Comments and updates on various Predictions

Please read the various predictions for Indian and US stock markets for the week ( also monthly predictions) and commodity predictions.

 

All strategies recommended have given profits by now especially the weekly stock market predictions( both short and long calls)

 

We will not be making any further predictions for Indian market this week. However Intra day predictions for US stock markets may be given along with Kaching based trading strategy

 

Commodity and Bullion Predictions Aug 10-14

1. Gold: likely to rise after a mid week correction ( International market)

 

2. Silver: Gain likely after a correction and overall for the week

 

3. Black Pepper ( on NCDEX) short futures as Black Pepper is likely to correct till mid week at least

 

4. Turmeric( on NCDEX): Gain likely in beginning of week and overall for the week
 

 

disclaimer: These category of predictons are not tested over large sample and also use a highly truncated prediction model using tarot cards( unlike stock market predictions)

US stock market prediction for the week Aug 10-14

 US market likley to gain amidst volatility. However there will be days of strong corrections( including inability to maintain day's high points).

 

1. short dow jones index on strong  opening/trading on monday

2. Go long on main index on tuesday/wednesday if strategy 1 i s profitable

 

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

Indian market prediction for the week Aug 10-13

This is going to be mixed week with possiblity of net loss on the indices overall.Market will however tend to bounceback from most corrections while peaks will not be retained on days on positive trade.

 

1. short index on strong trading/opening ( Nifty 80-100+) especially on Monday( however in view of drough report shorting index may prove profitable before close of  a shortened week.

 

2. Go long  on strong corrections of 150+ in nifty especially if it happens during midweek

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for August 7

As the chart shows, the prediction went wrong on all aspects. A loss of $1800 on shorting IBM and profit on shorting DIA shares at $94.50 was made.( amount unknown as Kaching account is not fully accessible at the moment

 

Prediction as posted below)
 

US market may show very volatile pattern today. Apart from negative opeing or correction in morning itself,  sharp fall or day's low point may come in afternoon. Because of long trading hours and special card pattern for today's prediction, it is difficult to give a time band.

 

1. Short index options on flat or positive trade in early morning hours.

 

2. Long postions (with stop loss) can be created once/if dow jones falls between 125-200 points from day's highest point.There is possibility of another correction in late afternoon today.

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

 

Modifications may be made after observing initial trade and nature of economci/biz news from US today

US market prediction - Intra day for August 7

US market may show very volatile pattern today. Apart from negative opeing or correction in morning itself,  sharp fall or day's low point may come in afternoon. Because of long trading hours and special card pattern for today's prediction, it is difficult to give a time band.

 

1. Short index options on flat or positive trade in early morning hours.

 

2. Long postions (with stop loss) can be created once/if dow jones falls between 125-200 points from day's highest point.There is possibility of another correction in late afternoon today.

 

usual risk/responsibility disclaimer applies

 

Modifications may be made after observing initial trade and nature of economci/biz news from US today

US stock market prediction for August 2009

Outlook/prediction of US stock market,Dow 30, Nasdaq composite in August 2009 ( based on Tarot cards)

After a correction US market in this week and early part of next week ,dow jones index likely to gain amidst choppiness and volatility. Last phase of August( last 10 days approx) will be best.However US indices may make modest net gains over July closing value. S&P 500 index may outpefrom other indices.

Strategy: Buy index (Dow 30 or S&P 500 index) call options after the indicated correction in early part of this month

Pls note: July 31 closing values were as follows- dow 30: 9171.61, Nasdaq comp: 1984.30 and S&P500 index:986.75

Disclaimer: Risk/responsility lies solely with those using these predictions

Indian stock market prediction for august 2009

Outlook/ Prediction of Sensex-Nifty in August 2009 based on Tarot Cards

Indian stock market main indices Sensex and Nifty will continue to rise and may reach a peak between august 17-21. A higher value is possible towards end of month but after a correction. A correction is also possible in next few days.

Strategy Buy call options after a correction of 100-150 point in nifty whose value maximized by august 17-21. ( weeekly predictions if given may further finetune these predictions)

usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies

Review : Prediction for July 2009

see Monthly chart for  Sensex-july 2009

 

1. Sharp correction in early phase of July was predicted (see also the weekly prediction during the week of correction) as also bounceback from every correction during the month .

 

2.However prediction of net large monthly gains in main indices was not predicted

 

 

 

Link to July Month 2009 Prediction. Click here ( original posted below)

 

Indian Stock market prediction for July 2009: No single consistent trend is seen for this month. Market will tend to bounceback after every correction with at least one correction that may be much significant than others and may follow as early as mid-to end of next week.

There is greater indication of sharper correction in Nifty

Re: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 31

No intra day prediction will be posted today .However as per end of week prediction hinted yesterday(see below) good bounceback/rise  is expected today

Prediction as Posted yesterday

 

Although weekly prediction was not posted for this week, it seems likely a sharp bounceback may occur on friday. henc e buy aug call options till july 31.Intra day for july 31 may be posted later

Review: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 30-Trade 67

As seen in chart Nifty hit previous day's clsoing value of 4513 hence nifty Put 4600 premium would have risen to atleast Rs 87. Assuming only 20 puts were pruchased- profit would be at least Rs 18000-maximum Rs 27000.

 

Pls note: part of weekly prediction as posted today( call to buy till tommorrow) will not be reviewed since  no buying price was recommended.

Prediction as posted in morning(below)

 

 

Nifty up just 2-3 points after a volatile session. It seems that a peak wil be reaached in afternoon ( possibly 12.30-1.30  pm) and then another sharp fall in afternoon may follow but may bounce back

 

Buy 30 (20+10) Nifty 4600 Puts(july series) at rs ( 60+50)( now ta Rs 86).Protect profit after average gain of Rs 18 per lot.Square off this position today itself(see below)

 

Although weekly prediction was not posted for this week, it seems likely a sharp bounceback may occur on friday. henc e buy aug call options till july 31.Intra day for july 31 may be posted later

Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 30-Trade 67

Nifty up just 2-3 points after a volatile session. It seems that a peak wil be reaached in afternoon ( possibly 12.30-1.30  pm) and then another sharp fall in afternoon may follow but may bounce back

 

Buy 30 (20+10) Nifty 4600 Puts(july series) at rs ( 60+50)( now ta Rs 86).Protect profit after average gain of Rs 18 per lot.Square off this position today itself(see below)

 

Although weekly prediction was not posted for this week, it seems likely a sharp bounceback may occur on friday. henc e buy aug call options till july 31.Intra day for july 31 may be posted later

Review: Indian market prediction - july 20 -24

As seen in the chart, long positions generally were profitable by mid week ( wednesday). High point of wednesday is quite close to peak of friday due to significant correction on wednesday itself. No correction took place towards end of week

 

Weekly Prediction( july 20-24) as posted on july 20-below

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

Review: US stock market Prediction for the week July 20-24,2009

As chart indicates there was a bullish trend un US market last week (see prediction below). However no intra day correction took place.

 

Profits were made on long positions in line with prediction below.( long position if well s fargo and ABK finance were added) ( however due to carryover of short position in First Solar from past week) significant losses were made- not related to our prediction  model. details of profit /loss wil made available later

 

Weekly prediction for july 20-24 for US market:

 

 

US market will generally be bullish this week( or till mid week ) and will tend biouceback from most corrections. However there is strong possibility of strong correction (intra day? ) towards end of week( thursday or friday).

 

Long positions for the week in Diamond index and Boeing corporation shares will be created
 

Profit?: weekly prediction update: Indian market prediction-july 22

Premium on nifty puts 4600 has now risen to Rs 193 with unbooked profit of Rs 35000. In actual trading such profits would need to be booked. However since weekly predictions scope for further downside, we will wait for the entire prediction to be work out

Prediction-strategy as posted around/before noon:

 

 

Nifty has touched a high of 4550 and as indicated in weekly outllok markets will touch highs during mid week.

 

In remaining days significant correction ( intra day ?) may occur. Buy 10 4600 Puts at rs 122( present) and another 10 before thursday close at Rs 95 or lower( day lowest so far today is 103)

 

Pls note due to approaching expiry of july series premium may deteriorate fast even though prediction of correction may turn out true

 

Weekly outlook/Prediction as Posted on Monday July 20(below)

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

weekly prediction update: Indian market prediction-july 22

Nifty has touched a high of 4550 and as indicated in weekly outllok markets will touch highs during mid week.

 

In remaining days significant correction ( intra day ?) may occur. Buy 10 4600 Puts at rs 122( present) and another 10 before thursday close at Rs 95 or lower( day lowest so far today is 103)

 

Pls note due to approaching expiry of july series premium may deteriorate fast even though prediction of correction may turn out true

 

Weekly outlook/Prediction as Posted on Monday July 20(below)

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

Review: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 21-Trade 66

Trade no 65: One 5 lots could be purchased. Profits were inthe range of Rs 7000-7500.

 

Trade no 65-Profit for US trading for Trade no 64( july 20) was in the range of $175,000 to $185,000.( because Kaching trading site is not fully accessible, full /corrected details will begiven later).

As some long trades were based on weekly prediction for US,( see below for US market) further down adjustment will need to be made for pure daytrading profits
 

 

Re: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 21

Nifty at 4457. Nifty 4300 call option at Rs 194 with day lowest at Rs 180 so far.

 

Buy 5 call options at 194 and 30 call options at Rs 175 (15) and 170(15)if available before 2.30 pm as sharp rise may occur in last hour (approx)

 

Prediction as Posted in morning( before market)

 

 

Indian markets likely to see upward movement most of the day.

However buying opportunity may come more than once. Possibly the sharpest rise may come towards end of day followng an afternoon correction.

 

Buy in morning if market corrects at any points or opens negative.Actula trade may be given later

Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 21

Indian markets likely to see upward movement most of the day.

However buying opportunity may come more than once. Possibly the sharpest rise may come towards end of day followng an afternoon correction.

 

Buy in morning if market corrects at any points or opens negative.Actula trade may be given later

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for july 20

Most notably the correction did  not take place in afternoon.Details of profit/loss will be given later

Prediction as posted on July 20

 

 

US market today will generally be doing much better in first half( either operating in green or bouncing back from any neagtive or poor start in morning). However a strong correction that may be occur closer to end of day or second half of day i s possible.(but bounceback is not ruled out)

 

we can expect intra day chart of second half to be lower or contain severe dip as compapred to first half( unless markets opens in deep negative)

 

 

1. Strategy: Buy call options if market opens neagtive or flat

2. If 1 is profitable short index in afternoon when index may peak