction. This may be best done by acting together; creating new bench marks  for people in power  and creating internal competition. There cannot be a more powerful countervailing institution than media ( if it does not loose its independence to corporate shareholders and HNIs investors )
  • We may soon see some entrepreneur making Anti Corruption a highly profitable and widely participative activity. It should not be hard.

Predictions

No stock market predictions will be posted for rest of this week . However IPL cricket predictions and other predictions may be posted(see  www.ckal.in)

Review: Trade no 31: Intra dayUS Stock market prediction May 20



Prediction as posted yesterday (chart above) : No trade was executed
 
 

Dow index up 64 points at start of trade. Buy 1 call option if dow  comes down to 15 and second if dow is down -40 in next 90 mts. dow  index likley to hit higher( or highest?) value between 1-2 pm
a fair amt of volatility/correction  may be seen in late afternoon but a positive close is likely.
 
Index may be shorted in late after noon

Review : Intra day Indian Stock market prediction May 20

 
 
Prediction as posted (see chart)
 
Actual trade may be recommended later. Trade may be executed if there is a positive strong start in first few mts.
 
 
Prediction: Profits can be made on more than one occassion today. Short index on strong start( This may be quick correction). However indices may see close to day's high by mid day. Late and closing session of the day is least certain with possibility of another correction

 

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Trade no 31: Intra dayUS Stock market prediction May 20


Dow index up 64 points at start of trade. Buy 1 call option if dow  comes down to 15 and second if dow is down -40 in next 90 mts. dow  index likley to hit higher( or highest?) value between 1-2 pm
a fair amt of volatility/correction  may be seen in late afternoon but a positive close is likely.
 
Index may be shorted in late after noon

Intra day Indian Stock market prediction May 20

Actual trade may be recommended later. Trade may be executed if there is a positive strong start in first few mts.
 
 
Prediction: Profits can be made on more than one occassion today. Short index on strong start( This may be quick correction). However indices may see close to day's high by mid day. Late and closing session of the day is least certain with possibility of another correction

 

Re: Intra dayUS Stock market prediction May 19


See the chart for dow 30 and prediction posted. Due to indication of choppy trade no trade was recommended
 

 
US market to open in another 3 hours. Initial indications from business news indicate positive start.
 
However cards indicate possibility of making profits with both shorts and call options inthat order- amidst a choppy market.
 
Hence short on strong positive opening.
 
Specific  trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern.
 
Note: IT MAY BE TOO CHOPPY TO TRADE TODAY

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Alternate ways to read the blogs


we have noticed blogs ww.kal.in and www.ckal.in are not visible atthe moment. However there are two ways to read the lastest postings
 
1. Go to www.google.com/gwt/n  and type blog/site address( this will work both for PC and mobile internet)
 
2. Click the "mobile version" on sidebar and store the feed address( only for mobile unless feed address is stored inthe desktop)
 

Intra dayUS Stock market prediction May 19

US market to open in another 3 hours. Initial indications from business news indicate positive start.
 
However cards indicate possibility of making profits with both shorts and call options inthat order- amidst a choppy market.
 
Hence short on strong positive opening.
 
Specific  trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern.
 
Note: IT MAY BE TOO CHOPPY TO TRADE TODAY

Monday, May 18, 2009

Intra day Prediction for US market -May 18

dow up 105 points and nasdaq up over 18 points. Short dow ( buy 2 Puts if dow hits 180 points) exit at 210( U S market may go up much higher by mid day before giving up some of those gains temporarily)

Note: because of higher risk today this is not being given as a regular series

US stock market prediction for the week -May 18-22,2009

US stock market prediction -May 18-22

US market may see a mixed a pattern this week with significant correction by mid week ( before thursday closing)- end of week may see a bounceback.

Buy 2 dow and nasdaq puts each on flat or positive opening today and add up to 6 puts of each for every 70 point ( 15 point for nasdaq) rise in dow 30 index till tuesday. ( This may become profitable even today-see intra day prediction above to be posted soon)



disclaimer: all risk to be brone by trader for using these predictions

Predictions

One or more of the following predictions will be posted today
 
1. US market Intra day
2. US market this week( may 18-22)( 1 and 2 on www.kal.in )
3. IPL cricket- KKR vs CSK ( www.ckal.in )
 
scroll down below or search in box for May prediction( or see under May postings for May 2009 month prediction)

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Revisiting old prediction: date of Swearing-in?

Given below is prediction about the probable date of swearing in of new govt posted in March-april .see link to read original prediction.key parts highlighted.

See the planetary chart for may 20, 2009. also see details of India's birth chart and other details.(not shown here)
for several reasons it seems that swearing in could take place on may 20,2009( any guess when party -to -be in power will choose time of swearing??-unfortunately early morning and late evening time though best may not be available)
Also note that Jupiter would have just traversed to sign of aquarius( indias tenth house)-
Thus given election results date(16 may) and expected swearing in date, it may not be a too much of a divided vote or collusion could take place in surprisingly fast time


Loss booked: Intra day Indian Stock market prediction May 15-trade 30

Please see the chart above. 10 puts purchased at rs 124. Profit threshold level was not crossed during the day .hence loss booked at closing premium of Rs 118.15(+2 for brokerage per lot=Rs 100 per lot )= approx 3925
 

 

Market yet to open.Nifty closed yesterday at 3593.45 with Nifty 3600 May Put at Rs 150.45.
 
Buy 10 Puts if premium on above put is above Rs 165( edited rs 124) ( unless it opens even higher).More Pts may be added
 
Market may follow the indecisive pattern of yesterday with possibly larger range of movement with more than opportunity to make profit from intra day trade
 

Friday, May 15, 2009

IPL prediction

IPL prediction may be posted on www.ckal.in for certain matches

edited version Role of Other Ministries in Solar Power Unit

To the previous version the follwing thoughts are added and comments invited
1. Given the need for transporting the solar panels equipments to remote areas, what role can be assigned to Transport ministry in the Cell
 
2. Given the vast network and need for communication it would be gullible to leave out IT ministry from the scope of work for such a Unit- indeed a Standing Committee may need need to be created for the same- which works at direction of a panel including  foreign experts/agencies


 
From the previou version
 

Institutional requirements: Creating policy and institutional environment for Solar power industry

 

Falling oil price is a mirage and a temporary phenomenon. In future both rising prices and climate/environment concerns will make it imperative to promote solar power in a big way as that is India' s natural advantage.Also falling costs and minitiaruization of solar components( higher kw/per unit area of panels/cell) will make solar power increasingly attractive. So who will be next Tulsi Tanti of Solar industry.(may be Tulsi Tanti himself as he set eyes on solar after his phenomenal success .)

 

The transition from TEXTILE industry to wind industry must be replicable to solar.
 

For this a Special Cell must be created comprising the following ministries with clear cut responsibilities for their solar cell.

 

  1. Renewable energy ministry( for obvious reasons, tech expertise)
  2. Commerce Ministry ( for fast tracking proper incentive policies for import/export of components
  3. External affair ministry may play a n important role in raising contacts/funds(indirectly)
  4. Ofcourse Cell for them may  have to approved by a parliamentary process(perhaps?)
  5. Links with external agencies like UN to support research and development

 

error: Intra day Indian Stock market prediction May 15-trade 30

Apologies for erroneous posting. shorting was recommended on a higher positive opeing. Hence Nifty Put premium could not be higher( it should be lower ) than yesterday.
 
 
It is recommended in line with our prediction to Buy(short) 10 puts at current premium of Rs 124 and another 10 at limit price of Rs 105 if available in next  70 mts.Protect profits on a gain of Rs 12 per lot with traling stop loss of Rs 4

 
 

Intra day Indian Stock market prediction May 15-trade 30


Market yet to open.Nifty closed yesterday at 3593.45 with Nifty 3600 May Put at Rs 150.45.
 
Buy 10 Puts if premium on above put is above Rs 165( unless it opens even higher).More Pts may be added
 
Market may follow the indecisive pattern of yesterday with possibly larger range of movement with more than opportunity to make profit from intra day trade
 

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Predictions

No prediction will be posted today on either of our two blogs including for IPL matches

Re: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 30 US market May 13, 30 profitable prediction based trade series


as seen from the chart there was no real bounceback leading to total loss of $160 on four lots
 
 
After 3 hours and 15 mts of trade dow down 149 points Nasdaq down 35 points with day';s low so far at 1675 ( now at 1680)
 
Buy 4 nasdaq call options at -40,42, 44 and 46 and hold till last 60-70 mts of trade today unless a profit of 10 points per lot is created with trailing stop loss of 3 points. Last 60-70 mts could see market making gains/bounceback ( from  possibly even lower levels than now)
 
 

 


 
 
IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in




Wednesday, May 13, 2009

US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 30 US market May 13, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

 
After 3 hours and 15 mts of trade dow down 149 points Nasdaq down 35 points with day';s low so far at 1675 ( now at 1680)
 
Buy 4 nasdaq call options at -40,42, 44 and 46 and hold till last 60-70 mts of trade today unless a profit of 10 points per lot is created with trailing stop loss of 3 points. Last 60-70 mts could see market making gains/bounceback ( from  possibly even lower levels than now)
 
 

 


 
 
IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in


Loss booked: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 29 US market May 12, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

Losses are booked at closing values since no threshold level was set $140 for two options.
 
However straddle option( both call and put options) would have been immensely profitable as seen from chart,especially last two hours of trade approx

 
US market to open in next 1- 1/2 hours
 
 
This trade should be considered only after observing initial market trends
 
Buy nasdaq call options if US market opens negative. ( buy at opening values plus-5, second option at opening value of nasdaq plus -10)
 
Apart from this, sharp movement in dow possible in last 2 hours of trade. A straddle consisting of call and put option may be purchased and exit that option which becomes profitable first.(pls note that our system of calculating profits will not be applicable in this case for obvious reasons)
 
 
IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in


Tuesday, May 12, 2009

update: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 29 US market May 12, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

Dow now at+ 45
nasdaq at +10 after 7-8 mt of trade
 
buy 1 nasdaq call option now and second one if nasdaq hits -3 in next 3 hours
 
 

US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 29 US market May 12, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

US market to open in next 1- 1/2 hours
 
 
This trade should be considered only after observing initial market trends
 
Buy nasdaq call options if US market opens negative. ( buy at opening values plus-5, second option at opening value of nasdaq plus -10)
 
Apart from this, sharp movement in dow possible in last 2 hours of trade. A straddle consisting of call and put option may be purchased and exit that option which becomes profitable first.(pls note that our system of calculating profits will not be applicable in this case for obvious reasons)
 
 
IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

Review: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 28 US market May 11,, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

US market did not cross the profit  threshold level nor did it rise in last 90-100 mts.
 
Loss for the only lot purchased is $59 at closing levels of do w index
 

 
US market in negative
 
dow down 132 points and nasdaq down 30 points.after 30 mt of trade. market may recover fromhere
 
buy 1 call option now and 2nd one at -170 and third one at -200 before  2pm US time.Best bounceback may be in last 90-100 mts( today trade thoygh numbered involves higher than normal risk
 
IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

Monday, May 11, 2009

Profit booking levels: US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 28 US market May 11,, 30 profitable prediction based trade series


The profit booking levels was missing in the last post. Profit should be protected after a gain of 50 points per lot with trailing stop loss of  20 points

 

 


 
US market in negative
 
dow down 132 points and nasdaq down 30 points.after 30 mt of trade. market may recover fromhere
 
buy 1 call option now and 2nd one at -170 and third one at -200 before  2pm US time.Best bounceback may be in last 90-100 mts( today trade thoygh numbered involves higher than normal risk
 
IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

US Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 28 US market May 11,, 30 profitable prediction based trade series


US market in negative
 
dow down 132 points and nasdaq down 30 points.after 30 mt of trade. market may recover fromhere
 
buy 1 call option now and 2nd one at -170 and third one at -200 before  2pm US time.Best bounceback may be in last 90-100 mts( today trade thoygh numbered involves higher than normal risk
 
IPl cricket  prediction for today's match at www.ckal.in

Saturday, May 09, 2009

Predictions in the coming week May 11-15


Unfortunately no IPL prediction could be put up today . However next week a number of predictions may  be posted.
 
These include
 
1. weekly and intra day currency predictions
2. Commodity/bullion predictions(weekly or intra day- new test series)
3. weekly world market predictions
4 IPL predictions on www.ckal.in
5. Future of IPL teams( on www.ckal.in starting soon subject to feedback)
 

Review: US market prediction May 8

 
As can be seen from the chart, first trade of shorting(Puts) would have been extremely profitable-$190 per lot approx.(see prediction below)
 
However this prediction was classified as high risk due to uncertainity of  timing of market pattern(intra day) .
 
 
IPL cricket  for May 9 may be posted later in the day
 
 
 

risk this is not from our regular prediction series
 
 
Dow up 135 points after 25-30 mts of trade. Market may see a correction  and then move up again. Buy 1 dow put now and another if dow hits 180 in next 80 mts.protect profit as in last trade
 
If profitable call options can be purchased towards end of the day( last 60-70 mts)
 
Coming next : IPL cricket prediction on www.ckal.in

Friday, May 08, 2009

US market prediction May 8

Due to high risk this is not from our regular prediction series
 
 
Dow up 135 points after 25-30 mts of trade. Market may see a correction  and then move up again. Buy 1 dow put now and another if dow hits 180 in next 80 mts.protect profit as in last trade
 
If profitable call options can be purchased towards end of the day( last 60-70 mts)
 
Coming next : IPL cricket prediction on www.ckal.in

Thursday, May 07, 2009

How profits are calculated?

Profits are calculated differently for Indian and US markets, primarily because in latter reliable real time option prices are not available.Hence profits are taken as profits on $5 mini dow options or $10 mini nasdaq with 50% of change in dow or nasdaq being used (times $5 0r $10) to indicate profits. In Indian case since option premium values are easily available on NSE and brokerage sites, profit calculation is straightforward.Further brokerage costs is built in previous while Indian case, Rs 2 is charged per brokerage for intra day and Rs 4 if trade is beyond one day.

Edited: ( Further in first case while actual trading profist may be and wil be different from calculated here, Indian case they will/should correspond exactly)

Info: Site stats/path shows there is an unusual site visit at www.ckal.in possibly involving change of site layout .Pls send an email at wwwkal.in@yahoo.co.in if there is any unusual posting or change on any of our blogs
NO Indian market Prediction will be available tommorrow. However prediction for US market may be given

Predictions

No predictions will be posted tdoay

Wednesday, May 06, 2009

profit booked: Indian Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 27 May 6, 30 profitable prediction based trade series


.Market slid aroudn 2 pm . 5 Puts purchased at Rs 110 around mid day  .However next 5 Puts though available at 103( days' best value by coincidence) was just outside the time limit. hence profit on 5 lots after brokerage is Rs 4500 approx

Indian Stock market prediction-Prediction based Trade no 27 May 6, 30 profitable prediction based trade series

Nifty at day's high with nifty 3500 put premium at days lowest.

buy 5 nifty put at Rs 110 and another 5 at Rs 103 if available in next 60 mts. protect profit after average gain of Rs 10 with trailing stop loss of rs 4.

market may continue to show mixed pattern as in morning

Intra day sensex/nifty Prediction for May 6

Markets may show mixed pattern with a downward bias.

It maybe best to short the index around mid-day if markets are trading in green or bounced back from any morning corrections

exact shorting instructions may be given only after observing markets trends today

see below for May Prediction for Indian market

see. http://www.ckal.in/ for IPL predictions for possible winners and today's match

IF THIS BLOG OR http://www.ckal.in/ TAKES TIME TO DOWNLAOD ON THE PC, TYPE www.google.com/gwt/n AND THEN TYPE SITE ADDRESS(STORE THE ADDRESS) . YOU CAN THEN READ THE SITE QUICKLY. THIS IS ESPECIALLY GOOD IF YOU ARE USING MOBILE INTERNET

Tuesday, May 05, 2009

Further thoughts/predictions on Indian markets in May and world markets

Please read May 2009 prediction on www.kal.in

Planetary transits indicate that after recent run up in markets certain markets; India, HongKong, Canada, USA, Europe may be prone to bearish attacks -those on lookout for opportunities in a fragile market(edited) . Hence those with investible funds one may maintain neutral stance neither investing nor disinvesting too much at this point( subject to risk appetite)


disclaimer: Invest according to risk bearing capacity and gut feeling and information. This is an untested method of prediction

Indian stock market-sensex/nifty Prediction for May 2009

On May 4 ,sensex closed at 12134 up 731 points.

Cards indciate that market may do well in the ongoing phase while a severe correction is due in the mid phase (edited- 10-20 may approx) of may ( corresponding to pre and post election results dates???) .

However amidst volatility indices like sensex will move up thereafter. Overall net gain is possible even counting from yesterday closing but episodes of severe volatility being a distinct possibility.
NO intra day prediction to be posted today

ON IPL predictions see http://www.ckal.in/

Monday, May 04, 2009

Review: May 4 Intra day prediction

see the prediction given this morning much before the market opened and categorized as High Risk Prediction(chart above)
 
Apart from the much stronger opening than anticiapted , mid day correction also did not occur
 
 

Intra day prediction for Indian stock market monday may 4

Because of high risk of today's predictions, it is not being given as a regular 30 trade prediction series.

IF MARKET/SENSEX IS OVER 130-150 POINTS IN FIRST 100 MTS OF TRADE, SHORT THE INDEX AS MARKET MAY SEE CORRECTION BEFORE BOUNCING BACK TOWARDS END OF THE DAY

IPL cricket predictions will be posted on www.ckal.in later in the day. May Month prediction may be posted tonight

Sunday, May 03, 2009

Review: April 2009 Predictions for Indian stock market


As seen from the chart index has seen substantial gains over march closing( such vast gains were not predicted). Also correctly predicted were mid month and end of month corrections


next possible post on this blog: Indian market in May 2009, Intra day may 4

see http://www.ckal.in/ for IPL cricket predictions




April 2009 as Predicted for Indian Stock markets( below)




1. Main index like sensex like to make net gains over march closing(9708-march 31)


2. sharpest correction in the month will be in mid phase of the month ( earlier part of 10-20 april)


3. Last 5-7 days to be very volatile


4. Call option can be purchased for next few days. Short index once nifty rises 100-150 points



usual disclaimer applies

Review: April 2009 Predictions for US stock market

As seen from the dow 30 index chart for month of april, dow 30 has seen a good monthly gain with no particular trend(original prediction below)

As predicted for US market for April 2009
 
 

Based on Tarot cards US indices like dow 30 likely to see net gains over March 31 closing -(7609)
 
However details are not apparent since whole month  will be marked by corrections and bounceback-middle and end part of month more likely to see corrections
 

 

Review: weekly currency Predictions April 27-May 1

Prediction made for last week ( april 27-may 1)

1. $ depreciated against Yen initially and then appreciated overall- from 97 to about 99 yens per dollar -CORRECT
2.$ appreciated against euro initially then depreciated overall -from E0.76 to a dollar to E0.75 per dollar( edited for mistake)-CORRECT
3. Pound sterling appreciated as opposed to prediction of $appreciation - WRONG
4. Hong kong dollar appreciated-CORRECT




next possible post on this blog: review of monthly prediction for US and Indian market

Review: Prediction of Japanese and European Stock Market April 27-May 1

1. chart 1: Japanese market was closed on wednesday. However as per prediction buying call option on Mon-Tue would have become profitable towards end of week.However no strong correction took place on friday
 
2. Chart 2-FTSE: buying on monday correction would have become profitable by mid week( definitionof mid week is hazy?). However such a buying would havebeen most profitable towards end of week( that was not predicted)
 
next post: review of weekly currency prediction
 
see www.ckal.in for regular IPL predictions
 

Prediction of Japanese/Nikkie225 Index
 
Accumulate Call options on the index till tuesday upon any intra day correction( lower index values than last week's closing value)  which is likley to become to profitable as week progresses but friday may see strong correction
 
 
European/FTSE 100 Index: No particular trend is visible.However correction on Monday may be buying opportunity which will become profitable before/by mid week. At the same time strong opening on Monday can be used to short index whioch may become profitable by midweek 

predictions for the coming week may 4-8


Some predictions including for IPL will be posted this week.
 
However due to extremely erratic power and internet connections now in force it is difficult to predict if any can be posted in time or at all

Saturday, May 02, 2009

IPL predictions

IPL prediction just posted on www.ckal.in

Friday, May 01, 2009

IPL cricket predictions -may 1

IPl cricket predictions will be posted soon on www.ckal.in for May 1.

we will be posting predictions on likely winner, semi-finalists, finalists etc in next few days

 
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