Review: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 30-Trade 67

As seen in chart Nifty hit previous day's clsoing value of 4513 hence nifty Put 4600 premium would have risen to atleast Rs 87. Assuming only 20 puts were pruchased- profit would be at least Rs 18000-maximum Rs 27000.

 

Pls note: part of weekly prediction as posted today( call to buy till tommorrow) will not be reviewed since  no buying price was recommended.

Prediction as posted in morning(below)

 

 

Nifty up just 2-3 points after a volatile session. It seems that a peak wil be reaached in afternoon ( possibly 12.30-1.30  pm) and then another sharp fall in afternoon may follow but may bounce back

 

Buy 30 (20+10) Nifty 4600 Puts(july series) at rs ( 60+50)( now ta Rs 86).Protect profit after average gain of Rs 18 per lot.Square off this position today itself(see below)

 

Although weekly prediction was not posted for this week, it seems likely a sharp bounceback may occur on friday. henc e buy aug call options till july 31.Intra day for july 31 may be posted later

Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 30-Trade 67

Nifty up just 2-3 points after a volatile session. It seems that a peak wil be reaached in afternoon ( possibly 12.30-1.30  pm) and then another sharp fall in afternoon may follow but may bounce back

 

Buy 30 (20+10) Nifty 4600 Puts(july series) at rs ( 60+50)( now ta Rs 86).Protect profit after average gain of Rs 18 per lot.Square off this position today itself(see below)

 

Although weekly prediction was not posted for this week, it seems likely a sharp bounceback may occur on friday. henc e buy aug call options till july 31.Intra day for july 31 may be posted later

Review: Indian market prediction - july 20 -24

As seen in the chart, long positions generally were profitable by mid week ( wednesday). High point of wednesday is quite close to peak of friday due to significant correction on wednesday itself. No correction took place towards end of week

 

Weekly Prediction( july 20-24) as posted on july 20-below

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

Review: US stock market Prediction for the week July 20-24,2009

As chart indicates there was a bullish trend un US market last week (see prediction below). However no intra day correction took place.

 

Profits were made on long positions in line with prediction below.( long position if well s fargo and ABK finance were added) ( however due to carryover of short position in First Solar from past week) significant losses were made- not related to our prediction  model. details of profit /loss wil made available later

 

Weekly prediction for july 20-24 for US market:

 

 

US market will generally be bullish this week( or till mid week ) and will tend biouceback from most corrections. However there is strong possibility of strong correction (intra day? ) towards end of week( thursday or friday).

 

Long positions for the week in Diamond index and Boeing corporation shares will be created
 

Profit?: weekly prediction update: Indian market prediction-july 22

Premium on nifty puts 4600 has now risen to Rs 193 with unbooked profit of Rs 35000. In actual trading such profits would need to be booked. However since weekly predictions scope for further downside, we will wait for the entire prediction to be work out

Prediction-strategy as posted around/before noon:

 

 

Nifty has touched a high of 4550 and as indicated in weekly outllok markets will touch highs during mid week.

 

In remaining days significant correction ( intra day ?) may occur. Buy 10 4600 Puts at rs 122( present) and another 10 before thursday close at Rs 95 or lower( day lowest so far today is 103)

 

Pls note due to approaching expiry of july series premium may deteriorate fast even though prediction of correction may turn out true

 

Weekly outlook/Prediction as Posted on Monday July 20(below)

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

weekly prediction update: Indian market prediction-july 22

Nifty has touched a high of 4550 and as indicated in weekly outllok markets will touch highs during mid week.

 

In remaining days significant correction ( intra day ?) may occur. Buy 10 4600 Puts at rs 122( present) and another 10 before thursday close at Rs 95 or lower( day lowest so far today is 103)

 

Pls note due to approaching expiry of july series premium may deteriorate fast even though prediction of correction may turn out true

 

Weekly outlook/Prediction as Posted on Monday July 20(below)

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

Review: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 21-Trade 66

Trade no 65: One 5 lots could be purchased. Profits were inthe range of Rs 7000-7500.

 

Trade no 65-Profit for US trading for Trade no 64( july 20) was in the range of $175,000 to $185,000.( because Kaching trading site is not fully accessible, full /corrected details will begiven later).

As some long trades were based on weekly prediction for US,( see below for US market) further down adjustment will need to be made for pure daytrading profits
 

 

Re: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 21

Nifty at 4457. Nifty 4300 call option at Rs 194 with day lowest at Rs 180 so far.

 

Buy 5 call options at 194 and 30 call options at Rs 175 (15) and 170(15)if available before 2.30 pm as sharp rise may occur in last hour (approx)

 

Prediction as Posted in morning( before market)

 

 

Indian markets likely to see upward movement most of the day.

However buying opportunity may come more than once. Possibly the sharpest rise may come towards end of day followng an afternoon correction.

 

Buy in morning if market corrects at any points or opens negative.Actula trade may be given later

Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 21

Indian markets likely to see upward movement most of the day.

However buying opportunity may come more than once. Possibly the sharpest rise may come towards end of day followng an afternoon correction.

 

Buy in morning if market corrects at any points or opens negative.Actula trade may be given later

Review: US market prediction - Intra day for july 20

Most notably the correction did  not take place in afternoon.Details of profit/loss will be given later

Prediction as posted on July 20

 

 

US market today will generally be doing much better in first half( either operating in green or bouncing back from any neagtive or poor start in morning). However a strong correction that may be occur closer to end of day or second half of day i s possible.(but bounceback is not ruled out)

 

we can expect intra day chart of second half to be lower or contain severe dip as compapred to first half( unless markets opens in deep negative)

 

 

1. Strategy: Buy call options if market opens neagtive or flat

2. If 1 is profitable short index in afternoon when index may peak

US market prediction - Intra day for july 20

US market today will generally be doing much better in first half( either operating in green or bouncing back from any neagtive or poor start in morning). However a strong correction that may be occur closer to end of day or second half of day i s possible.(but bounceback is not ruled out)

 

we can expect intra day chart of second half to be lower or contain severe dip as compapred to first half( unless markets opens in deep negative)

 

 

1. Strategy: Buy call options if market opens neagtive or flat

2. If 1 is profitable short index in afternoon when index may peak

US stock market Prediction for the week July 20-24,2009

US market will generally be bullish this week( or till mid week ) and will tend biouceback from most corrections. However there is strong possibility of strong correction (intra day? ) towards end of week( thursday or friday).

 

Long positions for the week in Diamond index and Boeing corporation shares will be created
 

Review: Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 20 trade 64

No significant correction took place with anet loss of approx 26k on 30 lots of nifty 4400Puts(see original prediction below)

Indian market prediction - Intra day for july 20 trade 64

Nifty at 4436 up over 64 points. At some point during the day a significant correction may occur.

 

Buy 15 Nifty 440 puts at Rs 81 and another 15 at Rs 66 before 2.30 pm.Protect profits after gain of Rs 15 per lot

 

Further based on weekly outlook( not published separtely) market will tend to bounceback.hence long positions can be created on correction today which if not profitable by end of day likely to become profitable by/before mid week( a volatile week)

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 16

due to paucity of time, prediction was made for remaining trade hours using special astrological technique based time configuration of planets.Prediction failed( possibly due to ignoring placement of sun ).

Pure day trade loss on shorting Diamond fund : $158,000.
Profit from shorting First Solar 50 k shares: + $171,000

Net profit $13,000

Prediction as posted on July 16 around 9pm( 2 hours after trading)

US market now flattish. Based on a special astrological technique , we believe US market may go down or struggle most o f the day today ending negative or flat.

short positions carried forward and more may be created today in anticipation of a possible fall today.

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 15 trade 63

as seen inthe chart for july 15 correction did not occur.

 

 

Profts were made on long position: $ 25,000. Unbooked loss on shorts were $47,000. net loss $22k

 

 

 

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 16

US market now flattish. Based on a special astrological technique , we believe US market may go down or struggle most of the day today ending negative or flat or mildly positive(edited).

short positions carried forward and more may be created today in anticipation of a possible fall today.

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 15 trade 63

US index dow 30 up 122 points in early trade. Market may see some cooling off in next 90 mts but could reach  days high approx between 1-2 pm. A strong dip./correction is possible after that followed by bounceback but it cannot be said  if bounceback will stronger than correction of late afternoon.

 

 

Both short and long positions created ( including limit price orders for shorting)

 

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 14, trade 62

As seen in the intra day chart, the prediction was broadly correct though a deeper correction was expected. However limit price of short orders was not met. hence no profit or loss

 

Prediction as posted for Juky 14- 90 mts before amrket opened

 

 

US market as per biz cues is expected to open in positive( to open after 90 mts)

 

However we take contrarian view based on Tarot  card reading that market may see  a peak formation in early part of the day and then  loose gains by /before afternoon. Limited indication of bounceback towards end  of day but not completely so.

 

hence Diamond index funds shorted at limit prices with profit to be deemed booked or protected after profit of $1 is made per share

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 14, trade 62

US market as per biz cues is expected to open in positive( to open after 90 mts)

 

However we take contrarian view based on Tarot  card reading that market may see  a peak formation in early part of the day and then  loose gains by /before afternoon. Limited indication of bounceback towards end  of day but not completely so.

 

hence Diamond index funds shorted at limit prices with profit to be deemed booked or protected after profit of $1 is made per share

Review: Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 14-trade 61

Total loss per lot was Rs 10 including brokerage. ( unfortunately due to lack of  clear instructions purchases was triggered after correction in afternoon-which was not a significant correction). Total loss on 40 lots was Rs 20,000

 

 

 

 

Nifty up about 90 points. Nifty 4000 Put at premium of Rs 89 . Makret may dip sharply in afternoon( see rest of prediction below)  Buy 15 puts options at Rs 82 and another 25 at Rs 67. Exit if average loss exceeds Rs 17. Protect profits on gain of Rs 20 per lot

 

 

Prediction as posted in morning before market opened

 

Indian stock markets expecte to open  and operate ingreen .

 

However there are indications that in afternoon a significant correction may take place.

 

There are mixed (unclear?) indications of market bouncing back in closing hours.

 

1. But call options if market opens less than 50 points in green-preferably flattish or negative

 

2. Buy Put options of near money options after 80-100 mts of trade if premium is atl least Rs 40  lower  than  yesterday closing

Moderation to this trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Re: Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 14-trade 61

Nifty up about 90 points. Nifty 4000 Put at premium of Rs 89 . Makret may dip sharply in afternoon( see rest of prediction below)  Buy 15 puts options at Rs 82 and another 25 at Rs 67. Exit if average loss exceeds Rs 17. Protect profits on gain of Rs 20 per lot

 

 

Prediction as posted in morning before market opened

 

Indian stock markets expecte to open  and operate ingreen .

 

However there are indications that in afternoon a significant correction may take place.

 

There are mixed (unclear?) indications of market bouncing back in closing hours.

 

1. But call options if market opens less than 50 points in green-preferably flattish or negative

 

2. Buy Put options of near money options after 80-100 mts of trade if premium is atl least Rs 40  lower  than  yesterday closing

Moderation to this trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 14

Indian stock markets expecte to open  and operate ingreen .

 

However there are indications that in afternoon a significant correction may take place.

 

There are mixed (unclear?) indications of market bouncing back in closing hours.

 

1. But call options if market opens less than 50 points in green-preferably flattish or negative

 

2. Buy Put options of near money options after 80-100 mts of trade if premium is atl least Rs 40  lower  than  yesterday closing

Moderation to this trade may be given after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 60

As can be seen the prediction turned out quite wrong with no afternoon correction.Unbooked loss of $75k on diamond index shares

 

Prediction as posted one hour before market opened:

 

 

US market to open in about 1 hour.

 

US market particularly dow 30 index could experience  correction in afternoon but may may bounce back. These predicted indications are stronger for  nasdaq index. ( there is lack of clarity of dow index overall performance in first 2 hours of trade).

 

Diamond index fund shorted in two lots at $ 81.98 and $ 82.20( total 60k shares) on Kaching trading site account

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 60

US market to open in about 1 hour.

 

US market particularly dow 30 index could experience  correction in afternoon but may may bounce back. These predicted indications are stronger for  nasdaq index. ( there is lack of clarity of dow index overall performance in first 2 hours of trade).

 

Diamond index fund shorted in two lots at $ 81.98 and $ 82.20( total 60k shares) on Kaching trading site account

Book profits: Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 59

Nifty now down over 68 points.

 

35 puts purchased  at average price of Rs 141

 

Exit at current profit of Rs 20 per lot on all lots. Total profits between 30000- 34000 after brokerage

 

Prediction as posted at 1.25 pm

 

 

 

Nifty now down only about 48 poin, sensex down 152 points. Market may go down again in late  afternoon possibly sharply.

 

Buy 15 Nifty 4000 puts at Rs 145 ( days lowest so far is 148) and another 20 puts at Rs 137. exit if loss per lot is Rs 15.Protect profits after gain of Rs 20 with trailing stop loss of Rs 5.

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Indian stock market Prediction - Intra day for july 13, trade 59

Nifty now down only about 48 poin, sensex down 152 points. Market may go down again in late  afternoon possibly sharply.

 

Buy 15 Nifty 4000 puts at Rs 145 ( days lowest so far is 148) and another 20 puts at Rs 137. exit if loss per lot is Rs 15.Protect profits after gain of Rs 20 with trailing stop loss of Rs 5.

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies( no weekly prediction will be posted thsi week)

 

Review: Indian stock market predictions for the week July 6-10,2009

As seen in the weekly nifty chart,

 

1 Shorting and holding till wednesday was hugely profitable (also read july month prediction)

 

2. Going long on thursday would have given profits on friday as on all calloptions highest premium on friday was higher than thursday closing value.( rise of 50 nifty points on friday is dwarfed by sharp afternoon fall)

 

3.However trend inspite of all weekly choppiness and volatility was downward and best strategy would have been to short and hold till end of week

 

 

Weekly Prediction as posted last week (below)
 

Weekly prediction july 6-10 Indian stock markets

 

There is no clear upward or downward trend for the week . However Market( after a positive start) may correct strongly and then resume upward movement amidst intra day and intra week choppiness and volatility.

 

Short index(nifty/sensex)  and hold till mid week

 

Take long position not earlier than thursday since on friday markets may bounceback( at least on intraday basis)

 

read monthly prediction for july below

 

usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 8, trade 58

As seen in the intra day chart and prediction for the day, dow hit a low in afternoon (twice) and then bounced  back. A gain of $ 53,000 from shorting . However no trade was carried out for second half of the prediction

 

 

Prediction as posted in opening minutes today

US index dow 30 up 24 points. US market( dow 30 index)  may follow no consistent direction but hit a low point in afternoon. Could rise towards end of the day.

 

Diamond index fund(ETF)  1 lacs shares shorted at $ 81.76 and another lot at limit price of $ 82.60. Profits to be protected after gain of $0.80 with traling limit of $ 0.15

 

 

Trade 57: profit of $23,000. However total portfolio is now up only 5.3% as we couldnot exit carrying stocks of Diamond index fund in a falling market over last 3-4 days

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 8, trade 58

As seen in chart market has corrected after hitting a high of +60 points, with gains of $53,000 on first 100k shares.

 

Prediction as posted in opening minutes today

US index dow 30 up 24 points. US market( dow 30 index)  may follow no consistent direction but hit a low point in afternoon. Could rise towards end of the day.

 

Diamond index fund(ETF)  1 lacs shares shorted at $ 81.76 and another lot at limit price of $ 82.60. Profits to be protected after gain of $0.80 with traling limit of $ 0.15

 

 

Trade 57: profit of $23,000. However total portfolio is now up only 5.3% as we couldnot exit carrying stocks of Diamond index fund in a falling market over last 3-4 days

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 8, trade 58

US index dow 30 up 24 points. US market( dow 30 index)  may follow no consistent direction but hit a low point in afternoon. Could rise towards end of the day.

 

Diamond index fund(ETF)  1 lacs shares shorted at $ 81.76 and another lot at limit price of $ 82.60. Profits to be protected after gain of $0.80 with traling limit of $ 0.15

 

 

Trade 57: profit of $23,000. However total portfolio is now up only 5.3% as we couldnot exit carrying stocks of Diamond index fund in a falling market over last 3-4 days

Indian stock market predictions for the week July 6-10,2009

Weekly prediction july 6-10 Indian stock markets

 

There is no clear upward or downward trend for the week . However Market( after a positive start) may correct strongly and then resume upward movement amidst intra day and intra week choppiness and volatility.

 

Short index(nifty/sensex)  and hold till mid week

 

Take long position not earlier than thursday since on friday markets may bounceback( at least on intraday basis)

 

read monthly prediction for july below

 

usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies

Indian and US stock market predictions

Indian market Intra day predictions

 

From now on Intra day prediction for Indian stock markets will be given only on days where predictions are considered low risk.Absence of predictions however should not be deemed as indication of  high risk trading on such days. Profit on all trades unless otherwise mentioned must be protected when clear profit of Rs 5 is made .

 

weekly prediction for Indian market may be given this week. This wil help to corrorborate monthly prediction for the initial phase July.

 

US market intra day predictions: US market predictions will be given more frequently but high risk predictions will be tagged .

Indian stock market prediction for july 2009

Indian Stock market prediction for July 2009:

No single consistent trend is seen for this month. Market will tend to bounceback after every correction with at least one correction that may be much significant than others and may follow as early as mid-to end of next week.

There is greater indication of sharper correction in Nifty

Disclaimer: all predictions carry risk and risk is entirely borne by person using these predictions

Review: Indian Stock Markets -Prediction for June

See the monthly chart for June and prediction below. Key point is the sharp correction predicted in mid phase of mont large profits that could have been made by shorting as recommended. It is not clear if index made any monthly gains( starting value for june 1 is not same as closing value on may end)

 

June Month prediction as posted on June 2(below)

 

 

June month is again likely  to see gains in the indices.. However the market is likely to witness its worst phase in mid june ( approx 10-20). After which upward movement of markets may resume.

 

short index by mid of next week which should become profitable by /before 20th june(approx).

 

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for july 1 trade 57

See the intra day chart and prediction below. Profit/loss deatils to be given later.

 

Prediction as Posted for July 1

 

 

Dow index up 68 points in eary trade.

 

US market may see day's low point in afternoon and then rise up. ( there is possibility of two corrections in a volatile market) but positive closing is likely

 

Both long and short position created-short positions if executed will be closed by afternoon.( in future we will restrict/ avoid stock related trades for day trade purposes on Kaching account and stick to Diamond ETF which is highly  correlated with Dow movement)

US market Prediction - Intra day for july 1 trade 57

Dow index up 68 points in eary trade.

 

US market may see day's low point in afternoon and then rise up. ( there is possibility of two corrections in a volatile market) but positive closing is likely

 

Both long and short position created-short positions if executed will be closed by afternoon.( in future we will restrict/ avoid stock related trades for day trade purposes on Kaching account and stick to Diamond ETF which is highly  correlated with Dow movement)

US market Prediction - Intra day for juny 1 trade 57

Dow index up 68 points in eary trade.

 

US market may see day's low point in afternoon and then rise up. ( there is possibility of two corrections in a volatile market) but positive closing is likely

 

Both long and short position created-short positions if executed will be closed by afternoon.( in future we will restrict/ avoid stock related trades for day trade purposes on Kaching account and stick to Diamond ETF which is highly  correlated with Dow movement)

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 30

See the intra day chart and prediction( without trade)

 

Profit and loss on last two trades on Kaching account

 

Trade 56: pure day trading profit about $65-70,000

Trade 55: Loss (only day trading loss) about $ 3k

 

Total value of porftfolio is now $10.6million approximately( as a result of trades carried out but not posted on the blogs), almost  same as account which was abandoned

Todays market prediction is high risk and hence no trade will be carried out.

 

 

 

US market may open positive as biz news indicates. however at some point ( possibly end of day) dow index may give up all /any gains of the day .

 

details of profit /loss on last two trades wil be given later

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 30

Todays market prediction is high risk and hence no trade will be carried out.

 

 

 

US market may open positive as biz news indicates. however at some point ( possibly end of day) dow index may give up all /any gains of the day .

 

details of profit /loss on last two trades wil be given later

Profit/Loss: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 29-trade 56

 

See the intra day chart and the predictions. No significant correction took place in afternoon trade.Total loss on a/c on two puts was $20.

 

Profit and loss on Kacing trading will be given later

 

 

 

Dow index at 86 points. although in previous posting no trade was recommended, based on market performance so far, we short 2 dow ( buy dow puts) and another 2 dow puts at limit of dow +120

 

stop loss of +40 points .protect profits if gain per lot is +40 points with trailing  stop loss of 15 points.

 

On Kachin a/c short positions may be created
 

 

Prediction as posted today

 

 

US markets almost flat in a choppy trade. No trade recommended today( however see the prediction)

 

US market may hit a high/peak before noon but slump in late afternoon. a bounceback is likely towards end of day. Overall choppiness may mark the markets today

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 29-trade 56

Dow index at 86 points. although in previous posting no trade was recommended, based on market performance so far, we short 2 dow ( buy dow puts) and another 2 dow puts at limit of dow +120

 

stop loss of +40 points .protect profits if gain per lot is +40 points with trailing  stop loss of 15 points.

 

On Kachin a/c short positions may be created
 

 

Prediction as posted today

 

 

US markets almost flat in a choppy trade. No trade recommended today( however see the prediction)

 

US market may hit a high/peak before noon but slump in late afternoon. a bounceback is likely towards end of day. Overall choppiness may mark the markets today

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 29

US markets almost flat in a choppy trade. No trade recommended today( however see the prediction)

 

US market may hit a high/peak before noon but slump in late afternoon. a bounceback is likely towards end of day. Overall choppiness may mark the markets today

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 26 trade no 55

See the intra day chart and the last few trading hours.

There was no major slump in late afetrnoon after a interim peak during mid day, which however did not affect our trading profit and loss.

Details of profit /loss will be given later

Prediction as predicted
 

US main index dow down about 47 points after 40 mts of trade.

 

Markets may recover by mid day but could fall in late afternoon temporarily.

 

On kachin site account

 

long position created in caterpillar shares ( 30k shares) and another 30k at limit price

 

Also long position in Alcoa shares created at limit price

 

Short position may be created in afternoon . ( past short positions not included)

Weather by Tarot

Cards indicate tha Monsoon could come to NCR and northern India but may be not consistent downpour (unlike last year).NCR could do better than rest of India in overall incidence of monsoon.

Relief from oppressive heat is indicated within next few days


Disclaimer: Predictions of weather are untested and hence cannot be relied upon without greater evidence

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 26 -trade no 55

US main index dow down about 47 points after 40 mts of trade.

Markets may recover by mid day but could fall in late afternoon temporarily.

On kachin site account

long position created in caterpillar shares ( 30k shares) and another 30k at limit price

Also long position in Alcoa shares created at limit price

Short position may be created in afternoon . ( past short positions not included)

Predictions

Predictions may not be posted for next 2-3 days

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 22-trade no 54

Total day trading loss on Facebook integrated kaching account was $360,000 as none of the short orders were executed.( pure trading loss on standalone Kaching a/c was much less- however from now only former will be quoted-with initial capital of $10m)

 

In particular predicted mid day bounceback did not happen. See the high risk alluded to; on account off fuzzy card formations

 

due to fuzzy readings, todays' prediction is high risk.

But trades may be carried out if limit price orders place don Kachin Trading site is met

 

 

US market may first slump as biz news indicates but reach a peak formation ( not necessarily day's high point) by mid day to ealry afternoon then slump again temporarily.

 

Long positions on IBM created.

Boeing shares shorted

Long positon on Aloca created at low price limits

 

 

Note: As we are now integrating Kaching account with Facebook account, past trading and protfolio will not visible on Facebook accessed Kaching site

Predictions

No prediction is likely to be posted for next 2-3 days. (except possibly for US markets)

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 22-trade no 54

due to fuzzy readings, todays' prediction is high risk.

But trades may be carried out if limit price orders place don Kachin Trading site is met

 

 

US market may first slump as biz news indicates but reach a peak formation ( not necessarily day's high point) by mid day to ealry afternoon then slump again temporarily.

 

Long positions on IBM created.

Boeing shares shorted

Long positon on Aloca created at low price limits

 

 

Note: As we are now integrating Kaching account with Facebook account, past trading and protfolio will not visible on Facebook accessed Kaching site

Re: Profit & Loss: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 22-& 52 &53

see the intra day chart and two trades recommended. day's lowest point in particular occurred much after the mid day predicted value

 

 

Profit from Trae 52-  7k on ten lots

Loss from trade 53 - 20k(after commission) on twenty lots

 

Re: Profit booked: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 22-& new trade 53

Trade no 53 is now at a loss. Though market may bounceback in last hour to give limited losses, it is better to exit at  a loss ( current premium rs 46) as second part of prediction has not turned right

 

Premium on nifty 4300 reached highest Rs 96 and then fell. profit booked at rs 91. Profit after commission rs 7000.

 

Trade no 53

 

Nifty 4300 call premium now at Rs 70 since market has fallen again. and may rise again. Buy 10 call otpions at Rs 65 and ten next lots  at Rs 58. Protect profit as before
 

 

 

 

 

 

Lowest price of Rs 74 reached.hence 10 lots pruchased at rs 75. Premium now at rs 90. (ignore pruchase of other lots now)

 

One can take a risk and hold until premium rises to 95 and then use Rs 5 trailing stop loss as market may reach highest point in late afternoon

 

Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the rise

 

Buy 25 lots of  4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79

 

In the final hour volatility is possible

 

 

Profit booked: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 22-& new trade 53

Premium on nifty 4300 reached highest Rs 96 and then fell. profit booked at rs 91. Profit after commission rs 7000.

 

Trade no 53

 

Nifty 4300 call premium now at Rs 70 since market has fallen again. and may rise again. Buy 10 call otpions at Rs 65 and ten next lots  at Rs 58. Protect profit as before
 

 

 

 

 

 

Lowest price of Rs 74 reached.hence 10 lots pruchased at rs 75. Premium now at rs 90. (ignore pruchase of other lots now)

 

One can take a risk and hold until premium rises to 95 and then use Rs 5 trailing stop loss as market may reach highest point in late afternoon

 

Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the rise

 

Buy 25 lots of  4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79

 

In the final hour volatility is possible

 

 

Re: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 22- trade 52

Lowest price of Rs 74 reached.hence 10 lots pruchased at rs 75. Premium now at rs 90. (ignore pruchase of other lots now)

 

One can take a risk and hold until premium rises to 95 and then use Rs 5 trailing stop loss as market may reach highest point in late afternoon

 

Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the rise

 

Buy 25 lots of  4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79

 

In the final hour volatility is possible

 

 

Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 22- trade 52

Indian market main indices now almost flat ( nifty 0-10).Market may hit day's low before mid day and the rise

 

Buy 25 lots of  4300 call options at ( 10 at Rs 75, 10 at 70 and 5 at 65) -days lowest so far is Rs 79

 

In the final hour volatility is possible

 

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 19-trade no 51

see the intra day chart and the prediction given below.

Both correction as well as rise in teh lst hour did happen ( though  not to expected extent)

 

Pure day trading profits:

 

1. short postion on IBM gave $12,000

2. after disposing all past Aloca shares fresh long position in Aloca( at lower prices) gave $ 144,000( true profit should be less than of half of this as for some reason purchase of one lot of 400,000 shares was triggered even when Alcoa did not reach that price during the day)

3.Longs position in Ambak Financial group gave $ 600

 

Pure day trading Profit as per Kaching wesite is $ $157,000 though it shouldbe no more than $70,000

 

Total value of portfolio is up at 10.63 million ( partly due to increase in price in last two days whne no day trading took place-carrying over effect of stocks)

 

Prediction as posted onJune 19,2009

 

 

US index dow 30 up 54 points at 7.25 pm India time( US  ET time - nearly 10 am)

 

 

US market may see signicant correction -possibly twice once in next hour or so but more likely in afternoon. After that, in the last hour upward movement is likely.

 

On kaching trading site, a numbe of stocks have been shorted at limit prices and existing stock of aloca shares sold at limit prices.

 

Long positions at limit prices may be created upon correction.

 

Review: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 19- trade 50

See the intra day chart and the predictions ( also read the pre market prediction)

Total profit on shorting was Rs 4000 after brokerage. Clearly setting profit booking targets can mean difference between large profits as was possible today and no profit.

Interestingly although hinted about rise in index towards end of day, no trade was given- possibly the largest rise in the nifty for the day

Prediction as posted today(below)

Trade no 49- specific trade recommendation was not given.

Nifty now close to day's high , sensex at 185 near day 's high point.

Buy 10 nifty 4300 puts at current price of Rs 86 and another 20 at limit price of Rs 73 before 1 pm.

Market may correct temporarily again in afternoon. Protect profit by margin of Rs 15 withtraling stop loss of rs 5

Re: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 19-trade no 51

US index dow 30 up 54 points at 7.25 pm India time( US  ET time - nearly 10 am)

 

 

US market may see signicant correction -possibly twice once in next hour or so but more likely in afternoon. After that, in the last hour upward movement is likely.

 

On kaching trading site, a numbe of stocks have been shorted at limit prices and existing stock of aloca shares sold at limit prices.

 

Long positions at limit prices may be created upon correction.

 

Update: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 19- trade 50

As seen in chart position on trade 50 is now in profit zone with premium at Rs 102 and profit not yet booked.( only 10 lots purchased)

 

Market may go up towards end of day but no trade recommended
 

Trade no 49- specific trade recommendation was not given.

 

 

Nifty now close to day's high , sensex at 185 near day 's high point.

Buy  10 nifty 4300 puts  at current price of Rs 86 and another 20 at limit price of Rs 73 before 1 pm.

 

Market may correct temporarily again in afternoon. Protect profit by margin of Rs 15 withtraling stop loss of rs 5

Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 19- trade 50

Trade no 49- specific trade recommendation was not given.

 

 

Nifty now close to day's high , sensex at 185 near day 's high point.

Buy  10 nifty 4300 puts  at current price of Rs 86 and another 20 at limit price of Rs 73 before 1 pm.

 

Market may correct temporarily again in afternoon. Protect profit by margin of Rs 15 withtraling stop loss of rs 5

Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 19- trade 49

Market likely to reach its intra day high point around mid day. Hence buy Nifty call 4200 options if available at significantly lower premium than yesterday closing.

 

Actual trade recommendation may be given  after observing initial trading pattern

 

 

Re: Predictions today

No Prediction for Indian or  US market will be given today

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 17

Intra day prediction may not be given today due to cards indicating an uncertain trading pattern . However final update wlil be given after observing trading pattern

Losses(unbooked): US market Prediction - Intra day for June 16 - trade no 48

Total value of portfolio now down to $10.36 million - a loss of $0.60 million since start of week.

 

The bulk of these losses are due to long position in Aluminium stock Alcoa( over 950,000 shares)

 

Pure day trading losses: Profit of $ 18,000 on shorting walmart, Loss of $33,000 on buying Aloca 150500  new shares- net day trading loss  $15,000.

 

 

Comment: Pls read the weekly predictions for US market. Strictly following the weekly strategy of shorting for next day and closing long position on same day would have been hugely profitable- something we did not implement due to odd trading hours
 

Predictions today

Due to unclear card formations, no Indian market prediction will be given today. US market predictions may be posted.

 

 

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 16 and trade no 48

The prediction was correct ony to th  extent of  correction that was and did occur during afternoon. Upward movement however did not materialize.

 

Details of trade will begiven before US market opens today.

 

Pls note Today's intra day market prediction for US-june 16 carries higher risk.

 

 

US market index almost flat. Sharp temporary downward movement in afternoon may be preceded and proceeded by upward movement. hence both long and short positions will be created

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 16 and trade no 48

Pls note Today's intra day market prediction for US-june 16 carries higher risk.

 

 

US market index almost flat. Sharp temporary downward movement in afternoon may be preceded and proceeded by upward movement. hence both long and short positions will be created

Losses on Trade 47: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 15 and trade no 47

Total losses in value of portfolio was approx $ 336,000 on June 15.Pls see the chart and prediction for yesterday.

 

However bulk of these losses were on account of carryover of stocks from last week ( ALcoa corp and walmart). Losses on account of these were $350,000 approx.

 

Pure profits form implementing day trading strategy were : Profits from IBM shorting $21,00, Profit from creating further long position in Aloca $12,000, Profit from exxon $2200, Losses from Diamond fund $18,000. Net profit from implementing prediction based day trading strategy was $17,200 approx. hence change in portfolio value was approx $336,00 (after brokerage costs involved)

 

we will be making these observations when day change in value of portfolio is heavily affected by effect of non strategy related past portfolio carry over which obscures the effectiveness of prediction based day trading strategy- either negatively or positively

 

 

Predictions today

No Prediction for indian market wil be posted today. Prediction for US market may be given-fyi

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 15 and trade no 47

As chart shows there was no bounceback of any significance as predicted . Details of trade will be given before US market opens today.

 

US market expected to open down based on futures market indcators.

 

Cards indicate however that market will bounceback and may be close to day's high by afternoon ( 1-2 pm approx). Late afternoon may see loss of gains again

 

Long positions in Diamond index fund created to benefit from intra day bounceback.

 

short positions in IBM and Alcoa created to offset losses from carryover of long positions and benefit from corrections.

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 15 and trade no 47

US market expected to open down based on futures market indcators.

 

Cards indicate however that market will bounceback and may be close to day's high by afternoon ( 1-2 pm approx). Late afternoon may see loss of gains again

 

Long positions in Diamond index fund created to benefit from intra day bounceback.

 

short positions in IBM and Alcoa created to offset losses from carryover of long positions and benefit from corrections.

website design Glitches

1. we have mentioned glitches in the websites www.cboe.com and www.moneybhai.com.

 

2. we hae tried some methods to overcome glitch associated  with latter but due to its inherent design problems  such as inability in accpeting more than thee buy/short sell orders at atime and delay in executing orders in real time , we may not post trading results on the same. On US options trading  site, we may start posting results after initial trials.

Profit booked: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 15 Trade no 46

See previous three predictions posed today.

 

Premium on nifty 4600 Puts is now at Rs 150-157 after the sharp fall. Profit booked around at Rs  148. after brokerage profit on trade 46 woud be around Rs 12000.

 

No futher intra day trade prediction wil be given

 

 

 

Hint: One can make another trade inthe lst hour if above is (trade 46 ) is profitable) by buying call options. ( we will not be publishing this trade-prediction)
 

Re: Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 15 and trade no 46

Proft booked on previous prediction based trade ( no 45) at premium )of approx Rs 120. Profit on 10 lots is Rs 11000.after brokerage.

 

Trade no 46: Market may dip sharply and temporarily. Buy 10 4600 Pt options at current premium of Rs 122 and another 10 at Rs 108 ( day's lowest so far is Rs 115). Protect profits as before.

 

 

Hint: One can make another trade inthe lst hour if above is (trade 46 ) is profitable) by buying call options. ( we will not be publishing this trade-prediction)
 

Indian market Prediction - Intra day for June 15

Nifty 4600 call option now at Rs 96. Buy 10 call options now and another 10 at Rs 82 if available in next one hour . protect profits of Rs 10 with trailing stop loss of 4

 

Pls note that trading results on moneybhai will not be published until we can solution to a  website design problem- trade orders are not excuted for a long time (unlike real trading or even Kaching trading platforms) creating discrepancy between predictions and its execution time.

Update: NBA finals 2009 Prediction and Intra day indian markets June 15

Lakers have won the 5th game and NBA Championship (see prediction posted on www.ckal.in) by 99-86 against Magic

 

Magic won only two quarters, by a small margin

 

Intra day prediction may be posted before 11.30 ( Buy call options upon any morning correction) as market may reach intra day high around mid day in a market that may be volatile

 

 

 

Weekly prediction- Indian and US markets ( Juneen 15-19)

Prediction for Indian and US stock markets for the week - June 15-19


1. India

Main indices may gain on weekly basis but after a strong correction that is possible during mid week.Volatility may be particularly marked towards end of the week.( it may be a good idea to day- trade only)

a. strategy 1 ( high risk)- short index on Monday and Tuesday in two equal lots on gain of 300 and 600 points from last week's closing and hold maximum till Thursday

b Strategy 2: take long position of correction of 300 and 600 points during midweek in equal lots

Stocks: Go long on RIL and short HDFC( stock specific predictions carry higher risk)

2. US

US market will also correct strongly but on most days bounceback from such corrections. ON our Kaching trading account ,short positions will mostly be carried over to next trading day and squared off during corrections while long positions created upon any strong intra day correction will be squared off on same day

Disclaimer: Usual risk and responsibility disclaimers apply

Prediction of T20 cricket match between India and England posted on http://www.ckal.in/ . Also read prediction of NBA finals 2009 5th game

Re: Profits from Prediction based trading on Kaching Trading website

Profits from Prediction based trading on Kaching Trading website

1. we started our prediction based trading on Kaching trading website from May 28,2009 using the initial allottment of virtual capital of $10 million.

2. This is a authentic trading/investment website which also offers investors/traders to trade with real money on the same platform

3. details of profit/loss are given in table below. Our porftfolio has increased 9.6% as seen in our Kaching Trading site value of our portfolio has increased by over 5 % in last week against negative increase in S&P index. In last trade of June 12, portfolio increased by 2.7%against 0.2% growth in S&P 500 index
 

	Profit/Loss from day trade
June 12	$130,000
June 11	$390,000
June 10	$250,500
June 9	$150,000
June 8	$8300
June 5	$16500
June 3	$368,000
June 2	-$74000
May 29	1$3750
May 28	$6000
Total Profit/increase in portfolio value	1249050

4. There is discrepancy in the present value of portfolio (9.6% increase) and as reflected in the table below( 12.4%). This may be due to number of reasons including price reporting error on website, possible neglect of some losses on shorting of stocks. we assume the lower of the two figures as being correct
.

5. From now on Option trading results may be included based on trades from another webite www.cboe.com ( option express) .

6. similarly we may start giving trading results for the Indian section using the Indian trading websiet www.moneybhai.com

Review: US market Prediction - Intra day for June 12-trade 44

The observed intra day chart closely conforms to prediction for Dow index.

Most of the profits on short and long positiosn were booked

Total profits - $ 130,000 approx

Total value of portfolio is now $10.958 million an increase of 9.6% percent since May 28

PS: (a) As noted earlier, last profit and value of portfolio sometime changes in off market hours. The stated profits are as shown on Kaching account at time of writing(b) However since signifcant profit were made by shorting IBM from yesterday's carry over porftfolio, actual profits may be slightly less.(b) Option trading on cboe website has been started and results wil be given after initial glitches are sorted out

Scroll down to read the orginal prediction

scroll down to read ( on http://www.ckal.in/ ) NBA finals predictions, Details of profits on Trading Kaching website using our predictions

US market Prediction - Intra day for June 12

US market down 16 points at 7.15 pm( 9.45am US ET) approx

 

 

we have created long positions in anticipation of rise i n market today amidst volatility and choppiness and also created certain short positions ( under market and limit price orders).

 

Last hour of trade may be particularly volatile with greater possibility of a fall.

 

scroll down to read ( on www.ckal.in ) NBA finals predictions, Details of profits on Trading Kaching website using our predictions