Review: Intra day Indian stock market Prediction-part 1& 2 , Aug 21

Loss from part 2 of the prediction for 20 lots was Rs 9000 before brokerage as marke corrected after losses were triggered and not to expected extent.

 

Part 1 of the prediction ( scroll down to read entire prediction) would have been significantly in profit-except that no specific trade was given- market rose from morning correction to reach a peak in afternoon.

 

Sensex-Nifty-Indian stock market prediction for day trading

Nifty slightly in negative zone at 12.35 pm. Nifty 4500 Puts at Rs 106 with day's lowest at rs 93.

 

Buy 10 Aug 4500 Puts at Rs 100 and another 10 at Rs 90. Market may correct in late afternoon temporarily at least as indicated in pre market prediction today. ( first part of prediction has been profitable)

 

Profit protection and exit levels as in yesterday's prediction
 

 PART 1 of prediction given in morning

 

 

Indian stock market main indices are expected to reach a peak  possibly highest point by afternoon. second half is more uncertain with possibility of a correction (temporary?)

 

1. Buy in morning if market opens with negative bias. It is possible market may dip in second half or so ( before noon). One may buy if market corrects in fist 80-90 mts

 

2. Hence short for small profits on strong opening of nifty over 50 points.

 

3. short index if prediction overall for the day(first half)  is correct and profits are made in (1)

disclaimer: Usual disclaimer applies.

 

 

 

US market prediction - Intra day for August 21

US market index up 140 points. There is possibility of strong correction, possibly after futher upward movement of indices. second of trade today may be volatile.

 

 

Long positions from this week being exited. short positions created for a possible correction

 

Review of all predictions for commodity and stock markets from last week will be posted in next 48 hours

Intra day Indian stock market Prediction-part 2 , Aug 21

Sensex-Nifty-Indian stock market prediction for day trading

Nifty slightly in negative zone at 12.35 pm. Nifty 4500 Puts at Rs 106 with day's lowest at rs 93.

 

Buy 10 Aug 4500 Puts at Rs 100 and another 10 at Rs 90. Market may correct in late afternoon temporarily at least as indicated in pre market prediction today. ( first part of prediction has been profitable)

 

Profit protection and exit levels as in yesterday's prediction
 

 

disclaimer: Usual disclaimer applies.

 

 

 

Commodity and Bullion Gold price Prediction for August 21

Commodity and Bullion Gold price Prediction for August 21

1. Crude oil: Oil may be volatile today. Buy futures if oil corrects in morning which may peak in afternoon. Buy futures again if oil corrects in late afternoon. ( trading time on NCDEX/MCX from 10-5 pm is considered- same for gold)

2. Gold: Short gold futures if it opens with gain. There may a steep correction or fall in morning Gold can correct again in late afternoon after a rise in afternoon. a volatile day

3. Soyabean :Short Soyabean futures as price is expected to fall most of the day

4. Jeera: Buy on every correction. Futures trade may be volatileDisclaimer: Risk of trading using these prediction lies solely with the trader/user of these predictions

Intra day Indian stock market Prediction Aug 21

Indian stock market main indices are expected to reach a peak  possibly highest point by afternoon. second half is more uncertain with possibility of a correction (temporary?)

 

1. Buy in morning if market opens with negative bias. It is possible market may dip in second half or so ( before noon). One may buy if market corrects in fist 80-90 mts

 

2. Hence short for small profits on strong opening of nifty over 50 points.

 

3. short index if prediction overall for the day(first half)  is correct and profits are made in (1)

 

Actual trade may be recommended after observing initial trading pattern

 

usual disclaimer applies

Review : Intra day Indian stock market Prediction Aug 20

see intra day chart for aug 20. Market fell after rising to highest point as predicted.( highlighted below in red)

 

The trades were not carried out since price limit for purchase of puts were met around 2.30 pm -not before 1.30 pm. Otherwise sharp fall after 2.30 when market rose to higher levels would have e given good profits( closing premioum of Rs 106 against recommended average premium of Rs 84)

 

Prediction as posted before noon- below

 

 

Nifty is now trading at 4475 approx up over 76 points. There is likely to be a temporary correction but possibly from a higher level which may be reached before 1.30 pm approx

 

Buy 5 Nifty Puts 4500 at Rs 87 ( day's lowest so far is 92). and another 15 puts at Rs 81 before 1.30pm.Protect gains of Rs 12 per lot and exit if loss exceeds Rs 9 per lot ( before brokerage)

 

disclaimer: Usual disclaimer applies. This is slightly higher risk predictions

Review:Commodity and Bullion Gold price Prediction for August 20

Summary: All 7 but one strategies were profitable while none was lossmaking ( one was neither loss making nor profitable)

 

Commodity and Bullion Gold price Prediction for August 20

 

1. Crude Oil ( MCX): After initial rise possibly peaking in after noon oil futures likely to give up gains ( 10 am -5 pm). Buy futures in morning and short in afternoon or on initial good rise. ( oil reflects both price and dollar fluctuations)

 see chart 1. Though there was no peak hence no profit or loss ( although spot prices rose), shorting would have been immensely profitable  as seen in chart ( in line with NCDEX/MCX timing gold and oil chart is read between these times only)

 

2. Gold: Buy gold futures in morning ( MCX) which may peak in afternoon. Gold spot prices are indicated to fall in afternoon ( 10 am -5 pm) (gold futures on MCX and NCDEX reflect both gold post price and currency fluctuations hence futures may differ from spot prices quoted on kitco.com in $ terms )

see chart 2 and 3(spot price) gold price after peaking fel sharply in afternoon hence both stratgies profitable

3. Potato: short potato futures ( NCDEX) as it is expected to fall except for a short rise in afternoon when it canbe shorted again.

chart 4. shorting on both occasion - in morning and again in afternon during spike were profitable

4. Turmeric: short turmeric futures if it opens with good gains in morning (NCDEX). exit shorts by afternoon( there is more risk in this predction today)
 

Shorting on good gains in moring was profitable though profits would have been maimized by holding shorts till afternoon.chart 5

 

Intra day Indian stock market Prediction Aug 20

Nifty is now trading at 4475 approx up over 76 points. There is likely to be a temporary correction but possibly from a higher level which may be reached before 1.30 pm approx

 

Buy 5 Nifty Puts 4500 at Rs 87 ( day's lowest so far is 92). and another 15 puts at Rs 81 before 1.30pm.Protect gains of Rs 12 per lot and exit if loss exceeds Rs 9 per lot ( before brokerage)

 

disclaimer: Usual disclaimer applies. This is slightly higher risk predictions

Commodity and Gold price prediction for Aug 20

1. Crude Oil ( MCX): After initial rise possibly peaking in after noon oil futures likely to gie up gains ( 10 am -5 pm). Buy futures in morning and short in afternoon or on initial good rise

2. Gold: Buy gold futures in morning ( MCX) which may peak in afternoon. Gold spot prices are indicated to fall in afternoon ( 10 am -5 pm) Please note gold futures on MCX and NCDEX reflect both gold post price and currency fluctuations hence futures may differ from spot prices quoted on kitco.com in $ terms

3. Potato: short potato futures ( NCDEX) as it is expected to fall except for a short rise in afternoon when it canbe shorted again.

4. Turmeric: short turmeric futures if it opens with good gains in morning (NCDEX). exit shorts by afternoon( there is more risk in this predction today)

Disclaimer: Risk and responsibility of using these prediction lies solely with the user

Intra day Indian stock market Predictions Aug 20

Intra day prediction for today may be given after observing early trading pattern-power supply permitting

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for August 19

See intra day chart above

1.Market recovered to reach high point in afternoon.

2. Fell more than 50 points ( more than  half the gains in late afternoon before recovering slightly)

 

However US market which was expected to open with deeper correction ( more than 150) did not correct so strongly

 

On kaching account counting only the the trades of yesterday

1. Profits made from long trades over $25,000

2. Losses  were about $ 25,000 from trades of yesterday only

 

A note on Kaching account: Kaching website has made some changes since yesterday making it difficult to easily carry out transaction or read day by day transaction. Further profts on long trades are underestimated as in line with prediction profit should be booked in afternoon.. Losses from shorts overestmated slightly because we could not exit in afternoon correction. also reflects wrong choic eof shorting in morning

 

Prediction posted before US market opened on Aug 19

 

 

Although US market is expected to go down in morning following global cues and domestic biz news, it will eventually move temporarily at least to day's high point o rpeak formation before falling again in afternoon. ( there is possibility that nasdaq comp index may do better)

 

1. Buy in morning after a deep correction of 150-200 points

 

2. short in afternoon on mild negative opening in morning of -50/60 points in negative.

 

such trades may be created on Kaching Trading account

US market prediction - Intra day for August 19

Although US market is expected to go down in morning following global cues and domestic biz news, it will eventually move temporarily at least to day's high point o rpeak formation before falling again in afternoon. ( there is possibility that nasdaq comp index may do better)

 

1. Buy in morning after a deep correction of 150-200 points

 

2. short in afternoon on mild negative opening in morning of -50/60 points in negative.

 

such trades may be created on Kaching Trading account

Profits on day trade: Intra day Indian stock market Predictions Aug19

 

20 nifty call soptions were recommended -purchased at Rs 128 average price. Approx profit Rs 25000-Rs 35,000 depending on stop loss ( closing  premium is Rs 156).

 

No trade was recommended for downside in lateafternoon although market slid again as indicated in prediction below
 

Prediction as Posted around 12 noon

 

 

Nifty down at 4379. Buy 10 call options 4300 august at Rs 131 and another 10 at rs 125. exit if loss extends to rs 117.

 

If market rises now as is expected. there may be another fall in late afternoon

 

 

 

disclaimer:  Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

Intra day Indian stock market Predictions Aug19

Nifty down at 4379. Buy 10 call options 4300 august at Rs 131 and another 10 at rs 125. exit if loss extends to rs 117.

 

If market rises now as is expected. there may be another fall in late afternoon

 

 

 

disclaimer:  Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for August 18

1. Market rose to highest point or close to it by afternoon. However there was no sharp pullback.

 

Profits on long Trade created yesterday is approx $ 40,000

Profits from shorting approx $ 3,000

 

1. Pls note that in yesterday commodity predictions, 7/8 strategies for the four predictions would have been profitable, sole exception probbaly being shorting sugar futures in afternoon

 

2. No commodity prediction will be posted today (see weekly predictions below)

 

3. Intra day for indian stock market may be posted if market is not unusually choppy

 

US Prediction as posted on aug 18

US market may reach the day's high point by afternoon. However there is a possibility of sharp pullback/correction in late afternoon in a volatile day.

 

Long positions may be created on weak opening  and short in afternoon .

Review: Intra day Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug18

 

See charts for each- Turmeric. Sugar, Gold, Crude oil.
 

Turmeric: Buy futures on correction or dips in morning-afternoon as prices may rise towards end of day. Shorting with stop loss can be done in morning on positve gains

 

Sept Turmeric contracts futures after falling rose as predicted

 

Sugar: Buy futures now if flat or mildly positive till afternoon. Shorting canbe done in late afternoon as sugar futures may tumble from day's high point towards end of day or late afternoon

 

 

Sugar futures continued to riseinspite  of late afternoon fall in spot prices

Gold : Gold futures may reach a high point in afternoon but may decline in late afternoon amidst volatility in prices

 

 

Gold spot prices reached a peak in afternoon before falling .also reflected in Gold 100 gms futures contract chart. ( ignore graph after evening as gold is continously traded like crude oil)

Crude oil: Buy futures if currently in negative  as it may rise by afternoon .Short futures in late afternoon as peak may not retained

 

 

Like Gold crude oil was highest in after noon before falling in late afternoon> ( ignore chart after  5pm as oil is continously traded)

 Charts from NCDEX website

 

 

See weekly predictions below

 

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions). Those receing SMS must control investment to manage risks to tolerable levels. Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

US market prediction - Intra day for August 18

US market may reach the day's high point by afternoon. However there is a possibility of sharp pullback/correction in late afternoon in a volatile day.

 

Long positions may be created on weak opening  and short in afternoon .

Intra day Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug18

Turmeric: Buy futures on correction or dips in mroning-afternoon as prices may rise towards end of day. Shorting with stop loss can be done in morning on positve gains

 

Sugar: Buy futures now if flat or mildly positive till afternoon. Shorting canbe done in late afternoon as sugar futures may tumble from day's high point towards end of day or late afternoon

 

Gold : Gold futures may reach a high point in afternoon but may decline in late afternoon amidst volatility in prices

 

Crude oil: Buy futures if currently in negative  as it may rise by afternoon .Short futures in late afternoon as peak may not retained

 

 

 

 

See weekly predictions below

 

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions). Those receing SMS must control investment to manage risks to tolerable levels. Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for August 17

As seen in chart dow jones reached highest point in afternoon but then declined- not eactly a plunge.

 

Profits from shorting $10,920.

 

Long trades created in line with weekly prediction

 

US Prediction as posted on Aug 17 below(weekly prediction also posted along with intra day)

 

 

Inspite of negative news and falling global markets, US markets may recover from deep lows o f the day and may reach highest point by afternoon. second half is uncertain but bulk of evidence from our Tarot card model points to another late afternoon plunge even if temporary

 

1. buy on such corrections in morning as market may move up or recover

 

2. short smaller quantities if market recovers by afternoon to exit before close of trade today

 

Intra day commodity and Bullion predictions

we will start posting intra day predictions on certain commodities and bullion whose futures traded on NCDEX and MCX.

See weekly commodity predictions for augsut 17-21 and other predictions by scrolling down below

Re: US market prediction - Intra day for August 17 and weekly prediction for Aug 17-21

Inspite of negative news and falling global markets, US markets may recover from deep lows o f the day and may reach highest point by afternoon. second half is uncertain but bulk of evidence from our Tarot card model points to another late afternoon plunge even if temporary

1. buy on such corrections in morning as market may move up or recover

2. short smaller quantities if market recovers by afternoon to exit before close of trade today

Weekly Prediction( aug 17-21): US markets may do much better than monday on most days. hence accumulate long trades on every deep correction as US may see gains by en d of week at least compared to lows of Monday Aug 17

above strategies wll be followed on kaching account where possible. Long trades of past week will be treated as weekly strategy and more shares accumulated

Indian market prediction for the week Aug 17-21

Indian market may display a choppy uncertain trend most of the week.

 

1. short index options as market may decine initially and such positions may become profitable before wednesday.

 

2. Market may recover in second half of the week however this part of prediction is more uncertain
 

 

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug 17-21

Gold

Likely to rise after a possible correction.Net gain uncertain

Silver

After initial gain, it may correct with net weekly gain likely.

However since gold and silver are very unlikely to display different trends, this prediction may be treated as high risk with higher risk on silver prediction.

Crude Oil

In a volatile market, crude oil may decline afte rinitial gain.Short futures till end of week

Sugar

Likely to rise after initial and mid week correction .short futures initially

Red Chilli

short Red chilli futures as decline is possible after initial gain

Black Pepper

After initial correction may rise by mid week. Buy on every correction initially till mid week( wed-thurs)

Turmeric

same as Black pepper,net gain possible by end week

Cumin seeds/Jeera

short futures as decline in prices likely as least initially and mid week

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions). Those receing SMS must control investment to manage risks to tolerable levels. Risk and responsibility lies with user of these predictions

Review: Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug 10-14

1. Gold: likely to rise after a mid week correction ( International market)

Gold hit a low of $940 approx on wednesday before rising to about $ 957 on intra day basis ( edited -but declined ot $947 towards end of day on aug 14)

2. Silver: Gain likely after a correction and overall for the week

Silver followed gold trend for week and went above Rs 15000.(on intra day basis but declined to lower levels-possibly lower than last week's closing by end of the day-edited)

3. Black Pepper ( on NCDEX) short futures as Black Pepper is likely to correct till mid week at least

Black pepper after gain of Rs 600 on monday crashed till thursday losing more than rs 1000

4. Turmeric( on NCDEX): Gain likely in beginning of week and overall for the week

Turmeric gained on most days stratinmg Monday and went over Rs 8000 before closing about Rs 7600- net gain for the week

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions)

Review: US stock market prediction for the week Aug 10-14

See the weekly chart for dow jones for august 10-14.

 

see also monthly prediction for US and Indian markets along with weekly predictions

 

1. Both strategies of going short on Monday and going long on mid week correction were profitable as seen in chart

2.Dow gained a nominal 1 point lead over last wek closing
 

Review: Indian market prediction for the week Aug 10-13

On the positive side(see weekkly sensex chart august 10-14)

 

1. shorting on monday at close to recommended level would have been profitable on monday itself or wednesday

 

2. Going long on 150 point correction on wednesday would have been profitable on same day or thursday.

 

On negative side indices gained on weekly basis contrary to prediction. There was an error in reporting a 4 day trading week on assumption of holiday on august 14.

Predictions for next week

From now on

 

1.Commodity Predictions for selected futures traded at NCDE/MCX will be posted

 

2.Weekly prediction for US and/or  Indian market will be posted for net week.

 

3. Commodity and stock market prediction review  for week of aug 10-14 will be posted soon

 

some of these redictions will also be available on mobiel site ckal.mobi

Review : US market prediction - Intra day for August 14

As seen in the chart  except for market volatility both aspects of prediction proved right. However market did not open positive for shorting.

 

Low point of the day was shortly before mid day and long positions in 5 shares in Kaching a/c gave a profit of $24,900(unbooked)

 

Pls note that in previous trade of last week shorting Profits on diamond index funds were not reported as short price order at $94.5 was for some reson unexcuted inspite of price limit being met

 

Prediction as Posted before market opened on August 14

 

 

In a volatile or choppy trading expected today, dow jones 30 index may correct or hit a low point shortly before mid day.

 

1. buy on such corrections as market may move up or recover and may even surge up in closing  hours( particularly nasdaq index)

 

2. short on strong opening

 

long trades may be created on kaching trading account
 

US market prediction - Intra day for August 14

In a volatile or choppy trading expected today, dow jones 30 index may correct or hit a low point shortly before mid day.

 

1. buy on such corrections as market may move up or recover and may even surge up in closing  hours( particularly nasdaq index)

 

2. short on strong opening

 

long trades may be created on kaching trading account
 

Comments and updates on various Predictions

Please read the various predictions for Indian and US stock markets for the week ( also monthly predictions) and commodity predictions.

 

All strategies recommended have given profits by now especially the weekly stock market predictions( both short and long calls)

 

We will not be making any further predictions for Indian market this week. However Intra day predictions for US stock markets may be given along with Kaching based trading strategy

 

Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug 10-14

1. Gold: likely to rise after a mid week correction ( International market)

 

2. Silver: Gain likely after a correction and overall for the week

 

3. Black Pepper ( on NCDEX) short futures as Black Pepper is likely to correct till mid week at least

 

4. Turmeric( on NCDEX): Gain likely in beginning of week and overall for the week
 

 

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions)

US stock market prediction for the week Aug 10-14

 US market likley to gain amidst volatility. However there will be days of strong corrections( including inability to maintain day's high points).

 

1. short dow jones index on strong  opening/trading on monday

2. Go long on main index on tuesday/wednesday if strategy 1 i s profitable

 

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

Indian market prediction for the week Aug 10-13

This is going to be mixed week with possiblity of net loss on the indices overall.Market will however tend to bounceback from most corrections while peaks will not be retained on days on positive trade.

 

1. short index on strong trading/opening ( Nifty 80-100+) especially on Monday( however in view of drough report shorting index may prove profitable before close of  a shortened week.

 

2. Go long  on strong corrections of 150+ in nifty especially if it happens during midweek

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for August 7

As the chart shows, the prediction went wrong on all aspects. A loss of $1800 on shorting IBM and profit on shorting DIA shares at $94.50 was made.( amount unknown as Kaching account is not fully accessible at the moment

 

Prediction as posted below)
 

US market may show very volatile pattern today. Apart from negative opeing or correction in morning itself,  sharp fall or day's low point may come in afternoon. Because of long trading hours and special card pattern for today's prediction, it is difficult to give a time band.

 

1. Short index options on flat or positive trade in early morning hours.

 

2. Long postions (with stop loss) can be created once/if dow jones falls between 125-200 points from day's highest point.There is possibility of another correction in late afternoon today.

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

 

Modifications may be made after observing initial trade and nature of economci/biz news from US today

US market prediction - Intra day for August 7

US market may show very volatile pattern today. Apart from negative opeing or correction in morning itself,  sharp fall or day's low point may come in afternoon. Because of long trading hours and special card pattern for today's prediction, it is difficult to give a time band.

 

1. Short index options on flat or positive trade in early morning hours.

 

2. Long postions (with stop loss) can be created once/if dow jones falls between 125-200 points from day's highest point.There is possibility of another correction in late afternoon today.

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

 

Modifications may be made after observing initial trade and nature of economci/biz news from US today

US stock market prediction for August 2009

Outlook/prediction of US stock market,Dow 30, Nasdaq composite in August 2009 ( based on Tarot cards)

After a correction US market in this week and early part of next week ,dow jones index likely to gain amidst choppiness and volatility. Last phase of August( last 10 days approx) will be best.However US indices may make modest net gains over July closing value. S&P 500 index may outpefrom other indices.

Strategy: Buy index (Dow 30 or S&P 500 index) call options after the indicated correction in early part of this month

Pls note: July 31 closing values were as follows- dow 30: 9171.61, Nasdaq comp: 1984.30 and S&P500 index:986.75

Disclaimer: Risk/responsility lies solely with those using these predictions

Indian stock market prediction for august 2009

Outlook/ Prediction of Sensex-Nifty in August 2009 based on Tarot Cards

Indian stock market main indices Sensex and Nifty will continue to rise and may reach a peak between august 17-21. A higher value is possible towards end of month but after a correction. A correction is also possible in next few days.

Strategy Buy call options after a correction of 100-150 point in nifty whose value maximized by august 17-21. ( weeekly predictions if given may further finetune these predictions)

usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies

Review : Prediction for July 2009

see Monthly chart for  Sensex-july 2009

 

1. Sharp correction in early phase of July was predicted (see also the weekly prediction during the week of correction) as also bounceback from every correction during the month .

 

2.However prediction of net large monthly gains in main indices was not predicted

 

 

 

Link to July Month 2009 Prediction. Click here ( original posted below)

 

Indian Stock market prediction for July 2009: No single consistent trend is seen for this month. Market will tend to bounceback after every correction with at least one correction that may be much significant than others and may follow as early as mid-to end of next week.

There is greater indication of sharper correction in Nifty

Re: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 31

No intra day prediction will be posted today .However as per end of week prediction hinted yesterday(see below) good bounceback/rise  is expected today

Prediction as Posted yesterday

 

Although weekly prediction was not posted for this week, it seems likely a sharp bounceback may occur on friday. henc e buy aug call options till july 31.Intra day for july 31 may be posted later

Review: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 30-Trade 67

As seen in chart Nifty hit previous day's clsoing value of 4513 hence nifty Put 4600 premium would have risen to atleast Rs 87. Assuming only 20 puts were pruchased- profit would be at least Rs 18000-maximum Rs 27000.

 

Pls note: part of weekly prediction as posted today( call to buy till tommorrow) will not be reviewed since  no buying price was recommended.

Prediction as posted in morning(below)

 

 

Nifty up just 2-3 points after a volatile session. It seems that a peak wil be reaached in afternoon ( possibly 12.30-1.30  pm) and then another sharp fall in afternoon may follow but may bounce back

 

Buy 30 (20+10) Nifty 4600 Puts(july series) at rs ( 60+50)( now ta Rs 86).Protect profit after average gain of Rs 18 per lot.Square off this position today itself(see below)

 

Although weekly prediction was not posted for this week, it seems likely a sharp bounceback may occur on friday. henc e buy aug call options till july 31.Intra day for july 31 may be posted later

Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 30-Trade 67

Nifty up just 2-3 points after a volatile session. It seems that a peak wil be reaached in afternoon ( possibly 12.30-1.30  pm) and then another sharp fall in afternoon may follow but may bounce back

 

Buy 30 (20+10) Nifty 4600 Puts(july series) at rs ( 60+50)( now ta Rs 86).Protect profit after average gain of Rs 18 per lot.Square off this position today itself(see below)

 

Although weekly prediction was not posted for this week, it seems likely a sharp bounceback may occur on friday. henc e buy aug call options till july 31.Intra day for july 31 may be posted later

Review: Indian market prediction - july 20 -24

As seen in the chart, long positions generally were profitable by mid week ( wednesday). High point of wednesday is quite close to peak of friday due to significant correction on wednesday itself. No correction took place towards end of week

 

Weekly Prediction( july 20-24) as posted on july 20-below

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

Review: US stock market Prediction for the week July 20-24,2009

As chart indicates there was a bullish trend un US market last week (see prediction below). However no intra day correction took place.

 

Profits were made on long positions in line with prediction below.( long position if well s fargo and ABK finance were added) ( however due to carryover of short position in First Solar from past week) significant losses were made- not related to our prediction  model. details of profit /loss wil made available later

 

Weekly prediction for july 20-24 for US market:

 

 

US market will generally be bullish this week( or till mid week ) and will tend biouceback from most corrections. However there is strong possibility of strong correction (intra day? ) towards end of week( thursday or friday).

 

Long positions for the week in Diamond index and Boeing corporation shares will be created
 

Profit?: weekly prediction update: Indian market prediction-july 22

Premium on nifty puts 4600 has now risen to Rs 193 with unbooked profit of Rs 35000. In actual trading such profits would need to be booked. However since weekly predictions scope for further downside, we will wait for the entire prediction to be work out

Prediction-strategy as posted around/before noon:

 

 

Nifty has touched a high of 4550 and as indicated in weekly outllok markets will touch highs during mid week.

 

In remaining days significant correction ( intra day ?) may occur. Buy 10 4600 Puts at rs 122( present) and another 10 before thursday close at Rs 95 or lower( day lowest so far today is 103)

 

Pls note due to approaching expiry of july series premium may deteriorate fast even though prediction of correction may turn out true

 

Weekly outlook/Prediction as Posted on Monday July 20(below)

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

weekly prediction update: Indian market prediction-july 22

Nifty has touched a high of 4550 and as indicated in weekly outllok markets will touch highs during mid week.

 

In remaining days significant correction ( intra day ?) may occur. Buy 10 4600 Puts at rs 122( present) and another 10 before thursday close at Rs 95 or lower( day lowest so far today is 103)

 

Pls note due to approaching expiry of july series premium may deteriorate fast even though prediction of correction may turn out true

 

Weekly outlook/Prediction as Posted on Monday July 20(below)

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

Review: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 21-Trade 66

Trade no 65: One 5 lots could be purchased. Profits were inthe range of Rs 7000-7500.

 

Trade no 65-Profit for US trading for Trade no 64( july 20) was in the range of $175,000 to $185,000.( because Kaching trading site is not fully accessible, full /corrected details will begiven later).

As some long trades were based on weekly prediction for US,( see below for US market) further down adjustment will need to be made for pure daytrading profits
 

 

Re: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 21

Nifty at 4457. Nifty 4300 call option at Rs 194 with day lowest at Rs 180 so far.

 

Buy 5 call options at 194 and 30 call options at Rs 175 (15) and 170(15)if available before 2.30 pm as sharp rise may occur in last hour (approx)

 

Prediction as Posted in morning( before market)

 

 

Indian markets likely to see upward movement most of the day.

However buying opportunity may come more than once. Possibly the sharpest rise may come towards end of day followng an afternoon correction.

 

Buy in morning if market corrects at any points or opens negative.Actula trade may be given later

Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 21

Indian markets likely to see upward movement most of the day.

However buying opportunity may come more than once. Possibly the sharpest rise may come towards end of day followng an afternoon correction.

 

Buy in morning if market corrects at any points or opens negative.Actula trade may be given later

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for july 20

Most notably the correction did  not take place in afternoon.Details of profit/loss will be given later

Prediction as posted on July 20

 

 

US market today will generally be doing much better in first half( either operating in green or bouncing back from any neagtive or poor start in morning). However a strong correction that may be occur closer to end of day or second half of day i s possible.(but bounceback is not ruled out)

 

we can expect intra day chart of second half to be lower or contain severe dip as compapred to first half( unless markets opens in deep negative)

 

 

1. Strategy: Buy call options if market opens neagtive or flat

2. If 1 is profitable short index in afternoon when index may peak

US market prediction - Intra day for july 20

US market today will generally be doing much better in first half( either operating in green or bouncing back from any neagtive or poor start in morning). However a strong correction that may be occur closer to end of day or second half of day i s possible.(but bounceback is not ruled out)

 

we can expect intra day chart of second half to be lower or contain severe dip as compapred to first half( unless markets opens in deep negative)

 

 

1. Strategy: Buy call options if market opens neagtive or flat

2. If 1 is profitable short index in afternoon when index may peak

US stock market Prediction for the week July 20-24,2009

US market will generally be bullish this week( or till mid week ) and will tend biouceback from most corrections. However there is strong possibility of strong correction (intra day? ) towards end of week( thursday or friday).

 

Long positions for the week in Diamond index and Boeing corporation shares will be created
 

Review: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 20 trade 64

No significant correction took place with anet loss of approx 26k on 30 lots of nifty 4400Puts(see original prediction below)

Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 20 trade 64

Nifty at 4436 up over 64 points. At some point during the day a significant correction may occur.

 

Buy 15 Nifty 440 puts at Rs 81 and another 15 at Rs 66 before 2.30 pm.Protect profits after gain of Rs 15 per lot

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 16

due to paucity of time, prediction was made for remaining trade hours using special astrological technique based time configuration of planets.Prediction failed( possibly due to ignoring placement of sun ).

Pure day trade loss on shorting Diamond fund : $158,000.
Profit from shorting First Solar 50 k shares: + $171,000

Net profit $13,000

Prediction as posted on July 16 around 9pm( 2 hours after trading)

US market now flattish. Based on a special astrological technique , we believe US market may go down or struggle most o f the day today ending negative or flat.

short positions carried forward and more may be created today in anticipation of a possible fall today.

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 15 trade 63

as seen inthe chart for july 15 correction did not occur.

 

 

Profts were made on long position: $ 25,000. Unbooked loss on shorts were $47,000. net loss $22k

 

 

 

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 16

US market now flattish. Based on a special astrological technique , we believe US market may go down or struggle most of the day today ending negative or flat or mildly positive(edited).

short positions carried forward and more may be created today in anticipation of a possible fall today.

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 15 trade 63

US index dow 30 up 122 points in early trade. Market may see some cooling off in next 90 mts but could reach  days high approx between 1-2 pm. A strong dip./correction is possible after that followed by bounceback but it cannot be said  if bounceback will stronger than correction of late afternoon.

 

 

Both short and long positions created ( including limit price orders for shorting)

 

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 14, trade 62

As seen in the intra day chart, the prediction was broadly correct though a deeper correction was expected. However limit price of short orders was not met. hence no profit or loss

 

Prediction as posted for Juky 14- 90 mts before amrket opened

 

 

US market as per biz cues is expected to open in positive( to open after 90 mts)

 

However we take contrarian view based on Tarot  card reading that market may see  a peak formation in early part of the day and then  loose gains by /before afternoon. Limited indication of bounceback towards end  of day but not completely so.

 

hence Diamond index funds shorted at limit prices with profit to be deemed booked or protected after profit of $1 is made per share

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 14, trade 62

US market as per biz cues is expected to open in positive( to open after 90 mts)

 

However we take contrarian view based on Tarot  card reading that market may see  a peak formation in early part of the day and then  loose gains by /before afternoon. Limited indication of bounceback towards end  of day but not completely so.

 

hence Diamond index funds shorted at limit prices with profit to be deemed booked or protected after profit of $1 is made per share

Review: Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 14-trade 61

Total loss per lot was Rs 10 including brokerage. ( unfortunately due to lack of  clear instructions purchases was triggered after correction in afternoon-which was not a significant correction). Total loss on 40 lots was Rs 20,000

 

 

 

 

Nifty up about 90 points. Nifty 4000 Put at premium of Rs 89 . Makret may dip sharply in afternoon( see rest of prediction below)  Buy 15 puts options at Rs 82 and another 25 at Rs 67. Exit if average loss exceeds Rs 17. Protect profits on gain of Rs 20 per lot

 

 

Prediction as posted in morning before market opened

 

Indian stock markets expecte to open  and operate ingreen .

 

However there are indications that in afternoon a significant correction may take place.

 

There are mixed (unclear?) indications of market bouncing back in closing hours.

 

1. But call options if market opens less than 50 points in green-preferably flattish or negative

 

2. Buy Put options of near money options after 80-100 mts of trade if premium is atl least Rs 40  lower  than  yesterday closing

Moderation to this trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Re: Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 14-trade 61

Nifty up about 90 points. Nifty 4000 Put at premium of Rs 89 . Makret may dip sharply in afternoon( see rest of prediction below)  Buy 15 puts options at Rs 82 and another 25 at Rs 67. Exit if average loss exceeds Rs 17. Protect profits on gain of Rs 20 per lot

 

 

Prediction as posted in morning before market opened

 

Indian stock markets expecte to open  and operate ingreen .

 

However there are indications that in afternoon a significant correction may take place.

 

There are mixed (unclear?) indications of market bouncing back in closing hours.

 

1. But call options if market opens less than 50 points in green-preferably flattish or negative

 

2. Buy Put options of near money options after 80-100 mts of trade if premium is atl least Rs 40  lower  than  yesterday closing

Moderation to this trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 14

Indian stock markets expecte to open  and operate ingreen .

 

However there are indications that in afternoon a significant correction may take place.

 

There are mixed (unclear?) indications of market bouncing back in closing hours.

 

1. But call options if market opens less than 50 points in green-preferably flattish or negative

 

2. Buy Put options of near money options after 80-100 mts of trade if premium is atl least Rs 40  lower  than  yesterday closing

Moderation to this trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 60

As can be seen the prediction turned out quite wrong with no afternoon correction.Unbooked loss of $75k on diamond index shares

 

Prediction as posted one hour before market opened:

 

 

US market to open in about 1 hour.

 

US market particularly dow 30 index could experience  correction in afternoon but may may bounce back. These predicted indications are stronger for  nasdaq index. ( there is lack of clarity of dow index overall performance in first 2 hours of trade).

 

Diamond index fund shorted in two lots at $ 81.98 and $ 82.20( total 60k shares) on Kaching trading site account

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 60

US market to open in about 1 hour.

 

US market particularly dow 30 index could experience  correction in afternoon but may may bounce back. These predicted indications are stronger for  nasdaq index. ( there is lack of clarity of dow index overall performance in first 2 hours of trade).

 

Diamond index fund shorted in two lots at $ 81.98 and $ 82.20( total 60k shares) on Kaching trading site account

Book profits: Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 59

Nifty now down over 68 points.

 

35 puts purchased  at average price of Rs 141

 

Exit at current profit of Rs 20 per lot on all lots. Total profits between 30000- 34000 after brokerage

 

Prediction as posted at 1.25 pm

 

 

 

Nifty now down only about 48 poin, sensex down 152 points. Market may go down again in late  afternoon possibly sharply.

 

Buy 15 Nifty 4000 puts at Rs 145 ( days lowest so far is 148) and another 20 puts at Rs 137. exit if loss per lot is Rs 15.Protect profits after gain of Rs 20 with trailing stop loss of Rs 5.

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 59

Nifty now down only about 48 poin, sensex down 152 points. Market may go down again in late  afternoon possibly sharply.

 

Buy 15 Nifty 4000 puts at Rs 145 ( days lowest so far is 148) and another 20 puts at Rs 137. exit if loss per lot is Rs 15.Protect profits after gain of Rs 20 with trailing stop loss of Rs 5.

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Review: Indian stock market predictions for the week July 6-10,2009

As seen in the weekly nifty chart,

 

1 Shorting and holding till wednesday was hugely profitable (also read july month prediction)

 

2. Going long on thursday would have given profits on friday as on all calloptions highest premium on friday was higher than thursday closing value.( rise of 50 nifty points on friday is dwarfed by sharp afternoon fall)

 

3.However trend inspite of all weekly choppiness and volatility was downward and best strategy would have been to short and hold till end of week

 

 

Weekly Prediction as posted last week (below)
 

Weekly prediction july 6-10 Indian stock markets

 

There is no clear upward or downward trend for the week . However Market( after a positive start) may correct strongly and then resume upward movement amidst intra day and intra week choppiness and volatility.

 

Short index(nifty/sensex)  and hold till mid week

 

Take long position not earlier than thursday since on friday markets may bounceback( at least on intraday basis)

 

read monthly prediction for july below

 

usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 8, trade 58

As seen in the intra day chart and prediction for the day, dow hit a low in afternoon (twice) and then bounced  back. A gain of $ 53,000 from shorting . However no trade was carried out for second half of the prediction

 

 

Prediction as posted in opening minutes today

US index dow 30 up 24 points. US market( dow 30 index)  may follow no consistent direction but hit a low point in afternoon. Could rise towards end of the day.

 

Diamond index fund(ETF)  1 lacs shares shorted at $ 81.76 and another lot at limit price of $ 82.60. Profits to be protected after gain of $0.80 with traling limit of $ 0.15

 

 

Trade 57: profit of $23,000. However total portfolio is now up only 5.3% as we couldnot exit carrying stocks of Diamond index fund in a falling market over last 3-4 days

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 8, trade 58

As seen in chart market has corrected after hitting a high of +60 points, with gains of $53,000 on first 100k shares.

 

Prediction as posted in opening minutes today

US index dow 30 up 24 points. US market( dow 30 index)  may follow no consistent direction but hit a low point in afternoon. Could rise towards end of the day.

 

Diamond index fund(ETF)  1 lacs shares shorted at $ 81.76 and another lot at limit price of $ 82.60. Profits to be protected after gain of $0.80 with traling limit of $ 0.15

 

 

Trade 57: profit of $23,000. However total portfolio is now up only 5.3% as we couldnot exit carrying stocks of Diamond index fund in a falling market over last 3-4 days

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 8, trade 58

US index dow 30 up 24 points. US market( dow 30 index)  may follow no consistent direction but hit a low point in afternoon. Could rise towards end of the day.

 

Diamond index fund(ETF)  1 lacs shares shorted at $ 81.76 and another lot at limit price of $ 82.60. Profits to be protected after gain of $0.80 with traling limit of $ 0.15

 

 

Trade 57: profit of $23,000. However total portfolio is now up only 5.3% as we couldnot exit carrying stocks of Diamond index fund in a falling market over last 3-4 days

Indian stock market predictions for the week July 6-10,2009

Weekly prediction july 6-10 Indian stock markets

 

There is no clear upward or downward trend for the week . However Market( after a positive start) may correct strongly and then resume upward movement amidst intra day and intra week choppiness and volatility.

 

Short index(nifty/sensex)  and hold till mid week

 

Take long position not earlier than thursday since on friday markets may bounceback( at least on intraday basis)

 

read monthly prediction for july below

 

usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies

Indian and US stock market predictions

Indian market Intra day predictions

 

From now on Intra day prediction for Indian stock markets will be given only on days where predictions are considered low risk.Absence of predictions however should not be deemed as indication of  high risk trading on such days. Profit on all trades unless otherwise mentioned must be protected when clear profit of Rs 5 is made .

 

weekly prediction for Indian market may be given this week. This wil help to corrorborate monthly prediction for the initial phase July.

 

US market intra day predictions: US market predictions will be given more frequently but high risk predictions will be tagged .

Indian stock market prediction for july 2009

Indian Stock market prediction for July 2009:

No single consistent trend is seen for this month. Market will tend to bounceback after every correction with at least one correction that may be much significant than others and may follow as early as mid-to end of next week.

There is greater indication of sharper correction in Nifty

Disclaimer: all predictions carry risk and risk is entirely borne by person using these predictions

Review: Indian Stock Markets -Prediction for June

See the monthly chart for June and prediction below. Key point is the sharp correction predicted in mid phase of mont large profits that could have been made by shorting as recommended. It is not clear if index made any monthly gains( starting value for june 1 is not same as closing value on may end)

 

June Month prediction as posted on June 2(below)

 

 

June month is again likely  to see gains in the indices.. However the market is likely to witness its worst phase in mid june ( approx 10-20). After which upward movement of markets may resume.

 

short index by mid of next week which should become profitable by /before 20th june(approx).

 

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 1 trade 57

See the intra day chart and prediction below. Profit/loss deatils to be given later.

 

Prediction as Posted for July 1

 

 

Dow index up 68 points in eary trade.

 

US market may see day's low point in afternoon and then rise up. ( there is possibility of two corrections in a volatile market) but positive closing is likely

 

Both long and short position created-short positions if executed will be closed by afternoon.( in future we will restrict/ avoid stock related trades for day trade purposes on Kaching account and stick to Diamond ETF which is highly  correlated with Dow movement)

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 1 trade 57

Dow index up 68 points in eary trade.

 

US market may see day's low point in afternoon and then rise up. ( there is possibility of two corrections in a volatile market) but positive closing is likely

 

Both long and short position created-short positions if executed will be closed by afternoon.( in future we will restrict/ avoid stock related trades for day trade purposes on Kaching account and stick to Diamond ETF which is highly  correlated with Dow movement)

US market Prediction - Intra day for juny 1 trade 57

Dow index up 68 points in eary trade.

 

US market may see day's low point in afternoon and then rise up. ( there is possibility of two corrections in a volatile market) but positive closing is likely

 

Both long and short position created-short positions if executed will be closed by afternoon.( in future we will restrict/ avoid stock related trades for day trade purposes on Kaching account and stick to Diamond ETF which is highly  correlated with Dow movement)

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 30

See the intra day chart and prediction( without trade)

 

Profit and loss on last two trades on Kaching account

 

Trade 56: pure day trading profit about $65-70,000

Trade 55: Loss (only day trading loss) about $ 3k

 

Total value of porftfolio is now $10.6million approximately( as a result of trades carried out but not posted on the blogs), almost  same as account which was abandoned

Todays market prediction is high risk and hence no trade will be carried out.

 

 

 

US market may open positive as biz news indicates. however at some point ( possibly end of day) dow index may give up all /any gains of the day .

 

details of profit /loss on last two trades wil be given later