Predictions

Very few, if any, prediction will be posted this week .Prior
information will be given for any new prediction.

Review: Weekly Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 21-25,2009

See the attaced weekly chart for dow industrial for the concluded week-sept 21-25. The weekly prediction was only partly correct-markets did recover from early week correction- which peaked on wednesday but prediction's emphasis on net weekly gain was off the mark as amrket underwent correction on thursday and friday and also tanked from wednesday peak

US Prediction as posted last Monday for sept 21-25

 

US markets ( dow 9820 closing value last week))  could see a correction in early part of the week and by end of the week bounceback. The probable pattern will be markets recovering from any correction during early part of the week .

 

1Short index if markets opens or rises on monday in 70-100 range. This may become profitable by/beore tuesday

 

2. buy on any correction of over 120 points especially in early part of week .

 

also check back on any intra day predictions here and on Twitter.

 

a. dominant strategy after Monday-Tuesday : Long positions to be created  as net gain for dow  is likely on weekly basis

 

Stocks to watch: Caterpillar, IBM and Exxon Mobil. Buy these stocks on early week corrections.

 

disclaimer: stocks related predictions carry higher risk. All risk/responsibility to be borne by traders using these predictions

Part 2: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver zinc copper, -prediction for Sept 25,2009

This prediction is valid for 6pm-11 pm friday 25 sep 2009 for futures trading .

Like the morning session prediction, there may be volatility in this
session of 5 hours .Gold ,silver, copper and zinc have fallen in last
hour of trading .After a rise now there may be another dip in mid
session approx 8pm-9.30 pm, a rise followed by steeper fall is
possible in last few minutes in silver. read the disclaimer also

> disclaimer: Today's predictions involve higher than usual predictive risk
> and may also indicate more intra day choppiness.The absence of usual high
> correlation between various prices today adds to riskiness.No Specific
> buy/sell calls will be given today
>

Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver zinc copper,nickel -prediction for Sept 25,2009

Intra day prediction for gold,silver,copper,zinc,nickel futures( between 10 am - 5pm)

After a quick morning correction the prices may rise in morning itself .However in late afternoon there may be a strong correction.

A new set of predictions may be given for certain metals for 5pm-11pm trading ( AT MCX/NCDE traidng time is 10 am to 11 pm)



disclaimer: Today's predictions involve higher than usual predictive risk and may also indicate more intra day choppiness.The absence of usual high correlation between various prices today adds to riskiness.No Specific buy/sell calls will be given today

Review of intra day commodity predictions

Review of Intra day commodity prediction -sept 24 is posted at www.ckal.in

Update: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver zinc copper -prediction for Sept 24,2009

These price order valid till 11.30 am only- after that ignore these predictions

sell gold futures at Rs 15810 and 15830

Sell silver futures at sr 27100 and 27200

sell copper futures at Rs 299 and 300

sell zinc futures at Rs 90.90 and 91

Loss limit and profit booking as in previous similar posts

Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver zinc copper -prediction for Sept 24,2009

 

all four metals may follow a V shaped pattern first correcting  then in late afternoon recovering especially gold, silver, copper and possibly zinc( 10 am - 5pm)

 

Sell futures at prices higher than yesterday closing ( live quote not available now)

 

Buy around 2-3 pm if first strategy is profitable

 

 

disclaimer apply. It may be better to wait for buy/sell call as most of these commodities may display volatile trend today with possiblity of gain from both buying or selling at different times of the day.Risk/responsibility lies with those using these predictions.

Predictions

No prediction will be posted today with possible exception being
prediction for intra day movement in US tsokc markets-sept 23

Review: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 22,2009

Profit and loss on intra day commodity calls.for charts see http://www.mcxindia.com/. summary only 2/5 calls were correct

1. crude oil : Total loss at 5 pm was rs 2500 + rs 500

2. Copper profit at rs 10000 and rs 6000(lot size is 2mt)=rs 16000

3. aluminium: profit on one lot Rs 800

4. Gold : loss on one lot rs 4000

5. silver: after buy call silver wentinto proft of rs 3000 but ended with loss of rs 1200 by 5pm For both gold and silver buying would have been the right call

Prediction as posted below-see updates and correction in previous posts.

1. Crude oil: Sell now at 3395 and 3415

2. Copper: Buy at Rs 302 now and 300

3. Aluminium : Buy now at 89.70 and 88.5

For both silver and gold there may be lateafternoon correction after possible rise. hence wait till afternoon though selling levels are indicated

4. sell gold futures at rs 15800 and 15840 ( now 15776)

5. sel silver futures at sr 27500 and 27600 now at rs 27400

.Risk/responsibility lies with those using these predictions.

Review: Intra day Prediction for Indian stock markets for Sept 22, 2009

see intra day chart and prediction below.

 

Total 35 puts purchased at rs 19.85 average price. premium reached Rs 28-29 on late afternoon during temproary correction. closing premium rs 20

 

However fact is correction was not  severe as expected and peak was also in late afternoon.

Prediction as posted during mrket hours:

There may be volatility today.nifty up 37 points at 5013 andmay go up higher around noon time.

 

Buy 10 nifty 5000 puts  at current 27 and another 25 at Rs 17.(day low is rs 25)

 

Commodity calls may be given later for certain metals and oil

 

 

Update: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 22,2009

Copper futures at rs 303.40.

 

aluminium futures at RS 90.10.

 

Protect these profits by trailing marginof Rs 0.10.

 

Sell gold futures at rs 15838 and silver at sr 27383 now. (exit max loss at Rs 4000 per lot)

 

crude  oil at rs 3415. (exit at  max loss of rs 2500)

correction: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 22,2009

Silver near month futures was trading at Rs 27160-27180 range at time of previous posting few minutes back, not rs 27400. hence sell at rs 27350 and rs 27450 but after waiting till afternoon 2-3 pm ( approximate)

Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 22,2009

1. Crude oil: Sell now at 3395 and 3415

 

2. Copper: Buy at Rs 302 now and 300

 

3. Aluminium : Buy now at 89.70 and 88.5

 

For both  silver and gold there may be lateafternoon correction after possible rise. hence wait till afternoon though selling levels are indicated

 

4. sell gold futures at rs 15800 and 15840 ( now 15776)

 

5. sel silver futures at sr 27500 and 27600 now at rs 27400

 .Risk/responsibility lies with those using these predictions.

Intra day Prediction for Indian stock markets for Sept 22, 2009

There may be volatility today.nifty up 37 points at 5013 andmay go up higher around noon time.

 

Buy 10 nifty 5000 puts  at current 27 and another 25 at Rs 17.(day low is rs 25)

 

Commodity calls may be given later for certain metals and oil

 

 

Weekly Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 21-25,2009

US markets ( dow 9820 closing value last week))  could see a correction in early part of the week and by end of the week bounceback. The probable pattern will be markets recovering from any correction during early part of the week .

 

1Short index if markets opens or rises on monday in 70-100 range. This may become profitable by/beore tuesday

 

2. buy on any correction of over 120 points especially in early part of week .

 

also check back on any intra day predictions here and on Twitter.

 

a. dominant strategy after Monday-Tuesday : Long positions to be created  as net gain for dow  is likely on weekly basis

 

Stocks to watch: Caterpillar, IBM and Exxon Mobil. Buy these stocks on early week corrections.

 

disclaimer: stocks related predictions carry higher risk. All risk/responsibility to be borne by traders using these predictions

Review: Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 14-18,2009

see the attached weekly chart for dow index and prediction for the week below.

1. On positive side, prediction based strategy was to go long - dow industrial gained more than 250 points this week.

2.On negative side US markets did not see any substantial correction and not much volatility either-prediction did not emphaisze net weekly gains

US market (sept 14-18): weekly prediction

US markets may see lower values amidst some strong volatility but may end with gains or marginal losses.Long trades can be created at every strong correction for short term gains

Review: Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 18,2009

See intra day chart above and compare with prediction below.

Profit from day trading only was $ 4800 approx ( 4260 from long trade  and $560 from shorting)
.

 

Sept 16: Loss from shorting was approx 2-3 k
 

Prediction as Posted before market hours (Sept 18-see below)

 

 

US market based on futures market shows quiet start. Our Tarot based prediction model indicates markets will rise today from a weak or negative first trading hour and peak before noon or around.

 

Markets may give up gains in the closing hours.

 

1. Buy on weak start and any mid day corrections today.

 

Trades on kaching will be created broadly in line with this prediction.see twitter and facebook for possible updates.

 

Pls note in our trading portfolio which tries to mimic and outperform dow industrial index has mostly dow related shares. hence certain shares like FSLR ( which is an excellent share for long term) wil be dropped as it is not based on our prediction model but only for investment portfolio . On other hand Caterpillar is being added as it is a good long term investment and also follows dow index. Gold and silver funds also added based our commodity predictions

 

 

 

Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 18,2009

US market based on futures market shows quiet start. Our Tarot based prediction model indicates markets will rise today from a weak or negative first trading hour and peak before noon or around.

 

Markets may give up gains in the closing hours.

 

1. Buy on weak start and any mid day corrections today.

 

Trades on kaching will be created broadly in line with this prediction.see twitter and facebook for possible updates.

 

Pls note in our trading portfolio which tries to mimic and outperform dow industrial index has mostly dow related shares. hence certain shares like FSLR ( which is an excellent share for long term) wil be dropped as it is not based on our prediction model but only for investment portfolio . On other hand Caterpillar is being added as it is a good long term investment and also follows dow index. Gold and silver funds also added based our commodity predictions

 

 

 

Review: Intra day Prediction for Indian stock markets for Sept 17, 2009

Intra chart is attached for Nifty-sept 17. Compare with the prediction  for september 17 given  in preceding post before market hours.

 

 

NO PREDICTION FOR INDIAN MARKETS-STOCKS OR COMMODITY WIL BE POSTED ON FRIDAY 18 SEPTEMBER BUT MAY BE POSTED FOR US MARKETS

Intra day Prediction for Indian stock markets for Sept 17, 2009

Indian markets could rise to a high point by afternoon. however there may be a strong temporary correction in late afternoon before market possibly rising further or bouncing back. Market could also correct in morning if it opens strong as is likely

Review: Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 16,2009

Market corrcted and then rose to a high point by  afternoon. (see chart) But predicted correction did not materialize. Details of profit and loss to be given later

 

Prediction as posted before market hours(below)

 

US dow futures trading before market opens  at +54 points. However our prediction model indicates much weaker start or dip in oeping hours before US market rises through most of the day. also indicated is at least strong correction-w hose timing is uncertain but may fall in mid day. overall choppiness is likely

 

Buy and add on all corrections and weak start of less than +25 points

 

Short index related stocks at dow+100 to +150

 

Trades on kaching will be created broadly in line with this prediction.see twitter and facebook for possible updates

Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 16,2009

US dow futures trading before market opens at +54 points. However our prediction model indicates much weaker start or dip in opening hours before US market rises through most of the day. also indicated is at least one strong correction-whose timing is uncertain but may fall in mid day. overall choppiness is likely

Buy and add on all corrections and weak start of less than +25 points

Short index related stocks at dow+100 to +150

Trades on kaching will be created broadly in line with this prediction.see twitter and facebook for possible updates

Final Update : Intra day Prediction for metals,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 16,2009

Book profit on copper Rs 1600 ( now at rs 307.80)

Protect profit on crude oil now at Rs 3424( max loss = rs 0)
Profit on crude oil is now rs 2000 at rs 3432 exit ( edited at 5 pm)

Profit on Gold futures(sell order) Rs 4200-4300 before brokerage.


silver and Aluminium price orders not met though directionally correct on buy/sell.


Next possible prediction: US stock markets today-sept 16

Review: Intra day Prediction for Indian stock market, Sept 15,2009

Read bullion/metal/oil  calls for today  in previous sections.

 

Intra day nifty chart for sept 15 prediction above shows call to buy in aweak global market cues was on target.

 

secondly market corrected temporarily by over 30 nifty points -almost 36% of highs before recovering( though this correction is dwarfed by large increase in nifty/sensex)
 

Prediction as posted yesterday for sept 15 before market hours(below)

 

 

Indian stock market is expected to hit a high point in afternoon around mid day. But lateafternoon may see a volatility with possibility of strong correction.

 

1. Buy call options in morning and add if market corrects in morning

 

2. If 1 is profitable ,short index options(buy put options) in afternoon with trainling stop loss.(this part of prediction carries higher risk)

 

Buy/sell call may be given during the day.

 

Review of past predictions will be posted later

 

No commodity prediction wil be posted today.

Usual risk/responsibility disclaimers apply

Update 2: Intra day Prediction for metals,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 16,2009

Gold profits on sell call  hit maximum of Rs 4800-4900. profit rs 4200. (sell target of 16010 not met) Silver also corrected but price target on sell call not met for silver

 

1. Buy copper futures at current rs 306.20

 

2. Buy crude oil futures at Rs 3412 ( current) and 3390
 

 

Stop losses and profit booking as before

Update: Intra day Prediction for metals,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 16,2009

All futures prices have moved up after our buy calls but price targets not met.some temporary correction may occur now

Sell gold futures at 15990(current) and 16010

sell silver futures at 27700 and 27800

Stop losses and profit booking as before

Correction: Intra day Prediction for metals,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 16,2009

Gold futures prices should be Rs 15840 and 15820

 

 

From now on agriculture products futures predictions  with appear alternately with metals,precious metal and oil futures  intra day predictions in most  cases

Intra day Prediction for metals,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 16,2009

1. Buy gold futures at  Rs 15780 and 15740

 

2. Buy silver futures at rs 27100 an 27300

 

3 Buy aluminium futures at Rs 87 and 87.50

 

4. Buy copper futures at Rs 305 and 304

 

5 Buy crude oil futures at Rs 3320 and 3310

 

stop loss of Rs 4000  for each lot. profit of Rs 2400 to be protected with trailing stop loss of rs 800.

 

Sell calls may be given later. Most charts may display a volatile pattern

 

 

all prices as on mcx today for nearest  month contracts

 

disclaimer apply. Risk/responsibility lies with those using these predictions.

Review: Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 15,2009

 

Prediction was correct only on the upside(from a neagtive and week a start.However strong correction did not materialize and there was no significant volatility in afternoon.loss on shorts $1000 for day trade only.(see also weekly prediction below) 

 

Long trades show profit of $6000 (on wells fargo purchase) but there maybe a mistake since price targets were not met on buy calls

 

Prediction as posted on sept 15 before market hours followed by Twitter and Facebook updates

 

US market may rise initially ( if it opens from a weak or negative start). However a strong correction awaits in afternoon. US market may again bouceback towards end of day.

 

 

Trades on kaching will be created broadly in line with this prediction.see twitter and facebook for possible updates

Review: Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 14,2009

US prediction (see chart above) for sept 14 was right onthe long side but no significant correction happened in afternoon.However  market rose as predicted towards end of day.

 

Price targets on buy calls not met except silver where profit/loss was zero. On shorts loss on shorting diamond was $ 1500

 

Prediction posted for tuesday followed by update sontwitter and facebook:

 

US main index dow 30 down 63 points at open. US market may hit a lower level by afternoon but set to recover at least one towards late afternoon.

 

Long trades to be created at lower values)see also weekly prediction below)

 

 

US market (sept 14-18): weekly prediction

 

US markets may see lower values amidst some strong volatility but may end with gains or marginal losses.Long trades can be created at every strong correction for short term gains

Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 15,2009

US market may rise initially ( if it opens from a weak or negative start). However a strong correction awaits in afternoon. US market may again bouceback towards end of day.

 

 

Trades on kaching will be created broadly in line with this prediction.see twitter and facebook for possible updates

Intra day Prediction for Indian stock market, Sept 15,2009

 

Indian stock market is expected to hit a high point in afternoon around mid day. But lateafternoon may see a volatility with possibility of strong correction.

 

1. Buy call options in morning and add if market corrects in morning

 

2. If 1 is profitable ,short index options(buy put options) in afternoon with trainling stop loss.(this part of prediction carries higher risk)

 

Buy/sell call may be given during the day.

 

Review of past predictions will be posted later

 

No commodity prediction wil be posted today.

Usual risk/responsibility disclaimers apply

Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 14,2009

US main index dow 30 down 63 points at open. US market may hit a lower level by afternoon but set to recover at least one towards late afternoon.

 

Long trades to be created at lower values)see also weekly prediction below)

 

 

US market (sept 14-18): weekly prediction

 

US markets may see lower values amidst some strong volatility but may end with gains or marginal losses.Long trades can be created at every strong correction for short term gains

Buy/sell Calls: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 14,2009

All futures prices referred to are near month contracts

Buy silver futures(MCX) at Rs 26450 and 26350. may hold beyond 5 pm

Sell pepper futures(NCDEX) at Rs 14250 (now at 14230) and 14350

Sell Potato futures at NCDEX at Rs 1275 (current ) and 1290

Buy aluminium futures at MCX at Rs 87 and 87.5 .hold beyond 5 pm if necessary.

In call cases exit if losses reaches Rs 4000 per contracts. protect profit at Rs 3000 with Rs 600 traling stop loss

disclaimer apply. Risk/responsibility lies with those using these predictions.

Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 14,2009

Prediction for futures traded at NCDEX/MCX between 10 am-5pm unless otherwise mentioned

1. Bullion ,metal and Oil

a. Gold: Sell on morning gains

b: Silver: Sell on morning gains.Likely to recover in afternoon

c. Aluminium: Sell futures. May recover in late afternoon

d: Crude oil: sell in morning and may rise/recover sharply in late afternoon from a sharp dip

2. Agriculture commodities(NCDEX)

a. Pepper: Buy on morning correction/sell in afternoon

b. Soyabean: Volatile trade. Buy on morning correction. sell in late afternoon

c. Guar seed: Buy on morning correction. Could correct in late afternoon

d: Potato: Buy on morning correction.Sell in afternoon

disclaimer apply. It may be better to wait for buy/sell call as most of these commodities may display volatile trend today with possiblity of gain from both buying or selling at different times of the day.Risk/responsibility lies with those using these predictions.

Review: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 11,2009

Summary: Out of 7 calls for five commodities/bullion, only one for Guar gum would have been triggered giving maximum possibleprofit of Rs 1650 on one lot and none on other. Approx. 6/7 calls were directionally correct.See charts.No indvidual eval done.

errors: In last review profit on pepper was given as Rs 9000 on erroneous asumtion of 10mt as lot size. Profit would be Rs 900 since lot size traded on ndex is 1mt.


Profit on US prediction-sept 11: Profit only for day trade on shorting was $1500 and $800 on long trade.total profit$2300 before brokerage.See review below

Prediction as posted during market hours on Friday Sept 11


This is with reference for futures trading on NCDEX/MCX unless otherwise mentioned and only for tradng between 10am -5 pm.

1. Gold : Sell gold futures at Mcx at Rs 15820 and 15840 before 2-3 pm . Buy Gold if it corrects in afternoon to Rs 15700 and 15650


2. silver now at Rs 27120 at mcx . Sell silver at sr 27250 and 27300 before 2pm but buy if it touches Rs 26700 and 26750 in afternoon.

3. sell pepper futures at SR 14500 and Rs 14600

4 sell soyabean futures at NCDEX if touches over Rs 2080 and Rs 2090 in afternoon. Correction may come late in day

5. Buy guar gum futures at ncdex at Rs rs 4610 and 4590. sell futures at Rs 4680 before 2pm

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer apply.

Review: Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 11,2009

From the intra day chart it can be seen that the chart is broadly in line with predicted pattern.

 

Details of profits and reviews of other prediction will be posted later.

 

Prediction as Posted for US market yesterday(sep11)

dow industrial down 7 points. Our Tarot card model indicates a broadly V shape intra day chart ( with possible choppiness).

 

1. sell now -50% and another 50%( or second lot if market rises in next 60 mts)

 

2. In afternoon when market is expected to hit a low point- buy and hold

 

On our Facebook page ( see right on www.ckal.in) we may recommend trades in dow industrial or SP500 futures today

Intra day Prediction for US stock markets,dow industrials for Sept 11,2009

dow industrial down 7 points. Our Tarot card model indicates a broadly V shape intra day chart ( with possible choppiness).

 

1. sell now -50% and another 50%( or second lot if market rises in next 60 mts)

 

2. In afternoon when market is expected to hit a low point- buy and hold

 

On our Facebook page ( see right on www.ckal.in) we may recommend trades in dow industrial or SP500 futures today

Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 11,2009

This is with reference for futures trading on NCDEX/MCX unless otherwise mentioned  and only for tradng between 10am -5 pm.

 

1. Gold : Sell gold futures at Mcx  at Rs 15820 and 15840 before 2-3 pm . Buy Gold if it corrects in afternoon to Rs 15700 and 15650 

 

 

2. silver now at Rs 27120 at mcx . Sell silver at sr 27250 and 27300 before 2pm but buy if it touches  Rs 26700 and 26750  in afternoon.

 

3. sell pepper futures at SR 14500 and Rs 14600

 

4 sell  soyabean futures at NCDEX if touches over Rs 2080 and Rs  2090 in afternoon. Correction may come late in day

 

5. Buy guar gum futures at ncdex at Rs rs 4610 and 4590. sell futures at Rs 4680 before  2pm

 

Usual risk /responsibility disclaimer apply.

Predictions

No Prediction will be posted today

Review: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 9,2009

Summary: See( click to see and enlarge each graph) chart and predictions and updates with buy/sell calls. About 10/13 calls were correct. Jeera calls were correct but loss was incurred on buy call( Rs 9500 approx on two lots). max possible profit on gold was Rs 20,000, on silver one lot was Rs 7500 and Rs 4500.On max possible profit on Crude oil was 9000. No individual eval of calls is done here. However we underestimated the extent of afternoon correction of gold and silver ( latter especially)

( Prediction as posted before market opened- below( see also update during market hours with buy/sell calls)

This is with reference for futures trading on NCDEX/MCX unless otherwise mentioned and only for tradng between 10am -5 pm.Pls note today's predictions carries higher risk

specific buy/sell call may be given in some cases where possible

1. Gold : May correct especially from mid day to afternoon and then rise sharply towards end of day. Sell on morning gains and buy futures in afternoon upon correction.

2. silver: Trend similar to gold futures likely

3. crude oil: short futures in morning and buy upon mid day correctionor earlier

4.Aluminium: Like oil a mixed trend is possible.Sell futures in morning.

5. Cumin/jeera: Buy futures on correction in morning or at even prices. May sell on gains.

6.Red chilli: Short chilli futures if it gains in morning but better to buy upon significant correction

7.wheat: sell wheat futures (NCDEX) but may buy in mid and late afternoon upon correction

disclaimer apply. It may be better to wait for buy/sell call as most of these commodities may display volatile trend today with possiblity of gain from both buying or selling at different times of the day

specific buy/sell calls: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 9,2009

1. Gold : Buy MCX futures at Rs 15700 and 15650 ( now at Rs 15720) may hold beyond 5 pm if gains do not materialze before 5 pm

 

2. silver : Buy futures at Rs 26600 and 26500 ( now at Rs 26640).same for gold

 

3. Buy Jeera futures now at Rs 10940 and at rs 10900

 

4. Buy crude oil futures at Rs 3450 and 3440  now at 3456

 

disclaimer apply.

Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil -prediction for Sept 9,2009

This is with reference for futures trading on NCDEX/MCX unless otherwise mentioned  and only for tradng between 10am -5 pm.Pls note today's predictions carries higher risk

 

specific buy/sell call may be given  in some cases where possible

1. Gold : May correct especially from mid day to afternoon and then rise sharply towards end of day. Sell on morning gains and buy futures in afternoon upon correction.

 

2. silver: Trend similar to gold futures likely 

 

3. crude oil: short futures in morning and buy upon mid day correctionor earlier

 

4.Aluminium: Like oil a mixed trend is possible.Sell futures  in morning.

 

5. Cumin/jeera: Buy futures on correction in morning  or at even prices. May sell on gains.

 

6.Red chilli: Short chilli  futures if it gains in morning but better to buy upon significant correction

 

7.wheat: sell wheat  futures (NCDEX) but may buy in mid and late  afternoon upon correction

 

disclaimer apply. It may be better to wait for buy/sell call as most of these commodities may display volatile trend today with possiblity of gain from both buying or selling at different times of the day

Review: Intra day Prediction for Indian stock market, Sept 8,2009

See the intra day chart and prediction below. Though market did not open with correction, shorting would have given good profits. Peaks occurred between 1-2 pm amidst volatility( around 60-65 points of nifty)

 

Prediction as posted before market opened(below)

 

The indian stock markets ( and main indices nifty-sensex) likely top dispaly a very volatile or just range bound pattern with one of the peaks appearing around mid day -early afternoon.

 

1. Buy call options on early morning correction.

2. Index can also be shorted when nifty gains 60-65 points

 

Actual buy/sell call may be given after observing initial trading pattern.

 

No commodity prediction wil be posted today.

Usual disclaimers apply

Intra day Prediction for Indian stock market, Sept 8,2009

The indian stock markets ( and main indices nifty-sensex) likely top display a very volatile or just range bound pattern with one of the peaks appearing around mid day -early afternoon.

1. Buy call options on early morning correction.
2. Index can also be shorted when nifty gains 60-65 points

Actual buy/sell call may be given after observing initial trading pattern.

No commodity prediction wil be posted today.

Usual disclaimers apply

Review: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil prediction for Sept 7,2009

Predictions are also posted on mobile site ckal.mobi

 

summary: About 9/10 calls were correct ( some both sell/buy) Out of actual live calls, Pepper profit was Rs 9000, Turmeric zero, Oil max profit per lot Rs 2700, Soyabean-best prediction. no trade executed inspite of good call. Copper gained after buy  call but did not meet buy price limit.Gold and silver corrected in midday afternoon but did not give sell call.

 

Prediction as posted before markets opened today(below):see also updates giving sell/buy calls after this prediction. evaluation of prediction in colour/or underline

 

 

This is with reference for futures trading on NCDEX/MCX unless otherwise mentioned  and only for tridng between 10am -5 pm.

 

specific buy/sell call may be given  in some cases where possible

1. Gold : May correct especially from mid day to afternoon

 

 

Gold corrected in afternoon but did not give sell call.see update

2. silver: A correction is possible in silver  amidst  volatile trading

 Silver corrected in afternoon but maintained positive value

 

3. crude oil: Buy crude oil futures today

 

 

Crude oil gained today

 

 

4.Copper: Buy copper futures if it opens with correction. volatile trade.

 

Copper opened with some gains and reached a peak in afternoon after our buy call.

 

5. Pepper: Buy pepper if it corrects in morning

 

 

Pepper corrected in morning Buy call would have given some gains. Later sell call gave profits.see above and updates

 

6.Turmeric: Short turmeric futures if it gains in morning.

 

Turmeric corrected in morning after marginal gains. Sell call got in profits but closed at no loss no gain at rs 7650

 

7.Soyabean: sell soyabean futures (NCDEX) but may buy in late afternoon upon correction.

 

Best prediction. Soyabean corrected in morning and gained hugely in afternoon. erroneous typing in giving buy price limits

 

disclaimer apply. It may be better to wait for buy/sell call as most of these commodities may display volatile trade with possiblity of gain from both buying or selling at different times of the day

Update: Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil prediction for Sept 7,2009

1. Sell pepper futures ( at Rs 14550 and Rs 14650 now at Rs 14520)- ( stop loss rs 100 and protect profits at Rs 150)

 

2. Buy copper futures at  rs 310

 

3. Soyabean has already corrected. Buy soyabean at Rs 1750 and Rs 1700 ( stop loss Rs 70)

 

4. Buy crude oil futures at Rs 3336

 

5. See turmeric futures ar Rs 7650( stop loss Rs 80)

 

Ignore gold, silver predictions for today as there may be mixed trading

 

 

all near month contracts

 

Intra day Prediction for commodities,Gold, Silver oil prediction for Sept 7,2009

This is with reference for futures trading on NCDEX/MCX unless otherwise mentioned  and only for tridng between 10am -5 pm.

 

specific buy/sell call may be given  in some cases where possible

1. Gold : May correct especially from mid day to afternoon

 

2. silver: A correction is possible in silver  amidst  volatile trading

 

 

3. crude oil: Buy crude oil futures today

 

4.Copper: Buy copper futures if it opens with correction. volatile trade.

 

5. Pepper: Buy pepper if it corrects in morning

 

 

6.Turmeric: Short turmeric futures if it gains in morning.

 

7.Soyabean: sell soyabean futures (NCDEX) but may buy in late afternoon upon correction

 

disclaimer apply. It may be better to wait for buy/sell call as most of these commodities may display volatile trade with possiblity of gain from both buying or selling at different times of the day

Indian stock market prediction for the week of Sept 7-11,2009

See weekly prediction for other world markets.

 

Indian market may display volatile and mixed  trading pattern this week. A sharp correction is likely from mid week onwards.

 

1. Buy on Monday ( index options) if market corrects.This may become profitable by/before wednesday

 

2. Short index options betwen Tuesday and wednesday.

 

3. On strong corrections towards end of week(thursday ), buy index options

 

usual disclaimers apply

Prediction on mobile site ckal.mobi

Predictions of Japanese( niikei225), HangSeng index and Chinese stock market index SSE are now posted on mobile site ckal.mobi. on World Stock Markets section.

 

Weekly Prediction for Indian stock markets (sept 7-11) and intra day commodity predictions will be posted on these blogs (www.ckal.in and www.kal.in )

 

 

 

Chinese Stock Market prediction for week Sept 7-11,2009

Shanghai Compositie index(SSE) of chinese stock  market may do well in beginning o fthe week but likley to correct sharply around Wednesday-Thursday- at least on intra day basis in volatile week.( Other predictions will be given on mobile site ckal.mobi)

 

1. Buy SSE index based futures on weak opening on Monday for short term gain

2.Build Short positions on the index on Tuesday and wednesday for a possible correction

 

Please note 1.US market prediction may not be given due to a holiday shortened week while all predictions mentined in previous posting ( Sept 5) except for commodities/bullion will be for weekly outlook. In case of commodity and bullion predictions, intra day predictions will be given as weekly predictive model is not yet tested for large sample.

 

2. Dates given on predictions (for corrections and/or upward trend) especially in monthly predictions are approximate andmay need to adjusted for the fact that on occassion monthly predictions are posted somedays after commencement of the month for which prediction is given

Predictions for next week

A number of predictions will be posted next week-will be available to all on mobile site ckal.mobi.

 

These include

1. US stock market weekly outlook

2. Nikkei225-Japanese stock market

3. Hangseng Index -HongKong

4. Bullion and Commodity market( on blogs also

5 Sensex-Nifty

Prediction for Gold,Silver,oil and Rupee in September 2009

Prediction for Gold,Silver,oil and Rupee in September 2009

September outlook prediction in price of Oil,Gold,Silver and US Dollar value of Rupee These prediction for International spot prices in $(without factoring changes in rupee value on these prices)

Gold: Likely to move up after a sharp quick correction and trend is mostly upward.Sell Gold futures on international exchanges like CBOT now and buy futures after a correction which may be between 8-13 September approx

Silver: Same as for gold-upward trend after a sharp correction. sell silver futures now (in$)and buy after correction materializes before mid month and possibly earlier.(see also rupee -dollar prediction)

Oil: Likely to be range bound.May rise now after the ongoing correction in crude oil price but fall towards end of month

$ value of rupee: ( After the ongoing depreciation rupee is likely to appreciate against the US $ starting from 12-16 September. See $ in this ongoing depreciation of Rupee but buy dollar before mid month. ( It seems that rupee value of gold,silver,oil may be less effected due to possible appreciation of rupee)Paid predictions for US market,Chinese market, Nikkei225, Hang Seng index are available on our mobile Internet ckal.mobi through secure payment gateway for those residing outside India.

Indian stock market prediction for the September 2009

Indian markets likely to bounceback during the mid phaase of the month after the ongoing correction. However the month will be punctuated by at least two sharp  corrections- one around 15-18 Sept and other towards closing days of September. The volatile andmixed nature of month makes it difficult to state if there will be any net gains by end of September.

 

Long positions canbe created after nifty corrects by another 100-150 points

 

 

Disclaimer: Risk/responsility lies solely with those using these predictions
 

New Predictions

1. Prediction for indian stock market for september will be posted in next 48 hours

2. For first time monthly prediction for oil,gold and silver ( In US $,not Re futures) will be posted in next 48 hours

3. Paid prediction for US stock markets, Chinese index SSE, Japanese Nikkei225 index, Hangseng index is available on ckal.mobi for all located outside india

Review: US stock market prediction for the august 2009

 

	Monthly gain in index/portfolio	% gain over last month closing	Remarks
Dow 30	324.92=             ( 9496.28-9171.36  )	3.54%
Nasdaq comp.	25.31=               ( 2009.61-1984.30)	1.276%	Underperformed other two indices
S&P500	33.87=                 (1020.62-986.75 )	3.43%
Prediction based  Kaching Trading portfolio	$1.479 m=              ( $10.979million-$9.50 million or less       )	15.57%	Kaching account shows a monthly return of 23% which is probably wrong

 

 

1. See the monthly chart for Dow 30 index and compare with the prediction given for the month.
2. As seen last ten days approx saw maximum gain  in US markets
3. Our Kaching trading portfolio based on intra day ,weekly and month predictions gave an astonishing return of 15.57% outperforming all key indices. Even from from original allocation of $10m, growth in portfolio is 9.979%. Please note we did not trade on all days and did not book profit on most days. ( portfolio value was over  $11.27million on Friday closing).

 

Monthly prediction for US market will be available on pay and access mode ( access 6 times) on mobile site ckal.mobi in next 48 hours.( Please access only when  notice on available is posted). This facility is for all traders based in US,Canada and other foreign countires trading in US market- not open to Indian residents)

 

Prediction as posted for August 2009 below

 

 

Outlook/prediction of US stock market,Dow 30, Nasdaq composite in August 2009 ( based on Tarot cards)

 

After a correction US market in this week and early part of next week ,dow jones index likely to gain amidst choppiness and volatility. Last phase of August( last 10 days approx) will be best.However US indices may make modest net gains over July closing value. S&P 500 index may outpefrom other indices.

 

Strategy: Buy index (Dow 30 or S&P 500 index) call options after the indicated correction in early part of this month

 

Disclaimer: Risk/responsility lies solely with those using these predictions
 

Review: Indian stock market prediction for the August 2009

See the monthly chart for nifty-sensex for august and compare with prediction below

 

Full review of US monthly prediction will be posted later along with portfolio growth details.

 

Monthly outlook for Indian market, a new series on monthly outlook for gold,silver,oil,commodities will be posted in next 3-4- days.

 

Monthly Prediction for US dow -30 index will be available as paid prediction on our mobile site ckal.mobi in next 48 hours-for US and foreign based traders only.

 

No prediction will be posted today

 

Sensex Monthly prediction as posted on aug 5,2009

 

 

Outlook/ Prediction of Sensex-Nifty in August 2009 based on Tarot Cards

 

Indian stock market main indices Sensex and Nifty will continue to rise and may reach a peak between august 17-21. A higher value is possible towards end of month but after a correction. A correction is also possible in next few days.

 

 

Strategy Buy call options after a correction of 100-150 point in nifty whose value maximized by august 17-21. ( weeekly predictions if given may further finetune these predictions)

 

usual risk /responsibility disclaimer applies