April 2009 Predictions for US and Indian market

The above predictions will be posted in next few days

 

 

Also review of march predictions will also  be posted here.

 

 

PS: Anyone have detailed knowledge of method ( and way to detect it) of telecom officials creating multiple nodes on broad band internet accounts and hence being used/misued without knowldge of a/c holder may sent replies to wwwkalin@yahoo.co.in. thanks.

Virtual Trading Fund

The above fund trading indcies based on indices was started On april 1,2008. Over 100 trades( numbered) were ordered and less than 100 trades carried out( due to price limits etc)

 

The performance of this fund which has not carried for soem time which will be posted next month

 

 

 

"30 Profitable Trades" Prediction series

Due to technical constraints above series will resume after some days.

Re: Trade 2: "30 Profitable Trades" Prediction series

Prediction based Trade 2 for Indian market may be posted on Monday subect to power availability & favourable opening trade

Re: Trade 1: "30 Profitable Trades" Prediction series

Trade 1: It may be seen Trade 1 was  loss making $230(see rules below for calculations)

 

score : 0/ 30PT( min 30 trades will be executed with theoretcially no upper bound)

Trade 1: "30 Profitable Trades" Prediction series

Trade 1:

 

Nasdaq now down at +3 points after 45 minutes of trade.

 

Buy 1 call options

Buy 2nd call options at -12

buy 3rd call option at -20

 

Protect profits after gain of 14 points is made on each with traling stop loss of 4 points

 

exit all options if nasdaq hits -25

 

extremely choppy market expected today

 

ususal; disclaimer applies

 

"30 Profitable Trades" Prediction series

In a few days the above series will be launched. It will involve

 

1. Predictions based trades on Indian  and/or US market

2. Based on Live Premium ( and exit /profit booking levels) in  case of Indian market and Dow-30/nasdaq levels as proxy for futures ( since real time premiums are not available)

3. There is no time limit for start or end of series nor advance announcement will be made about upcoming trades.

4. After thirty profitable trades, sucess rate/ total profit/loss on assumed capital of 10 lacs will be calculated

5. Proft on US trades wil be taken as 50% of gain in indices times $5( as proxy for $5 dow futures) or times $10 in case of Nasdaq trades as proxy for $10 nasdaq futures.

6 will mostly be intra day trades

 

 

No Prediction

PREDICTIONS MAY NOT BE AVAILABLE FOR A FEW DAYS

Chart: Intra day prediction for Tuesday March 10 2009 Prediction-US market

As can be seen from full day chart (above), the expected correction did not come resulting in losses.

THIS PREDICTION WAS SENT TO A SELECT GROUP ONE HOUR BEFORE US MARKET OPENED TODAY(SEE DAY CHART ABOVE SO FAR)

Dow 30 index : Inspite of some encouraging signs, market may correct initially but reach day's high around 1-2pm.In last 90 minutes approx. a strong correction/loss of gains  is possible

Strategy  for Today :1.Buy call options if dow corrects 50 points or more in first 60 minutes 2. Buy Put options in last 90 minutes of trade today
 

REMARKS: AS CAN BE SEEN MARKET DID NOT CORRECT ON OPENING. DOW NOW AT +281. BUY 1 PUT OPTION NOW AND SECOND OPTION IF BY 2.30 PM IF DOW IS OVER THIS POINT(281). EXIT IF DOW RISES ABOVE 380. PROTECT PROFIT ON LOSS OF 100 POINTS WITH TRAILING LOSS AT 25 POINTS
 

 

usual risk disclaimer applies

Intra day prediction for Tuesday March 10 2009 Prediction-US market

THIS PREDICTION WAS SENT TO A SELECT GROUP ONE HOUR BEFORE US MARKET OPENED TODAY(SEE DAY CHART ABOVE SO FAR)

Dow 30 index : Inspite of some encouraging signs, market may correct initially but reach day's high around 1-2pm.In last 90 minutes approx. a strong correction/loss of gains  is possible

Strategy  for Today :1.Buy call options if dow corrects 50 points or more in first 60 minutes 2. Buy Put options in last 90 minutes of trade today
 

REMARKS: AS CAN BE SEEN MARKET DID NOT CORRECT ON OPENING. DOW NOW AT +281. BUY 1 PUT OPTION NOW AND SECOND OPTION IF BY 2.30 PM IF DOW IS OVER THIS POINT(281). EXIT IF DOW RISES ABOVE 380. PROTECT PROFIT ON LOSS OF 100 POINTS WITH TRAILING LOSS AT 25 POINTS
 

 

usual risk disclaimer applies

Chart : Intra day prediction for monday March 9 2009 Prediction-US market

See Intra day chart for march 9(above). Purchase price limit set for first option was met after the time limit. hence no profit. Also no loss/profit  for other options for the same reason.

 

 

Dow 30 at +27 after first few minutes after a negative start.

 

Buy 1 call option if dow hits negative 50 and two lots more if dow hits -100 in next 2 hours. dow expected to hit a peak or day's highest point in afternoon between 1.30- 3pm.

 

last 30-40 minutes may be very volatile with (temporary?) loss of gains. hence protect profits if gain of 70 pioints on each lot is made with trailing stop loss of 25 points

 

usual risk disclaimer applies

Intra day prediction for monday March 9 2009 Prediction-US market

Dow 30 at +27 after first few minutes after a negative start.

 

Buy 1 call option if dow hits negative 50 and two lots more if dow hits -100 in next 2 hours. dow expected to hit a peak or day's highest point in afternoon between 1.30- 3pm.

 

last 30-40 minutes may be very volatile with (temporary?) loss of gains. hence protect profits if gain of 70 pioints on each lot is made with trailing stop loss of 25 points

 

usual risk disclaimer applies

Chart : Intra day prediction for March 6 2009 Prediction-US market

chart for yesterday(above) -march 6 and the prediction for yesterday (below) is shown.

 

since no stop loss level was set, no profit can be calculated.

 

Dow in last on hour of trade has shown the above peak pattern today.

 

A bigger fall is possible between 11.30 and 1.30 ( US time). Buy one dow Put option now at Dow (=+30) and another if put if it rises to +80 in next one hour.

 

 

In last 70-80 minutes of trade indices might surge up from all day low levels .hence protect profits on above trades

Intra day prediction for March 6 2009 Prediction-US market

Dow in last on hour of trade has shown the above peak pattern today.

 

A bigger fall is possible between 11.30 and 1.30 ( US time). Buy one dow Put option now at Dow (=+30) and another if put if it rises to +80 in next one hour.

 

 

In last 70-80 minutes of trade indices might surge up from all day low levels .hence protect profits on above trades

Intra day chart for March 5 2009 Prediction-US market

Intra day March 5 2009 Prediction-US market

Previous prediction as is obvious is for Thursday March 5,2009

Re: March 2009 Prediction-US market

dow down 94 points after 40 minutes of trade. Market could bounceback over next 2-3 hours but a sharper fall is possible in last 70 minutes of trade and again some bouceback is possible in last 15 minutes. Overall last 70-80 minutes coudlbe especially volatile.

 

 

NO Trade recommended

 

 

Please note due to economic crises spreading globally spreading not in one but many countries  , long calls predicted  must be treated as advice to avoid short positions on intra day/weekly  predictions.

 

Predictions about fortune of parties like AIADMK, DMK, TDP, BSP will be made at an appropriate time

March 2009 Prediction-US market

US market-March 2009

 

Cards indicate further and deeper correction particularly in last phase of march. Some bounceback in expected in second week but may be insufficient to induce optimism in the US market. A correction of 500-600 points from current level is quite possible

 

Indian market -March outlook-revised outlook

 

Please read March prediction in previous post.

 

It is expected that second half of march will see more correction thus reflecting prediction for US market. ( prediction of net gain in  indices on a monthly basis should therefore be taken as a high risk prediction)

 

Usual risk disclaimer applies