update on trade 68 & trade 66

3 puts purchased at rs 202 with highest premium at Rs 243 without any intervening volatility to trigger STOP LOSS. Hence Puts are squared off at Rs 238 once Nifty resumed upward movement.

Profit= 5100.

Loss on trade 66= 1650.

Performance report on our trading fund will be posted later

Trade 68 & update on trade 66: May 30

Trade 68: rest of day may see continued volatility with downward bias.

 

Buy 3 June 5000 Puts at Rs 202 (current premium) and protect profits after gain of Rs 10 per lot

 

 

Trade 66: Morning premium was above the purchase premium of Rs 97 but did not meet our target. Hence loss booked at Rs 90 per lot

update on trade 66 & 67:indian market

Trade 66: fortunately did not get executed as between 1.30-2.30 pm sensex was down 60-70 points before the steep crash at around 3 pm.

Trade 67: nifty call options purchased at rs 97 as recommended for last hour trade. Protect profits when premium increases about Rs 15 over purchase premium or exit by 12 noon on 30 may.

This blog/posts can be accessed on address www.marketpredictions.blogspot.com or on www.ckal.in

Trade 66&67: Indian market may 29-30

For some reason orginal post has not appeared on these blogs

-----Original Message-----From: Sent: Thursday, May 29, 2008 12:28 PMTo: Subject: Trade 66 & 67 : Indian market May 29-30

Indian market showing range bound trade with sensex down 4 points and nifty up about 12 points


Trade 66: Buy 2 Sensex futures between 1.20-2.30 pm if sensex is down 100 points at least.

Trade 67: 3 Nifty June 5000 call options can be purchased during last hour of trade if available at rs 97 or less and carried over till 30 may as market may see rise.


Disclaimer all risk to be borne by traders/investors

Trade 66 &67: Indian market may 29

Indian market showing range bound trade with sensex down 4 points and nifty up about 12 points

 

 

Trade 66: Buy 2 Sensex futures between 1.20-2.30 pm if sensex is down 100 points at least.

 

Trade 67: 3 Nifty June 5000 call options can be purchased during last hour of trade if available at rs 97 or less and carried over till 30 may as market may see rise.

 

 

Disclaimer all risk to be borne by traders/investors

 

Trade 66 & 67 : Indian market May 29-30

Indian market showing range bound trade with sensex down 4 points and nifty up about 12 points

 

 

Trade 66: Buy 2 Sensex futures between 1.20-2.30 pm if sensex is down 100 points at least.

 

Trade 67: 3 Nifty June 5000 call options can be purchased during last hour of trade if available at rs 97 or less and carried over till 30 may as market may see rise.

 

 

Disclaimer all risk to be borne by traders/investors

 

update on trade 64& 65: US market

Trade 64: trade squared off at 1.30 pm when dow was up about 10 points. loss approx $135=5400.

 

Trade 65: Nasdaq fell before put option could be exercised. Hence no profit or loss

update trade 64 & 65

Hold trade 64 – the dow call options till 1.30 pm us time.

 

Trade 65: Buy 1 nasdaq put option when nasdaq is flat in next 1 hour. nasdaq now down  7 points. Protect profits on further 10 points fall in nasdaq

prediction based trade 64 & 65

Dow up 33 points at start of trade

 

Trade 64 Buy 3 call options of dow 30. protect profit on combined gains of 100 points on 3 lots. exit before 12.30 pm US time

 

 

Trade 65: buy 1 put option after 90 minutes of nasdaq if nasdaq has not fallen sharply- preferably above +25 as sharp fall temporary fall is likely in afternoon.  wait for update

 

 

Loss on trade 63:  Rs 7500

prediction based trade 63: indian market may 28

Sensex up 67 points and nifty up about 9 point at 12.24 pm.

 

 

Sell 5 lots of may 4900 puts at premium of Rs 43 ( last premium rs 50) ( Note: it is possible sensex may fall more sharply than nifty). Protect a premium advantage of rs 10 after rs every 15 gain using trailing stop loss.

 

 

Disclaimer: all risk to be borne by traders/inesvtors

update on trade 62: us market

Although so far the intra day prediction on US market  is broadly in line with intra day chart -with a rather sharp fall that has already occurred, the price target have not been met hence trade orders are cancelled.

 

 

prediction based trade 62: US market May 27

Dow up 11 points and nasdaq up 6 points after 7 minutes of trade

 

 

Market likely to see upward movement amidst volatility with at least one sharp fall likely before 2pm (US time)

 

 

Buy one dow call options when dow is down -50 points

Buy 1 lot nasdaq call option when nasdaq is down -10 points before 2 pm.

 

Protect profits after every 50 point rise in dow and 15 points rise in nasdaq after executing trade

 

Disclaimer: all risk to be borne by traders/investors

Performance of Our Prediction based Trading Fund since Inception

We started this virtual Trading fund to demonstrate the effective of our Prediction based Trading system starting with Rs 10 lacs and trading in US and Indian markets. A gain of 10.50% has been achieved so far with nearly 75% success rate.

PLEASE NOTE FROM NOW ON ( UNTIL FURTHER UPDATE) A MAXIMUM OF 5 PREDICTIONS FOR INDIAN AND US MARKET (COMBINED) WILL BE POSTED FREE PER WEEK.

Index & Fund growth since April 1, 2008

% growth ( with March 31,2008 closing values as base)

Sensex

6.4

Nifty

4.5

Dow 30

2.2

Nasdaq

8.1

Our Trading Fund

10.5*

1. Please note bulk of our trading in Nifty and Dow 30

2. Success rate on 74.4% on 47 executed trades ( 35 right, 12 wrong) and another 14 trades not being executed due to price target set or duplicate trade (1)

Details of Trade wise Profit and Loss

Trade no	Profit/ loss	Remarks
Trade 1-61	Rs 105149 or $ 2628	Gain of 10.5% since fund inception with net gain in this of market loss world wide
61	400	US market- marginal profit
60	1900	US market
59	NE	Price target not met on Indian market trade
57	NE	US market
56	2400	US market
55	19500	Indian market
54	800	US market
53	NE
52	3200	US market
51	-2500	Indian market
50	1900-2750=-850	2 trades of which one was profitable with overall net loss –Indian market
49	-16500	US market
All 48 Trades	96799 or US $ 2420	A gain of over 9.68% with net loss registered in last week’s trading ( after adjusting for two open loss making trades turned in to profits this week ( trade 40,46)

Notes on Trades since Traders’ Virtual Mutual Fund inception April 1,2008

1. Out of total trades 61, about 13 were not executed as price target were not met and one was a duplicate trade. Out of these 10 Not Executed(NE) Trades, at least seven would have given profits if purchased at prevailing current premium/price at the recommended time.Out of these four two order on Infosys Technology –buy and Nasdaq future buy call on April 14 for the week would have given huge profits
2. In last week report trade 40 and 46 were loss making in open position which have turned in to profits
3. In some of the trades, stop loss was hit by 1 or 12 points ,oethrwise trades would have been profitable. Hence given the overall strength of our prediction we have switched to using options rather than futures with a higher risk reward pattern but risk being limited from beginning
4. In one of the performance report un-booked profit was RS 11200 on trade 36 which rose to Rs 13200 on booking profits last monday
5. Trade no1 profitable but abandoned earlier has been allotted a profit of US110 dollars as 75 points on Dow 30 drop would have given profits of atleast this amount on purchase of Put option.
6. On trade 16 in US market, earlier profit of US250 was allotted out of maximum profit of US $ 325. This profit is further cut down to US$ 162.5 as only future options was recommended not futures.
7. On trade 23 profit of Rs 1700 was made under erroneous accounting that 4 option were purchased. Actually only 3 options were purchased. Hence profit is only Rs 1250
8. Total profit made on total fund of Rs 10 lacs is RS 1090999 or US$2276. ( fixed exchange rate of RS 40=US$1) used. Gain of 10.09 % in fund asset value in 7 week time ( by May 16,2008) . No interest on idle funds imputed even though only a small portion of total fund used for trading. Trade no 27 in US market was a lucky trade as we just managed to reach profit protection limit on Dow ( but comfortably on Nasdaq) . Hence out of a possible profit over $250 we consider only $150 or Rs 6000 as profits
9. In total of 37 trades trades Nos 8&9 are same. Trades 15 and 17 are same
10. Trade 37, we exited dow 30 position with a small loss but nasdaq futures gave a small profit at nasdaq closing values of Friday may 9
11. In real trading, impact of emotions on executing and closing trades may be different for different people.
12. Red trades are losses, green trades are Profits.
13. Most trades on Indices and only a few are on stock based trading
14. Paid services are sent through SMS , not available on our blog/website

Email : future@ckal.mobi

Tel: 0911698256,09312039121