Monday, May 05, 2008

Prediction based Trade Performance data

We started this virtual fund to demonstrate the effective of our Prediction based Trading system starting with Rs 10 lacs and trading in US and Indian markets. It is still too early to make a definite conclusion of effective of our prediction based trading  model though in last slightly over one month a gain of 8.4% has been achieved

 

 

Trade No

Profit/Loss

Stock Market

 

 

 1

4400

US

 

 

 2

5400

India

 

 

 3

3000

India

 

 

 4

NE

US

 

 

 5

3900

US

 

 

 6

NE

US

 

 

 7

6500

US

 

 

 8

0

US

 

 

 9

NE

US

 

 

 10

1500

India

 

 

 11

NE

India

 

 

 12

NE

India

 

 

 13

-1600

India

 

 

 14

2200

India

 

 

 15

0

India

 

 

 16

10600

US

 

 

 17

5200

India

 

 

 18

2400

US

 

 

 19

5649

India

 

 

 20

-2000

US

 

 

 21

26800

US

 

 

 22

2000

India

 

 

 23

1250

India

 

 

 24

-4000

US

 

 

 25

NE

US

 

 

26

5000

India

 

 

27

10000

US

 

 

28

NE

US

 

 

Total Profit

Rs 84199

 

US$2105

 

 

                                                                                                                                                            Notes on Trades since Traders’ Virtual Mutual Fund inception April 1,2008

 

  1. Out of total trades 28, about seven were not executed as price target were not met. Out of these 7 Not Executed(NE) Trades, four would have given profits if purchased at prevailing current premium/price at the recommended time.Out of these four two order on Infy –buy and Nasdaq future buy call on April 14 for the week would have given huge profits
  2. Trade no1 profitable but abandoned earlier has been allotted a profit of US110 dollars as 75 points on Dow 30 drop would have given profits of atleast this amount on purchase of Put  option.
  3. On trade 16 in US market, earlier profit of US250 was allotted out of maxmum profit of US $ 325. This profit is further cut down to US$ 162.5 as only future options was recommended not futures.
  4. On trade 23 profit of Rs 1700 was made under erroneous accounting that 4 option were purchased. Actually only 3 options were purchased. Hence profit is only Rs 1250
  5. Total profit made on total fund of Rs 10 lacs is RS 71199 or US$1780. ( fixed exchange rate of RS 40=US$1) used. Gain of 7.1% fund asset value in 5 week time. No interest on idle funds imputed even though only a small portion of total fund  used for trading. Trade no 27 in US market was a lucky trade as we just managed to reach profit protection limit on Dow ( but comfortably on Nasdaq) . Hence out of a possible profit over $250 we consider only $150 or Rs 6000 as profits
  6. In total of 28 trades trades Nos  8&9 are same. Trades 15 and 17 are same
  7. Success rate of trades will calculated after at least 30 complete trades.
  8. In real trading, impact of emotions on executing and closing trades may be different for different people.
  9. Red trades are losses, Blue trades are Profits.
  10. Most trades on Indices and only a few are on stock based trading
  11. Paid services are sent through SMS , not available on our blog/website

 

 

 

 

Email : future@ckal.mobi

Tel: 0911698256,09312039121

 

 

 

 
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